Rinse The Raindrops
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Posts posted by Rinse The Raindrops
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Saturday Evening Update
The first snow of the upcoming cold spell is now entering the range of the higher-resolution weather models. Whilst a few flurries could develop as early as daytime Monday, a strong signal exists for bands of heavier snow showers to develop in the Southern North Sea and move inland during the early hours of Tuesday and persisting possibly into Wednesday.
Areas at greatest risk of seeing significant accumulations from these showers are South/East of a line from Clacton to Rainham. Snow will fall elsewhere, but showers may not be as frequent or heavy.
This evening's model runs increase the risk of widespread, heavy snow and blizzards next Friday. This will need to be kept a close eye on over the new few days.
Temperatures will progressively drop from Monday with many districts of Essex below freezing for a 48-72hr period. Thursday is likely to be the coldest day with highs of -2C or -3C which is unprecedented for the first day of meteorological Spring.
Next update: Sunday Morning - Duty Forecaster
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7 minutes ago, Marie said:
Hi guys and girls , I popped in about 2 hours ago and had a read , was feeling really optimistic , just came back and lots of down in the dumps posts !! What’s happened ? Has it gone pear shaped ?? I’m confused can anyone let me know in a non confusing way ? as I’m not that brainy especially after a few glasses of bubbles ?
It's just an example of when social media " doesn't" work TOO much info, in the old days you were told it was going to snow and that was it! then you waited for it to fall! opened your curtains with excitement or disappointment -it was so easy
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Even In 1991 it only lasted a week and that was quite enough,
87 didn't go on for two week either just good to see some snow this season
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So if the front pushes up from France, after a few days of the wrong type of snow we could end up with the right kind of snow it's a win win!
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The trouble Steve Murrs posts are they are very informative but keeping thinking we are getting all this information from Kenneth Williams think he should start posting in character something like, "Ohh er...what lovely pair of models!" or "Is that a snowball in your pocket? are are you just pleased to see me?"
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https://twitter.com/EssexWeather/status/966769253792845825
MoreIt's the high-res models that pick up the snow and they only go out to 48-72hrs. Todays global (12Z) model from the Met Office had a Thames Streamer in place late Monday and into Tuesday whereas ECM had four days of continous snow showers across SE England.
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And all of this proves as always once you get the cold in anything can happen whether it be light or heavy, surprises always take place with snow ❄️?
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Just now, blizzard81 said:
This ain't no Feb 91
Realise that nowhere near ,my point being 1 week event
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1991 was one week I'd take that
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Can someone explain which model is statically and historically more often correct during the winter months - I'm sure this has probably been discussed before but some clarification would be helpful to those that are less informed and like to follow this discussion - thank you
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Light snow and dusting Benfleet
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2 minutes ago, Hotspur61 said:
Although only probably a 5-10% chance Sunday could become interesting for Eastern regions of the SE as it is possible that the cold air maybe puts up more resistance from the front moving in from the West.This has just been shown on BBC SE news that showed temps of only 3 or 4 degrees on Sunday.Yesterday they were showing temps of 7-9 degrees.Just something to look out for as some areas(esp with elevation) may encounter a period of snow Sunday morning.
Yeah BBC weather app showing this for my area light snow from 8 - 11am
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2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
ECM London Ens aren't special though, these are different to the GFS on meteociel remember - these are surface temps and a decent clustering go fairly high.
Do you have the chart from Feb 1991?
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Light dusting South Benfleet
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Thanks Steve very informative
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Yes, think you're right, its far too optimistic!
Well if we can get the NE or E maybe third time lucky, never known North Wind so wet
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Tipping it down with rain here and blowing a gale. No sign of the covering of snow indicated in the MetO forecasts last night.
What an absolute damp squib of a cold spell, far too marginal, and looks the same over the next few days judging by the rain symbols on the maps.
I wonder if we'll ever see an Easterly again sometimes!
Think you should change your profile name long haul to cold
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Sleety here some flakes mixed in very windy
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Nearly all melted in South Benfleet but just a drive up Essex Way and it looks very pretty
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BIG flakes now and starting to settle
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Lovely big flakes south Benfleet
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Light flakes in the wind in Benfleet
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Snowing lightly in Benfleet Essex
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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
in Regional
Posted
That was just for Essex