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Skip Spence

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Posts posted by Skip Spence

  1. Even BBC News are seriously hyping this up. "Forecasters are making comparisons to the Great Storm of 1987" and showing images from 1987. Unfortunately this will end up being blamed on the Met Office if it isn't as severe as expected when we all know they were only reflecting the output from the models... and considering just 24-48 hours ago we were praising the models for spotting this development so early perhaps it's time to re-evaluate the emphasis we put on models over 48 hours before an event.

    Met Office blamed for what and by whom? If it isn't as severe as it might've been, almost everyone will be mightily pleased and relieved. Surely preferable to be prepared then reprieved than the other way around.
    • Like 1
  2. No i'm stating a fact, the southeast will have the best of the weather in the coming weeks with the warmest, driest and sunniest weather and shorter cooler unsettled blips as you would expect, being closest to the near continent and being better placed for any azores ridging influence, it's the northwest of the uk where it will be generally unsettled and cooler, as usual.

    You're not stating a fact, you're making a prediction. The weather in the coming weeks hasn't happened yet.
  3. not technically summer months, Sep '11 was hot from around 27th, but never really the Jun-Aug period

    I realise that March and April aren't summer months, technically or otherwise. I was responding to your suggestion that since 2006, March and April were winter-like.
  4. Is this the modern summer then? starting Aug '06, seems like now, we are in Autumn May to Feb, then winter Mar and Apr

    What about April 2007, April 2011 and March 2012? Each of those months contained lengthy spells that were as sunny and warmer than the first third of this month (in this neck of the woods at least).
  5. I'm starting a whip-round with a view to sending laserguy off to South Georgia for the next three months. As an inducement to potential contributors it should be known that Internet connectivity on the island is very intermittent.

    • Like 2
  6. What was that year like? I remember my Mum saying it was a poor summer.

    Yep, after two very good summers on the bounce (83 & 84), summer 85 was poor. But two out of three here in the UK ain't too shabby and post 2006 seems barely believable.
  7. On the contrary, we were spoilt back then with good summers. Certainly here, every summer between 1989 and 1996 was drier than average apart from 1992 and 1993. All were warmer than average apart from 1993. I didnt think much of 1990 though, 1989 and 1991 were much better. The only notable month in 1990 was August, whereas in 1989 it was consistently warm, dry and sunny and in 1991 it was almost as dry as 1995 as well as being very warm (though June was pretty poor).

    Yeah, I don't remember summers 91 thru 94 as being particularly bad, just nondescript as I said. Thing is I'm a big fan of heat and sunshine so an average summer doesn't set the pulse a-racin'.In my neck of the woods both July and August 1990 were very good; seems like a very long time since we had two good summer months on the bounce.
  8. skimming through my work diary notes, ive made no comment like i usually do if theres a hot spell. it certainly wasnt a hot summer or an overly wet one, so a rather nondiscript summer i think..

    If memory serves there was a run of decidedly nondescript summers in the early 90s bookended by a couple of beauties in 90 and 95. I'd happily take a repeat of either of those.
  9. Average would be nice... but no chance of that with the summer climate in it's current form.

    Average would be average. If, like me, one enjoys warmth and sunshine, an average summer isn't anything to get excited about albeit preferable to the last two horror shows. I'm hoping for a way above average summer but certainly not expecting one.
    • Like 1
  10. You need to look at the bigger picture, there is more than one season and if you look at the last five summers there is definitely a trend, whether that means we are heading into a new LIA remains to be seen.

    The first halves of summers 2009 and 2010 were actually very good (in this part of the country at least). Summers 2007, 08, 11 and '12 were indeed crap but I doubt whether four out of six UK summers being poor in any period would be especially unusual.
  11. As often seems to be the case here in the UK, any synoptics that would deliver extremes of heat or cold occur at completely the wrong times of the year, whereas those that deliver extremes of wind and rain tend to set up perfectly whatever the season.

    A perfect summation of the climate we endure here in the UK. 'twas ever thus and ever thus shall be.

  12. yep, we've the same here now, probably a level 10cm or so, more to come by the looks of the radar....all in all, happy days! biggrin.png

    Do you know whether Lyneham Banks is passable at the mo? Gotta get across to Calne from here in Somerfords a bit later. Guessing it might be a bit dodge. 12cm level lying presently, still snowing and blowing around nicely too. Not as good as mid December 2010 but most acceptable all the same.
  13. Hi all. What I'm especially looking forward to on Friday is the prospect of seeing heavy snow during daylight hours. Last few decent snowfalls in my neck of the woods (three in 2009/10, mid-December 2010 and early February 2009 if memory serves) all happened overnight. Great to wake up to of course but had fizzled out pretty much by first light. Looks like this one'll be a bit different. Here's hoping.

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