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Frosty_wsm

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Everything posted by Frosty_wsm

  1. Frosty_wsm
    I notice your being ignored in the model thread with regard to that lp lol, probably because its only our small part of the UK that looks like being affected so they don't care, you'd have got a load of replies if it was due to hit the south east!
  2. Frosty_wsm
    Looking like rain for all at low levels, sleet at best with snow confined to high ground, probably no point even taking a trip up the mendips as the heavy stuff isn't making it that far east by the looks of it.
  3. Frosty_wsm
    Talk about a rollercoaster ride in the model thread! lol
  4. Frosty_wsm
    I'm out worle way.
  5. Frosty_wsm
    The models are all over the place so as I said, i'm not concerned yet, its well known that they struggle with these kind of setups, here's going for a nice ecm later.
  6. Frosty_wsm
    12z gfs not good, Atlantic shoves the cold air back east with relative ease but its so different to the 06z that until there's consistency its not worth worrying about. ukmo rolling out now, wonder what that will show. Edit : ukmo follows gfs, can the 12z ecm come to the rescue later.
  7. Frosty_wsm
    Lots of talk in the model thread about the huge low shown by the ecm +216 which would bring snow to 95% of the UK with rain for the other 5%, bet you know where the other 5% is! Lol that's all in fi though and if the position of that low was a tiny bit more south west on the charts on the day then the south west could be looking at a repeat of Feb 79.
  8. Frosty_wsm
    Was thinking the same thing, I can se wales from town, can't get much closer than actually being there lol
  9. Frosty_wsm
    I'd say stick to the SW thread, we're a nicer bunch than those in the SE thread lol
  10. Frosty_wsm
    Until the ukmo comes back on board there is that kinda naggin feeling, but that model wobbled a few days ago and todays 12z could be another one, hopefully the 00z will follow the ecm/gfs route.
  11. Frosty_wsm
    Very true, am not sure whether that was a `live` forecast or a recording from earlier in the day plus it'll be interesting to see what the updated faxes show later, also the nae as well.
  12. Frosty_wsm
    Awesome ecm with some very low uppers over the uk, as for tomorrow & into monday, on the news24 forecast at 18:58 it's a non event except for the hills, perhaps sleet at times at low levels, that's a complete turn around to what was being shown early this morning with snow covering our region on their charts.
  13. Frosty_wsm
    with a feed off a cold continent its very possible to have snow to low levels, even sea level without the 528 line being over you.
  14. Frosty_wsm
    Here's hoping we have alot more to talk about around 6.30 when the ecm is rolling out & I'm never one to write off winter myself and I did find it amusing how some were at the end of dec, early jan, especially with all the events that were being talked about in the strat thread at the time.
  15. Frosty_wsm
    shame it's the gfs showing that, I'd be much happier if it was the ukmo/ecm showing it, ukmo isn't as good at the same time frame and the high has that sinking feeling, still there's no doubt the models struggle with these setups so here's hoping the gfs has it right for later next week but It'll be a concern in the ecm follows the ukmo.
  16. Frosty_wsm
    UKMO very similar to GFS at 60hrs http://www.meteociel...60-21.GIF?28-17 Edit : Later meto charts not so good, could be a sinker which explains the met 15 dayer outlook which does mention the possibility of mild air getting back in.
  17. Frosty_wsm
    Cerainly a much better 12z gfs, high further west, cold further west as well and I read the meto precip charts show the warm front not getting as far east, i.e into the central southern england so could be good for our region if we get enough of an undercut of colder air from the east it might not just be snow on high ground.
  18. Frosty_wsm
    Latest NAE shows it as mainly a high ground affair now, could all change by tomorrow though, who knows.
  19. Frosty_wsm
    Sorry but that post is an absolute load of rubbish, having lived in Weston for 39 years I can recall many times with Weston getting snow in setups like what's being forecast.
  20. Frosty_wsm
    So is it gonna snow or ain't it, seems even the experts aren't sure and with one model run being different from the last I urge people not to get hung up on every single chart they see. This might be a case of looking outside late Sunday into Monday and see what's falling from the sky, we might be pleasantly surprised :-)
  21. Frosty_wsm
    Here's hoping this thread fills up with lots of snow reports in the not too distant future :-)
  22. Frosty_wsm
    Forecast I just saw on news 24 showed all our region (west country) in the snow band on monday, all uncertain as to it's exact location mind but that's what they're showing at the moment.
  23. Frosty_wsm
    That's why we need an active southerly jet with low pressure systems bumping up against the cold air, a channel low or a slider, it happened many times in the 80s when there was a huge high pressure to the north east and the charts at the moment have that 80s feel about them, even if this warm front later this weekend doesn't reach us, I reckon we could be in for some fun and games the longer the block stays there & pumps all that cold air our way.
  24. Frosty_wsm
    considering the models haven't a clue as to what will happen in the short term i'm curious how anyone can make a statement like that about the longer term.
  25. Frosty_wsm
    You won't find me moaning about the weather but there are some posters on this site who annoy me! I find it curious how some find enjoyment coming into sites like this and posting in a provocative manner that they now will annoy others who would like cold and snow, I certainly find numerous posters acting that way, especially at times like this when the charts are very poor for anyone wanting cold and snow and as i'm a coldie I find people like that very sad indeed, they need to get a life!
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