sandstorm2
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Posts posted by sandstorm2
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Heavy shower passing through, everything white again.
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Hi folks, yep this is defo the worst of the trio of storms we have had recently, hopefully another couple of hours and then calming down a bit.
Temp has dropped from 5C to 3.3 in last hour.
Stay safe folks.
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Still misty here, can just about see the disc of the sun temp 0.6 after a high of 1.1 though it looks like it is going to get less cold over the coming days.
sandstorm2
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Hi folks, just had a clap of thunder, gusty wind and a temp of 6.5.
Merry Christmas to everyone, high hopes of some of the white stuff next week.
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Hi folks, anyone remember a poster called crazysnowman from Lootons, used to post regularly and his posts were an absolute scream. He used to brighten up the dullest day. Wonder what happened to him?
Just to add he always found the funny side of everything.
Sandstorm2
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Fooked for me too.
Thought I was going nuts, thanks Hairy.
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Hi peeps, is there a problem with the netweather server, cant seem to access it properly through my favourites button, it comes out all gobbledook.
Meanwhile after the deluge of last night things are drying out a tad and temp starting to drop.
Sandstorm2
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Think it is time the plaudits were handed out to RJS for his LRF and all his work regarding the same. The amount of data that he has analysed is nothing short of phenomenal.
You have another convert here RJS! also thanks to Blast from the Past for his input also.
Sandstorm
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Getting totally fed up with posters reference to 1947, 1963 etc, thats gone and aint coming back.
SS2
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From Matt Hugo on Twitter literally just popped up on my screen.
@MattHugo81: Hold on to your hats, a SSW event now fcst by 216hrs. Increasing confidence for a Sudden Strat Warming event early Jan http://t.co/w3zd0nAp
This is going to be a fantastic time to be watching the models as the SSW comes into effect. Will it affect the surface charts and how quickly? Definitely an acid test for how much the SSW affects the troposphere and where.
SS2
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Been a great argument going on over on the model output thread between snowballz and no balls.it has been on the wrong thread but thats another thing.
They both seem intelligent people but to me one is arguing for the models as a predictive tool and the other is not, Surely this is a non argument as the models are simply the scientific community's tool for trying to predict the weather, yes they have a long way to go but they are slowly, very slowly getting there. To write off the inaccuracy in there verification as simply the weather being the weather is missing the point altogether.
SS2
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Made the mistake of going onto the model thread first before looking at the models. All them Engurlanders are crying about it being mild next week, looks to me like there is some of the white stuff on the way round these parts and I think I will make a donation to Wullie Hill.
On a more serious note, hope everyone in the areas where the rain is at its worst are going to be alright and it stops soon.
SS
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Just had to post a reply to this post in the MT thread.
''I do think time is running out for any significant cold, the old sun is getting higher now - more heat - more light - less snow''!
Are you kidding, it is only the eighth of January which is only about 2 weeks since the shortest day. We still have at least 8 weeks of potentially wintry weather and anyway the height of the sun in this country has nothing to do with how warm the weathwer is, remember at the summer solstice we can have temps in single figures.
SS2
SS2
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Now I know it is the CFS charts and can't really be trusted, but just take a look at the frigid air moving into GB from the continent. Unfotrunately it is a chart for the begnning of FEB but maybe, just maybe GP is going to hit the bullseye with his winter forecast.
Don't know how to post the charts.
SS2
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can you possibly add me to map, getting a bit dotery in my old age, thanks
can you possibly add me to map, getting a bit dotery in my old age, thanks
Thanks to whoever added me, famous at last.
SS2
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On the 0600 GFS model the jet is modelled to be over Southern England at T120 and over the coming two days to move further south, could one of our more knowledgeable members give me an idea how this would affect the track of Fridays storm.
SS2
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You mean the Met Office was nowcasting whereas these chaps were predicting it weeks in advance.
Personally I don't give a toss about when a storm is meant to blow through. It's LRFs that are important, i.e., trends for the various seasons. Farmers & agribusinesses need the latter, wedding planners and Morris dancers need the former.
Very well put, couldn't have done it better myself.
SS2
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Just got to say that your long LRF is fascinating and December has been very accurate. The methods you use appear to be as good as any 'scientific' based forecasts and there must be a place in meteorology for your more 'natural' based forecasts.
Looking forward to your January forecast.
I am almost on the verge of giving up on conventional meteorology for LRF after following your methods for quite some time.
SS2
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Temp got down to -16.3c which is a record for my back garden, has risen marginally to -16.1c, last few days have been desperate up here.
SS2
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Temp got down to -13.5c at 0900 this morning, clear sky so the temp will struggle to get into the -5 range.
SS2
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on the model discussion thread Steve Murr said that a high pressure system of 584 decameters was being modelled over Greenland. Now I know that a decameter is 10 metres so could someone be good enough to explain to me what this is in millibars. SM seems to think this is some kind of record but the models are only showing an anticyclone of 1045 millibars. confused! Thanks in anticipation.
SS2
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My Mother used to say, ice in November to bear a duck nothing to follow but slush and muck.
SS2
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Anybody know what has happened to the fax charts?
SS2
Scotland - Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted
Looks to me that the front is starting to tilt and slide southwest, don't think there will be much from it but keeping fingers crossed.