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Cloud

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Everything posted by Cloud

  1. US won't be opening its borders easily in my opinion. Covid19 looks out of control in the USA and a vaccine is needed. And I suspect the border won't open until many months after a vaccine has been introduced. I hope we can chase 2021.
  2. Cloud

    Tour 3 2020

    I can't see any international flights starting up again until there is a vaccine. Everything is shutdown here in New Zealand as it is in the UK. Very odd times.
  3. Vortex 2 were apparently having a rest day that day as the tornado probs looked low.
  4. Any decent sunny periods will trigger robust thunderstorm activity central to northern England.
  5. Looks like altocumulus castellanus in above photos which is elevated convection above the cap.
  6. The activity will develop over England rather than imported.
  7. I think Kent is the best bet for a late evening thunderstorm. Elevated storms can be tricky to predict but steepest lapse rates in that direction.
  8. The first surface based warm sector storm of the day is currently developing SE of Lubbock. Let the show begin!
  9. Quite a wide swath with a tornado risk so that should spread storm chasers out and reduce chaser convergence. The strong upper level shear means tornadoes could move rapidly.
  10. Dangerous part of the set up looks Texas panhandle into western Oklahoma.
  11. From what I remember of the roads in western and central Nebraska, not a lot of options for chasing.
  12. Surface dewpoint around 17C in the Texas Panhandle Tuesday. That is a good tornado signal.
  13. Flash flooding in the mix as well. I suspect cloud/precip could limit the full tornado potential by blocking out day time heating?
  14. Impressive to get two tornadoes at once. Makes a great photo!
  15. Looking at the satellite I am getting the impression the recovery will come into SW Oklahoma a lot sooner than further north.
  16. Better looking moisture in the southern target, dp 18-19C. I think I would want to be on the southern target right now.
  17. Braums are great. Reed Timmer tweets he is doing a series for the BBC in 2014.
  18. I would be inclined to chase the northern part of the mod risk area in Missouri. Looks to be less mid level moisture further north and less trees as well.
  19. Early indications are certainly for too much capping Saturday and not enough capping Sunday! With 700mb temps of 10C modelled for Saturday evening you would have to say any storm activity would be elevated. Sundays storms will be surface based for sure.
  20. Current pattern looks dreadful for chasing in USA. I'm struggling to see how the pattern will becoming more amplified in May if this is the way it looks in March. But I am not a meteorologist or an expert on US weather. I do suspect the northern plains could do well with a more active polar jet in June due El Nino?
  21. Yes, a great series to watch. But S01 was better in my opinion but S02 still great to watch.
  22. Feb/Mar can produce good precip so lets hope that happens. Dry conditions in the panhandle promotes high based storms and a lot of blowing dust. Not ideal for tornadoes.
  23. The Texas Panhandle is overdue to get active again and this could be the year.
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