Steve C
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Posts posted by Steve C
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A car drove through a puddle 7 or 8 minutes ago here at work. The surface ice was broken. It's already reformed! :o
Puddle watching is pretty sad though!
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Would rather a cold night than a poxy cm of snow.
Just touched -4c.
Must be similar here, as I'm only 4 miles or so away
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Puddles freezing over rapidly now. The temperature must be plunging here ( Hatfield Peverel, near Chelmsford )
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Yep really freezing cold in Eastbourne with -3.0 °C on the drive and plenty of ice and crispy slush. Surprisingly it got a little warmer as I travelled inland to work and it's an almost balmy + 1.0 °C here now!
Local BBC weather this morning had Rachel going for a few flurries today. I think they may be limited to Kent, but could be interesting to keep an eye on the radar later!
Fantasy Island - a place where your perfect weather exists, but you never actually get to it!!!!!! :lol:
Thanks. Makes sense now!
I keep thinking of Forced Induction - from a sports car forum I used to belong to. -
Quick question.
When people talk about FI, what does this stand for?
Cheers
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Whilst it is boring take a look at the Link below and just imagine Southern England getting these depths.
Puts our little Puddy Cat last weekend to shame!
I must admit, when I first saw the link I read it as 1981. I then thought that I couldn't remember 1981 being that special.
Anyway, just remember that this winter is destined to be a long one ( it's a leap year
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Went out for a long walk this morning, starting at about 6:45. The reason for this being to walk a pensioner's dog in Great Bentley (the next village to mine) - the pensioner fell and hurt himself a few weeks ago.
It was great, walking by myself, through quite deep powder snow and even though I started well before sunrise, the reflection of light from the snow made visibility fine, even in woods. I was the first person to set tracks on pretty well the whole walk. The only other tracks were those made by wildlife.
The only slight downer was that the drifting snow meant that the uneven paths I was walking on were a bit tricky to gauge, but otherwise it was fantastic. It was great that the snow was not the type for snowballs either, wonderfully dry!
Walking back, I did manage to fall over onto some hard ground and bang my knee
and my earlier first tracks were covered by many others for part of the way, with 'yellow snow' in evidence. Otherwise, especially due to no thaw, it was great again.Although I have no weather station, I don't think the temperature has yet got above zero here and this snow event has already been a lot better than I was expecting. Off to the pub soon!
Thanks once again to all the model watchers and interpreters here. -
Off for an 8 mile walk now - going to walk a pensioner's dog in the next village. Could be interesting as I guess I've 12cms of snow and it was unexpectedly windy around midnight - the snow was blowing along the roads when I was walking at that time last night.
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Hardly:
I did say in recent years. 2009/2010 is more like what I was used to as a child. The end of November 2010 was quite exceptional, along with most of December. However, winter 2010/2011 stopped on Boxing day and February was exceptionally mild (January 2011 was simply an averagte3 winter month.
I'm not whining. Only stating that some people posting on this forum don't, or haven't experienced, what a real winter actually is.
A January with only one night of temporary frost was unheard of when I was young. Even the cold spell last week was simply a few days of rather cold weather, and we're now back into mild westerlies with tempteratures up to 9/10 in the early days of next week. Hardly Earth shattering.
Still, some forecasting models are predicting the cold may be back at the end of next week with the possibility of a North or Northeasterly eventually. An airflow from that direction is more likely to bring snow to these parts.
Read your quote again about the winter of 2009/10 - "it didn't even compare to either 78/79 or 81/82" - and then read the link again properly. People who post misinformation bug me.
Winter 2009/10 was overall colder than 81/82 pretty well everywhere. It states in that link that winter 2009/10 was comparable with 46/47 and 78/79 in Northern Ireland and only 62/63 was significantly colder. If you lived in England when you were younger, then the 78/79 comment could be valid. 81/82 doesn't even get a look in I'm afraid.
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Out now for the rest of the day.
Whatever will be, will be.
Thanks to all the dedicated posters here; Coast, Kold Weather, Paul, Steve and others. It's definitely interesting reading your thoughts and your analysis of model updates etc.
I suspect my area will be in for a few cms overnight, possibly even more. I also suspect that tomorrow might be a grotty, slow thaw type of day, but hearing Phil Garner on BBC Essex this morning and also reading your views here, makes me think that the cold easterly weather might re-establish quickly, so even if tomorrow is like that, then the cold spell isn't done.
Next time I log on, I hope everyone has got what they want ( obviously lots of snow if you're here! )
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Ah ok no worries must be the stupid Quoting boxes playing up again like 2 nights ago!
Although the Word Blizzard is one of the most over used words in weather, I cant even remember the last time the Uk had 40mph winds with Snow, Maybe 1987 and 1991 were the last times.
I guess you mean in our part of the UK?
It has made me think. The snow we've had here in recent years has been notable for it's lack of drifting imo. I don't really remember huge drifts in '87 or '91 ( I remember the sheer volume of snow that fell more - I'm not disputing the statement and there must have been a drifting issue in '87 as there were strong winds at times)
The drifting event I can most remember was something I alluded to in a post a few days ago. It was around the New Year of 1979. I'd been to relatives in Maidenhead over Christmas - Maidenhead had way more snow in that event than we had in northeast Essex, but the snow we had here, had drifted massively, so that there was very little lying over open fields, but huge mounds around field edges etc. I remember having fun as a kid playing in them, having been really surprised on seeing them at first. Our house had frozen inside, with cracked pipes and water tanks over the same period, which was a major downer though!
I also remember the way the drifts were aligned. They would have been caused by an easterly wind, although at that time I didn't appreciate the significance.
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I'm talking about a line of very light snow showers moving through Essex from off the North Sea at the moment.
Yes, I'd much prefer 'the main event' snow to be moving westwards too. Selfishly of course!
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Just read the posts on the light snow in Essex and have looked outside. I have a dusting! The first snow of the winter where I live, although there was a similar dusting where I work in the last week.
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Yes, I was and I also lived through 62/63.
Apart from several exceptional cold weeks in December 2010, along with an extremely cold last week of November, last winter was acually rubblish. Not a drop of snow after boxing day, an average January and an extremely mild February. Just when i was thinking it would be a repeat of 62/63 the whole thing went pear shaped and completely fizzled out.
The only winter that comes anywhere close to what i remember from my childhood was 2009/2010, and even that wasn't a patch on 62/63. In fact, it didn't even compare to either 78/79 or 81/82.
Seems that some people on this forum don't know what a REAL winter is.
Seems like you are incorrect on the winter of 2009-10.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/2010/winter.html
The winter of 81-82, although cold, from early December until the second week of January (with record low temperatures, around the second week in December and 10th January 1982) then became 'Atlantic'. It certainly did in this part of the World.
Anyway, why are you whining at people here? They've ,made predictions in good faith, whether they are right or wrong, optimistic or pessimistic etc. The weather will do what it wants to do.
Mind you, I have family in Ireland, although south of the border, in Co Mayo. I once thought about moving back there, but having kept an eye on their recent summers, I'm glad I didn't! - the main thing that actually stopped me was the ridiculous property prices there, at the time. Last summer was mediocre here, but nowhere near as bad (constant stream of depressions) as there. I'd find this too miserable.
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But the Yellow Warning for Sunday is of more concern to me as it states "Turning back to rain as the front clears"
This could have huge ramifications for the rest of February and the Block to our East!
I haven't really had time to read posts today, but the Weatheronline weekly forecast still keeps the cold in situ. Maybe it'll turn to rain for only a short time then freeze.
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But the Yellow Warning for Sunday is of more concern to me as it states "Turning back to rain as the front clears"
This could have huge ramifications for the rest of February and the Block to our East!
This has worried me from the start.
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The Frontal snow event saturday into sunday.. and quite possibly lasting longer than the weekend..
One precipitation model NAE shows significant snowfall across the EA/SE, in fact looking like we should all get snowed in.. GFS appears to have it snowing forever from saturday night when it all starts, i think now we can be sure that we would see snowfall on the ground by sunday, how much exactly is just not predictable at this range, it could be some places get more than expected-this happens.
But before the main event everyones is talking about there is something else springing up from the North Sea-well it should do! if it does not appear dont blame me! really the this feature running down the North Sea is looking rather interestin, how much snow falls in Kent/EA i cant really say, but i would expect quite a few cms if the weather system moves close enough, it could just skim the coast(east side) so be aware snow fans it could be a brusher, but it does seem something interesting is building up, this being later friday into saturday, i have drawn up a map to indicate where i think would see snow from this feature.
Inland towards the pink box is low risk-but potential is there, the blue box is the high risk zone and thats most likely where events would happen being nearer the coast.
(i might be to busy to do another map for the weekend frontal snow event, but i hope to be reading though and post when i can do!)
I like this chart, particularly as I'm in the firing line.
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I'd much rather the fronts (on Saturday, Sunday) were approaching from the southwest ( rather than the west/northwest ) drop snow, bump into the high pressure and then get forced back, as high pressure reasserts. The snow then might stay fairly pristine for a while.
The actual set up, to me, has a potential for snow, followed immediately by a miserable dull slow thaw. I don't think the warm sector will be an issue, but the front will pass through, even though dying out and introduce polar maritime air, which won't sustain sub zero temperatures. I'd rather it stayed dry and cold tbh.
Just my opinion.
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Hammer I have just seen that as well
. Anyone in that neck of the woods care to take a little peek out the window and see if it's what we think it is.Nothing here.
It would be hilarious if that was a genuine radar picture. There would be all sorts of investigations into how such a big and heavy area of snow could develop widely without warning!
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IF this happens could it be worse than feb 1st snow last year?
Was there any? I can only remember the last two months of last winter being a bit of a non event.
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Great set of runs for us IF it remains as it is. If it trends west over the next day or two, then we could just miss out. So while we're all hopefully optimistic, it is still by no means a done deal. Important for people to remember that.
Yes, by the time this weather moves in, you can pretty well guarantee that the latest model runs won't match reality.
I've seen this sort of thing happen too many times, so I'm cautious. Would love to be wrong though.
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Well off to bed after watching the weather on ITV and he said possible snow on sat but rain after ,not happy now lol was hoping for a couple of days too play in the snow booooo
Ditto, but it seems like things are on a knife edge, regarding the length of this cold spell, to me. Que sera sera!
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News at ten are just about to comment on the beast from the east hitting us.
Urrgghhh Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich!
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Look at us all here chasing a few sleety specks in the wind, and here is europe showing off and flouting its snow depths (sorry about the deaths of course) tut!
I was in Ischgl, in Austria, a couple of weeks ago. They had a ridiculous amount of snow in a few days. There was an avalanche very close to my hotel (100 metres ) which trapped a woman, who was thankfully dug out alive.
I keep thinking of Forced Induction - from a sports car forum I used to belong to.
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and my earlier first tracks were covered by many others for part of the way, with 'yellow snow' 
in evidence. Otherwise, especially due to no thaw, it was great again.
Thanks once again to all the model watchers and interpreters here.
:lol:
London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 11
in Regional
Posted
I’m wondering whether the cold spell will just slowly decline from here. While there seems to be no obvious Atlantic influence coming, I can’t see an obvious reload of cold weather either.
To be honest, while I’d love to see another big dump of snow and still hope it happens, I’m not too concerned if it doesn’t, as then I’ll start to look forward to one of my favourite weather events; the first warmish ( mid to high teens Celsius ) weekend of Spring, which is probably not too many weekends away now.
It always makes me over optimistic for a good summer! 