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Rinse The Raindrops

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    Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

     

    FROM ESSEX LIVE

    Looking through overnight model data and guidance, ‘Storm Emma’ has been downgraded and placed further West meaning less in the way of impacts locally. There will still be a band of snow pushing Northwards through all of Essex on Thursday Night and into Friday, but not the blizzard and ‘feet’ of snow that was showing on earlier runs. The freezing rain risk has also been restricted to South-West England which is good news for our area. That is one type of weather you never want to deal with!

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    SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    Sunday Morning Update

    Our cold spell finally arrives today, and temperatures will barely rise above freezing across many inlands districts of Essex until next weekend whilst coastal areas will feel the full wind-chill effect from the Easterly with 30-35mph gusts at times.

    The chance of snow showers has been brought forward by around 12 hours or so, but the risk of accumulating snow and disruption remains from Monday evening, through Tuesday and into Wednesday. In total, there are now three Met Office weather warnings in force covering these days.

    Overnight model data and guidance statements continue to suggest areas South/East of a line from Clacton to Rainham will see the highest totals during Tuesday and Wednesday. All districts of Essex are at risk of seeing snow, but as is common with showery activity, some places may escape with very little or no snow.

    If you’ve read the most recent warnings, you may be wondering why there is a lightning hazard risk as well. With a warmer than average Southern North Sea (by some 2 degrees) and a great deal of instability, this will aid development of cumulonimbus clouds along the coast so don’t be surprised by some vivid blue lightning displays overnight.

    Friday brings the potential of a widespread snow event. There is still a lot of uncertainty regarding the exact track of the low from the Bay of Biscay. If indeed it does track North into the UK, then a memorable blizzard will occur for much of England and Wales. Current thinking from a forecasters point of view is that it will either weaken before reaching us or track Eastwards through France. It is a development that everyone here is keeping a very close eye on and probably won’t be resolved for a few more days.

    Finally, I cannot stress how important it is that you check in daily with the Met Office during this cold spell. As you may be aware, the BBC ditched the Met Office for the commercial operator MeteoGroup. Under the new contract rules, the BBC are under no obligation to broadcast on TV, radio or online Government weather warnings of ‘Yellow’ level and/or cold weather alerts. Therefore, you may miss out on these important communications from the Met Office who after all are the official national forecaster.

    Our updates will become more frequent from tomorrow (Monday) once snow starts to affect our area. It’s going to be a very interesting week ahead!

    Next update: Sunday Evening - Duty Forecaster

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