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Arctic Hare

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Posts posted by Arctic Hare

  1.  WYorksWeather Quite frankly, and I'm sure those with more knowledge will point out I'm being unreasonable but still, I currently wouldn't trust the models as far as I could throw them. They feel like they've failed again and again in the last few months. Unless, of course, they were predicting weeks of gloom and damp, in which case they'll suddenly turn out to have the highest verification stats on record...

    • Like 1
  2. 5 hours ago, Summer8906 said:

    However I have occasionally visitedhe Midlands and northwest and notice southwesterlies seem to be "drier" there, due to the Welsh uplands removing much of the damp and clag.

    Yes, and straight W'lies too, though somehow this winter it's managed to rain in almost any setup!

  3.  ANYWEATHER Honestly, yes. Today had plenty of showers, yet because they were "traditional" spring showers with some warm sunshine in between, I felt much happier than I have when we've had dank murk from dawn till dusk. Tbh I could cope with days like this fairly easily, even if they would still be frustrating for those trying to plan outdoor events.* The key I think is the sunshine. Sunshine'n'showers in the old-fashioned spring way is not a big problem. Showers'n'showers, especially for months on end, is. So if we can get back to more like the mixed stuff, it will as you say be a notable improvement.

    * And the hospitality trade. I had a brief chat today with someone local and they said that they reckoned a truly dire summer (2007, 2012, etc) might well finish off a couple of Bewdley's pubs/cafes for good. I hate to say this but I think they're probably right. We just don't have enough indoor attractions here to be an appealing destination in wet weather, and since most of our visitors are day trippers they can decide on the spur of the moment whether to visit.

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  4. Yes, I too was thinking earlier, "This actually feels like spring for once!" To be honest I don't so much mind a day not being entirely dry if the rain is as it was today: brief if sometimes sharp showers, but with periods of sunny respite in between. The max here was dead on 15.0 °C and while it wasn't quite T-shirt weather it wasn't winter coat weather either. Certainly vastly preferable in my book to our usual (of late) leaden skies and non-stop drizzle.

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  5. From a purely weather/nature point of view it was superb. Sitting out in the garden, clear blue skies all day. The next day, sitting out in the garden, clear blue skies all day. The next day... I'm not sure I can ever remember a sequence like it. With the vast reduction in flights, not even contrails to break up the blue. Ravens and even a red kite coming close to my house, pretty much unheard of in normal times. Deer openly grazing at midday in the nearby fields. The daily exercise walk, never needing to carry an umbrella or wear a coat.

    Obviously not a period I ever want to repeat in terms of the restrictions. But in weather terms, bring it on this spring! Given we currently seem to be trying to out-dull the Faroes and Lima, the change would seem even more startling than it did in 2020!

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  6. A mild morning here in N Worcs, but also dreary and grey. It's raining on and off, and the radar shows *far* more showery  rain heading our way in the next few hours than any of the forecasts I saw predicted. Most of them had a completely dry morning.

    I've said this so often I'm a stuck record, but there is ever more clearly a systemic problem with under-forecasting rain at very short notice. It happens again and again and again, and I don't think it's just a case of not noticing when the error is the other way. I think it's that the error rarely *is* the other way.

  7. Hmm, I'm caught in two minds here. On the one hand we keep getting warm records or near-records and the current sea temperatures are pretty much off the charts. On the other hand it just keeps raining and we'd need an actual dry spell to get up to 2022 values. So I'll split the difference a bit, but still keep things on the high end:

    37.7 °C on 1st August. Not *quite* hitting 100 °F but still very hot. I would *prefer* we don't reach that tbh!

    I know we don't have to guess the place, but for the sake of it, St James's Park in London.

    • Like 1
  8. 20 minutes ago, CryoraptorA303 said:

    Many are going to hate me for this but owing to the lack of it over winter, now we really need quite an unseasonably cold spell or at least a long period of northerlies to try and cool the Atlantic down, ideally later this month.

    No hate here. While it's not my favourite kind of spring weather, offer me a cold *but dry* period along the lines of April 2021 and I'd take it quite happily.

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  9. Surprisingly perhaps, *not* a total washout here! It certainly was in the morning, but by lunchtime it was dry and - get this - the sun was out! Didn't last and I got soaked walking back from the shops about 2:30 pm, but it's dry again now. You wouldn't call it a *nice* day, but not totally disastrous. Also, though it's not of much import with so little sun, 14 °C today, so feeling much milder than yesterday.

  10.  sundog I strongly suspect at least some of those responses are bots, and these days probably with some kind of AI element added. Look what happens every time the Met Office tweets about a record high temperature, such as the Scottish 19.9 °C in January - there's nearly always a proportion of the results where the poster *at best* doesn't understand the science and quite often clearly hasn't read the tweet at all. A lot of what's said is stuff that's trivially disprovable (eg "You never post about cold records I wonder why!!!!!!!!") but of course many people on social media are incredibly gullible and just see what they want to see.

    Don't get me wrong, I *do* think a lot of people are still too complacent and fondly imagine other people can do all the work of mitigation and anything that involves them changing their lifestyles even a tiny bit is unacceptable. I wonder whether all the flooding this winter is just starting to change that, though, since it's a very visible thing and an impact that hits a substantial number of people and (if you're directly affected) can be very expensive. The tipping point (to coin a phrase!) is that people are starting to realise that doing nothing and expecting India or the US or whoever to do all the work *won't* mean people in the UK not having to pay anything.

    There's obviously a lot of politics around all this, so I'll be careful what I say - though tbh in a democracy, any kind of proposed change that requires public opinion to be onside is *inherently* political...

    • Like 4
  11. Honestly, the MetO short outlook (Tue-Thu) forecast for the W Mids reads like it was thrown together at random:

    "Dry but mostly cloudy on Tuesday with light winds. thicker cloud and rain arriving on Wednesday and Thursday, with strengthening winds and a chance of some rain at times."

    Yes, I would have thought that thicker cloud and rain arriving *would* mean a chance of some rain at times...

    (Also, a further kick in the teeth as 12 hours ago this part of the forecast had Wed/Thu mostly dry with some brightness...)

  12. What I'd call a "usable" day today, I guess. No exciting weather, and once again precious little sunshine, but it didn't feel nearly as cold. 8.8 °C max so certainly nothing special there, but as long as you were sensibly dressed for the conditions it was fine. Sunday looks a bit on the grim side, but otherwise an acceptable if dull (in both senses) week of weather ahead. Was nice in Worcester today to see the racecourse and cricket ground showing grass rather than flood water!

  13. Really cold today. I was in Ludlow and it felt like mid-winter. No sunshine at all, unless you count the very occasional glimpse of a pale disc behind the clouds! MetO regional text forecast (and the hourly icons for Ludlow, for the little those are worth) suggested it would feel pleasant in the afternoon. Er... no. Not even close. At least it didn't rain!

  14. Certain people elsewhere getting excited over the possibility of an easterly. They're welcome to it and I won't criticise anyone for their weather preferences. But although E'lies are usually fairly *dry* this far west, and tbf that's the important thing, I really am not going to get excited about them in March! Ready for spring now, not winter-after-winter, thanks!

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  15. A very springlike day here in N Worcs. Lots of sunshine (yes, really!), light winds, no rain, birds singing... oh, I've missed these benign conditions so much. Exciting it isn't, but right now it's balm for the soul. 🙂

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  16. Gonna be an unpopular choice, but I'd vote for thunderstorms. Yes they're exciting and can be truly spectacular, but of those three choices they're also by far the most likely to end up causing expensive damage! Though it depends what "scorching sun" really means. If it's days on end of 28 °C, then bring it on. If we're talking July 2022-style 40 °C then maybe less so.

    Snow is now so rare in these parts that I find it a more exciting weather type than storms anyway.

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  17.  Fen Wolf Like I said, at least as things stand I *couldn't* just up sticks and emigrate, regardless of what my wishes may be. I really don't *want* to leave the UK for good anyway - I have too many people and things here that I wouldn't want to be that far away from. Weather isn't everything to me, and I'd rather endure the rain with/near to those people/things than sit in the sun hundreds or thousands of miles away from them. As for finding peace, there's plenty here in the UK that I enjoy, and I think having varied interests is always helpful in that regard. 🙂

    • Like 1
  18. Now this? This is weather I can get behind! Starting out chilly with fog, then as I walked through town to the sound of the church bells, the sun was starting to break through. By the time I reached Kidderminster an hour later, it was blazing early March sunshine. An enormous contrast from yesterday and I don't think I'm imagining it when I say you could see it on people's faces. If we could just have a week of this, rather than merely the odd day here and there between rainy periods, I think it would help enormously.

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