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The Midlands Regional Discussion 3rd August 2013>
Dancerwithwings replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Hi Bish Glad to hear from you....... Sorry to hear about your father I wish him well......Regarding missing anything exciting! well just one answer to that, One big fat ((((yawn)))) Just dull dull dull that was september but hopefully things are looking up this week with a northerly coming towards the end of this week Its still along way off yet! But all the talk atm is this winter is looking promising for us coldies Winter 2013/2014 Forecasts/Hopes/Discussion Thread .....as being quite good for this..... 100+ pages so far... Much better that the Model Thread Methinks -
The Midlands Regional Discussion 3rd August 2013>
Dancerwithwings replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Another coldie....Can't be bad ... I look forward to reading your posts when we have 2ft of it then (If only) Yes crap here too! Your not the only one Looks like it's going to hammer it down here though Oh ! just as i say that the skies have opened up -
The Midlands Regional Discussion 3rd August 2013>
Dancerwithwings replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
The use of words to express something different from and often opposite to their literal meaning or an expression.......or utterance marked by a deliberate contrast. err... methinks you were the second one.... Now that was exciting Anyway didn't mean to cause offence -
The Midlands Regional Discussion 3rd August 2013>
Dancerwithwings replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Out of no disrespect your post made me lol ...Quote "Terribly exciting" What that the temp shot up by 1c from 16c to 17c about 5-6pm then back down by 1c, And that's Terribly exciting Can't wait to see what you say when we have 6" of snow ..... -
Model Output Discussion 12hrs. 01/10/13
Dancerwithwings replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You'll find it hard to find the odd one out !!! With the sluggish jet atm now't is set in stone, That HP is all over the place. -
Predicting snowfall by combining 500hpa with 850hpa charts 500hpa upper levels section temperatures need to be -25C or below with a damline preferably DAM 528 or lower. Snow can occur with a DAMLINE as high as 540 but lower/mid levels and surface conditions need to be lower. As for the 850hpa values, we need and demand -7C, generally a blue/cold green colour gradient. The key to remember here is that crystalisation at upper levels of -25 C or lower will fall rapidly into warmer lower levels melting as they fall, this melting releasing latent heat warming the surrounding environmental atmosphere. To know that when the ice crystals/graupel can reach the relatively low/mid levels close to the surface at a temperature of -7, ensures the precipitation is cold enough to fall the remaining short distance to the surface without melting. So the important parameters for snowfall so far are noted below: 500hpa – -25C or Lower & DAMLINE 528 or lower850hpa – -7C or lower
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The Model Dictionary
Dancerwithwings replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I've always thought it was an abbreviation for ( Forget It ). I've seen some call it (Fantasy Island) more so in winter when the charts are showing a very wintry outlook- 23 replies
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The Midlands Regional Discussion 3rd August 2013>
Dancerwithwings replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
From the Met O,.... Heavy, thundery, rain will spread from the south during Thursday and overnight into Friday with the potential for some torrential downpours in places. Amounts of rain will be very variable, but locally 20-30 mm is possible within an hour and 40-50 mm within 3 hours. http://www.raintoday.co.uk/mobile -
In 2010 Sept was unremarkable, Very boring with average temps and Oct was a bit of all sorts, A wet start was followed by a spell of Indian Summer weather, but the third and fourth weeks were coldish, It then became milder again at the very end of the month. It sounds very similar to what we had/have now and we all know what happened in Nov/Dec 2010...... Fingers cross
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The Midlands Regional Discussion 3rd August 2013>
Dancerwithwings replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
You'll probably be right come Thursday Anyway the Sun as popped it head out !...Not to bad here 18C