Stour7
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Posts posted by Stour7
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Thx, lets hope it pushes just a touch west.
You may do better than me in the Severn valley, due to your higher elevation
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Hi guys have the latest charts increased our chances for snow its so confusing.
I'm in Kenilworth, warks and a 1st time poster, at 76m asl, will we be lookig at sleet on monday avo? Or will lying snow help the chances of snow? Hoping for enough snow to build a snow man for my daughter
We need the upper temps to be a touch lower than forecast in the middle of the day on Monday  if you look on the following link this may explain better
http://www.netweathe...;sess=#forecast
Basically the cold air to the east needs to move a tad west, 50 miles would make a huge difference
This may also help
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Scratching my head as much as anyone else with regards to Sunday night first and then Monday day. Resigned to rain Monday day but that's the pessemist in me. Shrewsbury doesn't have altitude on our side, also PPN often isn't strong due to the Welsh mountains. Telford will possibly do better in the West Mids, although it seems even further east, Birmingham etc will be move favourable
I'm 20 miles south west of Birmingham, 10 miles west of the M5 but with quite a low height 40 odd m asl, I'm still worried we'll miss the snow, but a small correction west will Make all the difference, the annoying thing is that I'm due to be at worcester college doing some training on Monday, so I will be stuck inside from 9.30- 4.00, so a pasting when I wake on Monday would be good, I could have the day at home glued to the iPad
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ECM moving in the right direction now, let's hope it continues, & from a selfish reason I want Sunday/ Monday's snow a tad more west, just want a few cm's that's all,
See our locations are back, will make posts a lot easier to follow
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Makes interesting viewing, copied it off the model thread, it's just been updated
Just a quick update - we've put a major upgrade of our snow risk charts and prec type for the GFS and NMM online recently - it's now taking a much larger range of factors into account from upper air temps at various levels through to temps and dewpoints at the surface.
GFS snow risk charts here:
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=snow;sess=
Also in the main GFS chart viewer:
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=
NMM here (netweather Extra)
http://www.netweather.tv/secure/cgi-bin/premium.pl?action=nmm;sess=
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I'm driving my wife, daughter, brother inlaw, & colleagues mad with my weather talk, my 8 year old cried when I told her it now wouldnt snow tomorrow, had a chat about the weather never doing what it was forecast, she said dad I" I just want snow" just a cm will do :-/
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Would be really helpful if people could put there location in to there signature (Profile, Edit, then Signature is an option on the left)
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I know it's in fantasy land but 20mm of rain on Wednesday uppers of -2 would that fall as snow?
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Yes, I'd noticed that our locations have been dumped - makes it rather futile for a regional thread !!
Locations missing is something to do with saving bandwith apparently, another way is to pop your location in to your signature, go to profile > edit > signature add your location & save
Back to weather, interesting times ahead, my wife will want a divorce due to me being glued to this forum
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Well, the snow risk map had upgraded a bit for the Midlands on the 18z for Saturday leaving only the part of Warwickshire that i'm in without any lol, this is torture, why do I do this to myself? >< :-D
I don't understand how taking people's locations out can save bandwidth????
Just watching the 18z roll out now, exciting stuff, it's very annoying as my geographys pretty good, so I'm normally able to build a good picture of what's incoming........
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We're still 2 days from possible snowfall in the midlands, 50 miles further north & were back in, Saturday will be an interesting day, does anyone know if were going to get our locations put back on, as it makes this forum much more interesting, my co workers couldn't believe how good I was in the last snowfall event, remember telling them " it will be snowing in 2hours" & it was lol
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As always I think it will go right to the wire, as usual, 50 miles either way will make a huge difference as always :-/
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Well minus -1.2 here last night, according to the netweather forecast for my postcode on Saturday it will snow Most the day heaviest in the afternoon, rainfall total just over 1cm, how much snow could that be???
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From reading the strat & model threads, I'm pretty certain it's going to get cold even very cold, as for snow, yes for some parts of the uk, don't think we will know where until prob Thursday, must say the strat & model threads make interesting reading
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Haven't posted on this thread before, have been on the midlands regional thread for a couple of years, I've followed this thread and the strat thread since November, if you read the strat thread alongside this thread it's amazing to see that what the likes of chiono said is now happening, and weve only just begun to see the effects of the ssw, I take my hat of to you guys :-)
On a slightly off topic note this thread has made amazing reading & has improved my understanding of "the weather" but I must say the way some of you post on here regarding each other is shocking, show some respect,
Lastly fingers crossed for the next few days/weeks :-)
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Poor 18z....
Though a snippet of info.....Spoke to a guy in work today (customer). Anyway, he was discussing the flooding in the southwest and then went on to say this will continue over Christmas and into Jan. Now for the interesting bit......he said the highways agency have been given a heads up and told to stockpile grit for the middle of Jan as a potentially major cold spell may be on the cards.
No idea who he works for etc but seemed quite convincing that this is what he's been told and seems to tally with the potential warming event.
I have a customer who runs our local highways gritting depot, he said to me last week there's a high chance of a cold possibly snowy jan/feb, I asked how he knew this, he said it had come from a superior & that they were ready....
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The netweather winter forecast makes interesting reading
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=winter-forecast-2012;sess=
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Rains started again here in Stourport on Severn, quite heavy
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Light rain started here before 8, its now raining moderately, seems to be getting heavier as the morning goes on, NO TL though :-(
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Moderate freezing rain here, sounds heavier than it is.....
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Just done the takeaway run, it's snowing heavily in stourport on Severn, roads are lethal, 5cm+ of snow
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What time can we expect snow to start in Worcester, today is my busiest day of the week, but I also need too get home @ 5pm????
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According to netweather forecast I may get a dusting in the early hours of Monday, let's hope it pushes a bit further east & we get at least an inch :-)
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Yes , the gritters in Redditch were out at 7 pm tonight. Thankfully the 'light snow' for midday tomorrow has now disappeared from the BBC forecast for Redditch.
Worcester cc must have £ to waste........ Not lol
The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion
in Regional
Posted
On raintoday the precip is just reaching Oswestry, be interesting on here shortly :-)
Also worth reading the warning from this site that's just been issued
Alert details:
A frontal system moving southeast over the next 24-36 hours will bump into a cold continental airmass in place across the UK. Outbreaks of sleet and snow are likely to spread southeast across many northern, central and eastern areas by the end of Monday, rain is more likely across western areas and the far south. Sleet and snow will continue to affect eastern areas on Tuesday, though tending to turn more showery and increasingly confined to eastern coasts by Wednesday.
In more detail, an occluded front bringing a band of sleet and snow across the north, falling as rain near western coasts, will spread southeast during Sunday, reaching central areas this evening and the southeast during early Monday morning. Accumulations will vary with passage of the sleet and snow. 5-10cm are possible across the north today, though the sleet and snow will tend to become lighter as it heads southeast, with a few cms possible across central and eastern areas by Monday morning.
Then another band of rain, sleet and snow will follow on Monday, reaching central areas by Midday then arriving across the southeast in the evening. Snow will be confined to central and eastern areas of the UK, with rain or sleet more likely across southern and western areas. Accumulations of up to 5cm are possible, perhaps a further 10 cm over higher ground. The band of snow may intensify as it reaches eastern England tomorrow evening (to the north of London), so there is a risk of some significant accumulation to lower levels too.
Further snow is possible across eastern England Tuesday morning bringing a few more cms in places, before snow turns more showery and becomes increasingly confined to the coasts of East Anglia and SE England by the evening.
There will be a risk of ice developing on untreated surfaces where rain, sleet and snow has fallen, especially during the overnight periods as temperatures fall below freezing.
The public are advised to be aware of the risk of treacherous driving conditions and the risk of travel disruption caused by snow and ice.