Tim A
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Posts posted by Tim A
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Cheese Rice lol, Yes just went for some bread I didn't need.
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Turned to drizzle and ice pellets here but not thawing as still 0.1c
Perhaps we could get a bit more later but unlikely I would have thought.
Measured 7cm.
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190m on Leeds , slowly building up on most surfaces, road is clear though.
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Getting heavier now and settling on more surfaces, thinking about settling on the pavements in places. Temp dropping, now 0.7c
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Sleet turned to snow here .
Was 0c this morning, then 1.5c when the sleet arrived. Now 1.0c Only settling in favoured spots like some roofs/car roofs and bins so far.
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Some of the 12z models have downgraded the snow a bit , feel a bit less confident below 250m now.
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Good to see an amber, whether inside or outside I don't think it makes that much difference (although elevation will), on the day the actual area with amber impacts will probably be slightly different anyway.
Amber warning mentions disruption to air travel, but there are no airports in the area. Go on Met Office extend it 5 miles NE to include an airport.
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Think there has been too much hype of southern corrections and particular focus on lesser models that don't model the effect of the Pennines.
Yes the Midlands might get some heavier stuff initially but the front should enhance against the hills like the UKV which is known to underestimate and show things too patchy anyway. Nmm looks good too and whatever the Met Office use in their app and forecasts.
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Empire Of Snow Agree , there could be some big falls if everything aligns. We have an easterly wind which will enhance precipitation against the Eastern Pennines.
Just need the front in the right place and it could be a classic, the finer details to nail down, but feel we have a bit of wriggle room being in a favourable upslope location to at least see some lying snow.
Probably drizzling and 3c in the Vale of York as is normal in these situations.
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Snowed and was looking good around 10pm but then turned sleety associated with milder sector. Then turned back to snow. Everything covered in a thin later of frozen slushy snow , could have been so much better if it was 0.5c cooler
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Heavy snow at last, covering road and pavements. 0.9c
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The extent of the precipitation over the Dales was well modelled.
We have had light snow on and off, gave a dusting around 11am but mostly melted now. So frustrating for it to be so close to a winter wonderland, not unexpected though as no models showed us getting anything significant.
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Dry here and -1.5c. Seems to be some snow around Wetherby down to Selby unless it is a radar anomaly.
Hard to know where that precip will ultimately end up but we are going to have to content with milder air and positive dewpoints later, much of the snow in the NW will likely be washed away at low levels unless areas are lucky enough to be under very heavy precipitation.
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1 hour ago, Empire Of Snow said:
I think it's going down to radar watching and we might miss for a few miles the "event" tomorrow up here.
Really strong signal for lots of snowfall around Settle up to Shap area , been on most models for days. Interesting to see if it pans out like that, its only 30ish miles NW of here.
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12 hours ago, Harsh Climate said:
You will get a good stream of snow showers at some point between Tue - Thu. At your elevation will be cold enough for 100% settling snow for the most part, as you know doesn't take long for heavy snow showers to quickly accumulate in those conditions. I'm going 5-10cm for you.
Hope so , but don't really see it myself. Somewhere like Shap looks likely to get a big fall tomorrow.
Thursday evening might be better (UKV looks interesting)
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Not really very hopefully for Tuesday, either, yet to see a recent model run that shows snowfall over us or most of the region. Only hope is models are underestimating like the weekend of the 26th Nov 21 (Storm Arwen) that was unexpected from the NW. But that is hopecasting really. Some models such as UKMO HD show heavy snow NW Dales but not really further SE.
Met office text forecasts are lazy so whilst they say chance of disruptive snow , they say they same thing for NW England, Yorks and NE England, they are often way off the mark so wouldn't rely on them.
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Light snow here too for last couple of hours, the road is covered again.
Temp is -0.2c but the tarmac is a bit above freezing as it's a bit slushy rather than icy. Trees all coated again and no dripping above ground level though.
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2.5cm fresh snow here, could have been more but missed much of the heavy precipitation. 4cm on the grass where it added to existing cover.
No thaw yet as still sub zero at -0.1c so at least it still looks pretty .
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17 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:
Big upgrades on 06Z for Merseyside/Manchester/Cheshire.
Hi Kasim, are you not worried about marginality for low levels? To me it looks like the freezing level is about 200m and temps of 1-3c at sea level , of course it can come down in heavy precipitation but may struggle to settle in places and start melting as soon as it turns light , perhaps why Merseyside isn't in warning area.
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Direct hit with that big chunk , lovely big flakes and temp down to 0.0c now.
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Coming down nicely here too, covering the ground
0.6c so potentially marginal but the ground is thankfully frozen from earlier.
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Stopped now and skies cleared.
Melted from the pavements and roads as they are warm from the sunshine but seems to be freezing on all other surfaces, nothing dripping from the trees. 0.0c
Just under a cm on grass and raised surfaces.
Taken all winter to get a snow event and then we get 2 small ones and one big un in the space of a week.
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Similar here now, road covered , heavy fine snow.
Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by Tim A
joggs Think there is a good chance of a temporary covering in the morning Pennine areas and higher ground 150m plus, maybe lower levels in places too.
Will depend on how heavy and organised the band is and if it moves through early (E.g GFS) when it's colder or later (e.g as per UKMO HD) when the daylight has warmed things slightly.
No Met Office warning yet, but then again , doesn't look anything more than a CM or two though so it won't cause mass distruption, they might be wise to wait until tomorrow when things are a bit clearer.