Harve
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Posts posted by Harve
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Popping these two extreme forecast charts in here and will revisit on the days in question to see what the actuality turns out to be.
That looks disgusting.
On the other hand the max temperature today has been 12c. I'm in the wrong thread I realise, but 60km away from the French border must be close enough?
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A pretty magnificent thunderstorm just passed in Belgium. Certainly in the north of England or Scotland these can't happen more than a few times per decade although I imagine it's not too rare here.
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34.6c maximum not far from here.
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http://www.meteobelgique.be/observations/temps-reel/stations-meteo.html
I can't find any articles yet, but clicking on a few locations across Belgium shows a maximum of 34.6c in Limelette.
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About 25 years ago I was hillwalking the Nevis range with school. Roasting hot with not a drop of snow in sight.
Global warming was all the rage then....
Memories can be unreliable. No matter how warm the winter/spring, Nevis is never even remotely close to snowless in late May.
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I'm not sure how it compares to average, but it's been great in Belgium with only a few windy, dull and drizzly days with average temperatures of 19c, which slightly spoilt Pride last Saturday. I believe the peak temperature has been 26c.
I guess north westerlies don't really affect the climate too much here.
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Now sleeting at 150m and no snow lying at all at lower altitudes. I imagine there's a lot more lying snow above 300m than the measly 2cm here because there's been 10+ hours of precipitation.
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Moderate snow in central Belgium. About 1cm lying.
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Early drizzle quickly turned to sleet and wet snow in the Derbyshire/Staffordshire Peak District. In the last few minutes it's really started bucketing it down.
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Snow lying at 400m on the Derbyshire/Staffordshire border apparently. I've also been told about thunder and lightning?
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There seems to be no snow in the rest of Western Europe but there's still 1-2cm lying in the centre of Belgium from 2 days ago even at low altitudes (and Belgium doesn't really have any high altitudes). I'm assuming it's quite localised.
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For me the warmth has been notable but admittedly more so in its consistency than its extremes (although we have broken a huge number of daily CET records this year). Breaking warmth records has become the new norm in our lifetime so it no longer seems particularly remarkable. If 11 months had been below average then I'm sure this thread would be much, much longer.It's going to happen isn't it? We're going to have the warmest year on record without it being that warm at all.
Terrible.
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There's about 2cm of snow on the ground here and I'm only 300km from the Kent coast, so despite the poor-ish prospects, winter maybe isn't as far away from the UK as it might seem!
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Just started snowing in Belgium. I don't really follow the weather here and 0c on the continent always a good bit warmer than 0c in the UK so it was completely unexpected when it started!
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A 30 year average is long enough for an exceptional month not to distort the average too much (well, unless 5.7c looks a lot different to 5.9c to you). If we were talking about 5 year averages, then what you're saying would definitely make sense.I struggle to understand how long term monthly averages (such as 30 year averages) tell us what to expect in a given month. Surely some of the averages can be distorted by the odd exceptionally mild or exceptionally cold month...? Is there such thing as a modal average, which tells us a typical daily temperature for a given month?
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I'll try 16.5c. More of the same.
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"Record rains turned Australia into a giant green global carbon sink"
I found this pretty interesting.
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why do we quote the 61-90 average when it would be more reasonable to quote the say 81-2010 average or does that 0.6 c make it look better from a warming perspective!!!!!!
I don't quite know why we use 61-90 average rather than, say, 31-60 or 1779 to 2014 average, but I think it's good to always refer to the same average rather than moving the it every 10 years. I don't see why the 81-10 average is seen as more 'relevant' just because it's more likely to return a month close to normal rather than well above. A 10.1c April CET is a 10.1c April CET.
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I'll go with a fairly average 11.4 degrees. I'm expecting quite a number of cold nights thanks to dry conditions which will cancel out warm maxima at times. Suspect high pressure will be a strong feature to our NE at first and then to our NW as the month wears on - so quite a dry month especially in the NW. May often delivers NW Scotland its most settled weather of the year.
A decent May overall, but certainly no heatwave.
My perfect May.
I'll also guess 11.4c in the hope that your prediction will be correct.
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The next few weeks are looking damp and mild. In contrast, last spring was rather snowy and I'm sure the highest parts weren't at their maximum depth this time last year. The exceptional snow depth back in early March surely won't be too exceptional anymore?
Snow On The Scottish Mountains 2015.
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
The most resilient snow patches don't receive sun for too long, even in the summer. Hot and sunny is much better than the worst case scenario of warm, wet and windy.