[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

3 minutes ago, geordiekev said:

Not liking this 18z longer term. The sysyems barell through quicker from Thursday out West & mobility returns with the trop PV largely returning to normal play. 12z had it slightly disorganised towards the end of the run, not sure where this will go.

Can we eek out a Scandi High before months end? Enjoy the radars & the white stuff this week those lucky enough to see it

Scandinavian Highs are as rare as Rocking horse poo, yet they are seemingly mentioned wished for hopecasted several times daily in this thread, do you know the last time there was such a feature? I don't suspect several years ago

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

30 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Going back to the future for a minute, that's a very cold chart next week.

Cheltenham goers will be getting nervous if that comes off.

That chart is my big fear, racing fans do not want the weather interfering with the festival 

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

4 minutes ago, Mucka said:

Atlantic hitting the buffers.

This what I was hoping we would start seeing in runs.

Let's hope it becomes a trend

Certainly uncertainty on the breakdown, still unsure if the cold next week is a QTR to the second warming? Personally I want all cold and frost gone by the 12th as the Cheltenham Festival begins on the 14th so I am willing the breakdown 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

about 5cm here in Cheltenham, southern  Cotswolds must have 20 cm

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

Lots of positive charts for cooler weather popping up, my concern for those looking for cooler weather is that there is also plenty of Arguments against this, I am always mindful that that easterly/northerly airmass's are as rare as hens teeth im the UK. As much as I enjoyed dec. 2010 I fear it will be become a huge anomaly in a warming climate, but here's hoping for a few. Days colder 

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

4 hours ago, sheikhy said:

Warm warm warm sums up the charts this morning!!more importantly looks so much drier for england!!been deluged over the last 2 weeks!!!

Hey understand you don’t like the rain but resivoirs in lowland Britain are still well below where they should be, chalk aquifers that feed our precious chalk streams are also still massively low, ground water levels are also still low, just a thought, love your posts BTW 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

There are many variables at play here, I have witnessed many scenarios on NW ahead of potentially damaging storms across inland lowland England, few have come off, but at some point one will hit, as someone who witnessed Oct 87 and the Burns day storm (in Herts) nothing has come close to those 2 storms, however something will eventually come about, interesting times

[Storm Arwen]

Red Warnings are up

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

Complete covering here in Cheltenham, estimated 1cm from my bedroom window, didn’t expect that this morning 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/06/2020 Onward]

Amber warning just gone up on MO

[Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards]

Amber warning just gone up , covers me in Cheltenham 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/06/2020 Onward]

Reached 34c now at Staverton about a mile from me here in Cheltenham, hottest in the UK at the moment, more chances to break the CAP?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/06/2020 Onward]

Already 3c higher at 9am (24c) than yesterday here in Cheltenham 

[Model Output Discussion - 10th Jan Onwards]

SS This is the model discussion thread, not the Cut and Paste thread, For such a prolific poster some discussion of the multitude of charts you post would be welcome. 

 

 

 

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 12th February 2013>]

Just starting to snow here

Whereabouts in Northampton are u, i'm in Earls Barton

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 5/2/13 onwards.]

168h poor.. Model agreement on a shortwave being a pain in the I have a problem.

Are you referring to GFS or ECM, perhaps you could add some charts ot links!

[Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)]

Ian Fergusson has wrote this in the SW thread this evening

Looks like the Met office remain unconvinced with ECM at the moment although uncertainty remains a break down to a westerly flow is possible now its just how quickly it may happen

Well as a counter to this this from Will Hand this morning (UKSW)

"Behind the scenes the MetO are very concerned about another snowy spell this

month. Due to uncertainties nothing much has been said yet for fear of

"damaging the brand" and setting the Press off on one. But looking at the

charts this morning it would seem something more definite will be announced

in the next day or two I expect. Going to be an interesting month I fancy

with borderline snow events to contend with :-)"

[East Midlands Regional Discussion 18th January 2013, 12z onwards]

Much uncertainty over the snow on Sunday however BBC have have the PPN now moving over the EAst Mids one to watch

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 9]

Slow thaw under way here, but a lovely morning. Would estimate max depth was 7 cm before thaw/compaction started.

For once we got more than St Albans (my home town) What will next week bring, loads of potential in the models.

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 9]

Dew point just dropped to 0.0, temp down in last 30 mins from 0.6c to 0.4c, still snowing light to mod at the moment.

[3 Counties & Ea Cold Spell Discussion Part 9]

Light rain turning back to snow here in south northampton