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Posts posted by leemondo
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My point...Due to the moisture where the Mild air is closet to the cold air..I think this is where it will happen..Only ever seen it once..I have never seen snow flakes so big, think it was 2010? Where as in the east..It will be dry snow as you say...It sticks better too..
i have seen massive flakes once, a few years ago, i went food shopping at Tesco in Pembury, in Tunbridge Wells, i was walking back to the car and something hit me on the head, then all hell broke loose for about 5 mins as huge wet snow flakes(clumps) fell you could actually hear them hit the ground with a thud lol, never seen it since!
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I think the models are overestimating the warm front and underestimating the strength of the block, plus its nearly 4 days away skint time for changes :-)
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to be honest if the cold wins this weekend, then i think we may see some record breaking snowfall down here, and at the end of the forecast i just watched i think he dropped a hint at what he thinks will win..............
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the local weather on BBC was rubish! but the national one showed a battlefront??? if they all use the same data from the Met Office how can they be different?
90cms seems a tad on the large side, 9mm would be welcome at the moment lol
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what is annoying me a hell of alot at the moment is the "mild brigade" and the way they keep there views to themselves when the models show cold, but as soon as one shows a less cold solution they are there like rats! and the only reason is to bait other users, the MOD thread is almost unbearable to be honest.
i do belive that we will get snow, and very possibly, lots of it.
i just wish there was a more panoramic assessment of what the models show rather than people cherry picking mild synoptics to cause bad feeling.........
PHEW............rant over, sorry peeps
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Just seen the SE news forcast she had us in dry sunny weather for Friday an no mention of convective showers at all. Was very lacking in detail.
they wont mention it because the simply dont know, forecasting convective showers is more of a nowcast thing so dont give up!
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I have to laugh at all the negativity this afternoon, even more so after reading last nights posts first!
the "breakdown" has been forecast for a few days now and if it does happen it will be a brief affair with potential for battleground snow events, the block is not "sunk" as some people like to say, (mainly to get a rise out of others) it too had been forecast to be pushed back before powering back in, again with the chance of more battleground snow, this scandi high is immense and will take alot more shifting from the ever weaker Atlantic, i am all for atlantic incursions, because the snow potential is very good
the models have no idea what is going on after T+48/T+72 so i think a little calm is needed and dont take each run at face value, the met have binned some of there output already in the last couple of weeks due to it being way way off the mark, this could be another wobble.
fingers crossed guys
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Don't underestimate convection alot of events crop up in a small time frame get the cold in place and worry about snow later! Personally i think this could be the start of a very special February, got everything crossed, good luck to all
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well the mod thread has been locked because of some frankly shamefull troll posts designed to provoke heated response, there are, to my mind. at least 3 regular posters that light the touch paper, to be honest, if they have nothing better to do with the life then i feel very VERY sorry for them.
if the admins deleted every nonsense post there would be very little to read.
anyway fingers crossed for much snowy love in the coming weeks
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From what i have been reading over the last couple of weeks, it seems clear that certain people have an agenda in this thread, i am in no way a model expert, in fact i am a complete noob, which makes it even more frustrating trying to learn, when conflicting posts and bickering occur.
The way i see it is, the GFS and ECM seem to be the big 2, and if the ECM has more backing from the "lesser" models for a cold(er) soloution then surley that carry's some weight?
I agree that if the GFS is constantly showing a milder set of runs then it thinks it is on to something, but it has to be said that the backing for it just isn't there, and as has been pointed out already it is moving a bit towards the ECM.
Respected posters and media weatherpersons have said that they expect a cold few days, followed by a brief milder incursion, then back to a colder outlook with the possibility of wintery precip, i know anything is possible, after all this is the UK weather we are talking about!
I know i will get shot down in flames for my post, but hey ho, I just really hope that this thread can get back to pure disscusion and not squables with objective posts, based onwhat the charts show, and not what people WANT to see.
regards
lee
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Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:
Sunday cloud and rain gradually clearing southwards, colder and breezy conditions with isolated showers will follow. Monday windy, cold, dry start then rain later. Tuesday sunshine, gales and wintry showers.
Updated: 1526 on Fri 9 Dec 2011
hi to all, back for the winter madness, looks like tuesday might see some flakes/sleet
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BBC London forecasts cold all week
wonder where they are getting the info from!!! lol, seems odd considering the model thread are progging cold temps, but Mr Fish did say wet and unsettled, hope he is wrong!
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better make the most of it, according to the local weather, milder, windier and wetter as the week goes on, hope its just a blip and winter goes out with a bang not a whimper
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light snow here at the moment
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hi, 1st post from me , have to say that i have been teased today, loads of nice dark clouds, but hardly anything fallen, never mind.
Funny how this morning there were hardly any warnings and now half the south east is orange! lol.
Things hotting up on the model thread, so fingers crossed we will get hammered over the next week
London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 6
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
i have a lampost right outside my flat, as its only 1 bedroom, when my son stays over we sleep in the frontroom, and during 2010's event i made my wife and son sleep with the curtains open just so if i woke up during the night i could see if it was snowing!!! thats how hardcore i am, i make others suffer so i can watch the snow! lol