ITSY

4.5cms on garden table. Other points have 5, others have 1! generally I'd say 3.5cms now

snowing thick and fast here. About 2/3cms covering right now! not quite the Spanish 100+cms of last week, but can't really believe what I'm seeing having been back in England for only 10 hours! warnings from metoffice of upto 10cms for us now. Hmmm...very interesting. x

Well! Just got back from the Pyreenes - on a skiing holiday - and am very happy to see these warnings splashed across the metoffice website. Looks like i've bought the cold and snow back with me! The taxi driver at stansted said that there was some very very heavy snow in Cambridge this morning, with it settling - but within about 10 minutes at about 9 o clock it all turned to rain and then melted away! LOL. We had an absolutely EPIC two-day blizzard on the Spanish/French border. We had 125cms of FRESH snow in the space of 24 hours. UNBELIEVABLE. I have never seen anything like it. Visibility was 25 yards for 36 straight hours. Even the outskirts of Madrid had lying snow this morning! Now, where did I put those snow boots?!

I do agree with that, but it is worth remembering that, unlike last week, the cold is now (almost) in place. Temps are sub zero by night and day not getting above 3-5C. It may not be quite cold enough for heavy snow yet, but the ingrediants are now merging together. It is also important to point out that the major northerly blasts that have been forecasted by the models so far this winter have, almost invariably, materialised somewhere in the British Isles. Parts of Aberdeen for instance received 7 inches of snow a couple of weeks back from the last Northerly. This blast also has cross model support - none of the model's offer slack versions/weaker versions of a trend or theme...they all stick with the overall pattern of a potent Northerly blast. It may not happen; for people like me in Cambridgeshire (who have been virtually snowless since Christmas 2009), it probably won't - based off our recent snow(less) luck! I think people would be foolish to ignore the trend that is being set though. It isn't a certainty by any means, and (like me in January), some will end up being bitterly disappointed (pun intended). I'm not saying to blind heartedly trust the models, but - for me - this upcoming Northerly looks stronger than the 'faux' Easterly that was predicted for us lastweek.

Exactly... It looks good for a Cold and Snowy notherly blast based soley off of today's ouputs. I'd say that the week or so comencing tommorow and ending next wednesday or Thursday is the best (and probably the last great) window of opportunity to see any significant snowfall this winter. I'll be away; sods law. Anyway, it WILL be very interesting to see what GFS brings out in the next run...if it maintains this theme, then I think that you guys can expect something almost anywhere in the country during the next week or so.

1st comment? anyhow, the 18Z will start rolling out soon...an upgrade hopefully in the short term for us Cambridgeshirians? Saw my first snow in over a month today, lovely to see. hell to it, maybe even next year we'll be looking at a Washington DC style Whiteout. You know why? I'll be in the Middle East for a year. bloomin typical.

Yes I was pleasentky suprised today too. Nothing stuck (at all) but it snowed all day (from about 6am till 5/6pm) - some of which was quite heavy. It made me more optimistic about our chances for snowfall during the rest of this week; though this has, in turn, made me doubt it! I would imagine that we would still see a few more flakes before the week is out though

Perhaps the chance of some snow into wedneday night? As predicted by the Metoffice? A colder run so far? -4C down the central spine of England during/on Wednesday night

PATIENCE grasshoper. Patience. And in answer to the question made earlier by a poster; unfortunately, it won't be a US East Coast snowpocalypse. We could have the heaviest snowfall to lower levels for 50 years and it still wouldn't be. That doesn't go to say that we should rule out any kind of snowfall. In my opinion, by the time we get to the end of the week, heavy showers COULD crop up almost anywhere - going off of recent model runs; BEEBBC and Metoffice forecasts and opinions on here and on TWO. remember that even the Metofficet mention the prospect of significant snowfall on their 3-5 day forecast. Nothing is off the cards yet; unless, that is, you're after 41-91cms.

I'm quite new to Netweather - I can't seem to find a media thread, so excuse me for posting this on here MODs Has anyone seen the latest countryfile forecast at 6:50pm? Good/Bad news?

WOW! that northern hempisphere chart is absolutely incredible to look at. Other than Portugal, Spain, central/eastern France and England/Wales, virtully every country is snowed under. lets hope it returns to our shores next week.

Living in the East of England, I don't really mind the choices from the big 3 tonight. However, ECMWF is not AS GOOD as UKMO or GFS for large swathes of the country. With GEM still running against the whole idea - i'd say that we are currently 70% likely to see the very cold weather arriving at some point during the next 5 days, with snow then for the middle half of next week. Still 30% of me undecided. Yes, a very precise figure The volume and amount of snow we get is obviously still up for grabs yet - and most probably will be until Monday/Tuesday at the earliest. Haven't seen more than 2/3cms of snow here in Cambridgeshire, since the fall we had on the 18th December (when we had an amazing 14cms of level snow and 20-40cm drifts). Here's to a fun week ahead. I hope.

Don't believe that 'insider information' malarky for one minute. If it is true, the source most definately isn't reliable. BOOM. agreement arrives - the train is on its way (for the time being). Lets just hope it doesn't get delayed. EDIT: ECM, whilst agreed on the arrival of some sort of snow and cold arriving from the East/North East/North, it ends the spell VERY quickly. Need an upgrade from the ECM to be sure of a prolonged event. If UKMO and GFS stay the same during the 18Z that will roll out later on at about 10 o clock tonight, then I would personally expect an upgrade from the ECMWF during its midnight run around.

In the height of the cold, say the mid to latter half of next week, we would be looking at daytime maxes of -1 to 1C over England and Wales and well below that in Scotland - perhaps a bit above that in Northern Ireland. Snow-wise, i'd be waiting until Sunday and Monday before anything get's nailed on. In terms of snow its all still in the balance. In terms of cold, we're definately heading in the right direction. Definately a big upgrade in the last 48 (especially last 24 hours) as compared to the beginning of this week. Lets just wait and see how long it takes for the models to gradually but surely bring that cold pool within the low resolution, T+72 hours. Then we're in business.

Still a long long way to go yet. Up until last weekend, the Easterly was set to arrive mid week this week; and the same applies to the week before. Lets just wait and see... currently drizzling here....

Yup, we're going to miss out again. December aside, Cambridgeshire has been very unfortunate when it comes to snow this winter. got an inch in January and saw 2 snow flakes this afternoon.