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Posts posted by Isolated Frost
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Raining like 2007 up in here, like some sort of sadistic disco for lovers of the dark and grim. I'd like it if my satellite dish wasn't as edgy as Lindsay Lohan post-2008.
Think that might be enough for tonight...
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I need to buy the netweather 5 min radar but in the meantime is that ppn to the south east of the region intensifying IF?
to the south-east, it's heading to the North Sea, so I'm not sure it's relevant to us, but to the south-west, it seems to be so.
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Radar looks menacing for much of the NE now. Little batch heading straight for Durham and Tyne & Wear after the east and south of the region has taken the majority of convective action so far tonight. Eerily comforting with the dark sky and heavy rain pouring down.
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Next batch; enjoy Teesside and eastern Durham! Ultra intensity storm stuff coming down from the S/SW, hit and miss. Looking dark, grim and pretty autumnal out there at the moment.
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First real attempt at a heavy rain and snow event across Nunavut this season, especially at lower latitudes. Snow accumulations will generally be quite large over higher ground on Baffin; though a lot will be rain and sleet at lower levels.
By Saturday evening, two bands containing rain, sleet and snow will be travelling up the Canadian arctic and the eastern Greenland coast, a lot of rain will fall across south-east Greenland, but this will turn to snow as it moves northward.
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26c progged here today! Could be the 7th (or 8th, don't have data for August from Durham) 25c+ day this year.
2013 had at least 6, so far
2012 had 2 (in May, and in September, none in summer!)
2011 had 3 (one in October)
2010 had 2 (both in May)
2009 had 3
If August 1st wasn't already a 25c+ day, then this could be the warmest day in August since 2007 (max 25.5c), or 2006 (26.3c), or even 2003 (28.6c).
One of the warmest August days of the millennium (sounds better that way!) here at Durham, potentially the warmest August day in 10 years!
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IMO, it's all down to synoptics: above 80o North, it's been a cold summer; down here, it hasn't?
Definite correlation. Only problem is that if it has been such a cool summer in the high Arctic, the ice extent, area and volume are still all pretty awful.
Plenty of snow around in the next few days there though.
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Another winter like 2009-2010 would be great - a changeable October, a chilly, very wet and stormy November, then cold and snowy from mid-December onwards.
I remember November 2009 vividly, I remember 14c at 2100, heavy, lashing rain with gales... hard to believe that a month later that happened!
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20c, some sun and some cloud, warmest day in a while.
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The chavs in your area must be stupid then. Longer nights = chavs out longer, colder, shorter nights = everyone indoors by 7pm (unless it's snowing).
As opposed to the smart chavs!
I don't understand what you mean though; shorter nights, everyone's indoor by 7pm? Longer nights, chavs out longer? It doesn't make any sense?
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I probably socialise slightly more in summer, the holidays and warmth etc, and don't play on many video games (bar GTA, FIFA/PES, FM) so winter's generally a good laugh as well, I go out lots, and it's often more atmospheric in winter, certainly. The seasons don't really alter my pattern, but I imagine they will in a few years.
What I would say though is I don't understand how you think anti-social behaviour falls in winter Eugene?! Around my area, a few chavs will probably be around on longer winter nights rather in the majority of the summer daylight.
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I am new to these charts and am wondering what a really promising chart would look like in say 1 month and 2 months time and what a really bad one would look like from the point of view of a UK winter.
I made a big analysis on the 2012-13 thread, if you want to see it, and Cohen etc have made great publications on the matter; but I believe Aug-Oct is an important time as early Autumn snow growth generally leads to colder UK/Western European winters; in 2 months time, it would be useful to compare to recent years and look at the westerly extent of the snow, ice and snow area and the synoptics around Russia, China and the Arctic have been over autumn.
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Imagine that!
24 hour sunlight for about 4 months, and then losing over 3 hours of it in a week! From no sunsets to 10:20pm, and no sunrises to 3:30am.
And by the end of September, 7am sunrises and 6pm sunsets... if you think you can notice the difference here, try living in Svalbard!
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All that new snow in Western China has gone for the 19th, don't know if error, or just very light falls that have melted abruptly-
big new snow in NW Greenland and NE Canada; and a bizarre boomerang of snow in northern Russia... there we go!
Ice evens itself out with some gains and losses around the board.Encouraging, still have another month before ice losses become near enough non-existant and the snow starts to surge.
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It's getting dark too early now! Feels like the equivalent of early Sunday evening (and can just hear the Antiques Roadshow on the tv!) knowing you've got work in the morning... it's coming... sadly...
Oh you love it!
I can see where you're coming from, totally, and when I'm working I'll probably grow to hate it, but I am getting right into waking up in the dark mode again!
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Yeah I think it'll be between 16.5c and 17.0c, but here in the NE it hasn't been exceptionally warm but it has been constantly pleasant. Most days with highs of 18c to 21c, some higher early on in the month, and most low in the early teens bar a few anomalies.
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16c and rising, bright and breezy with a few scattered clouds. Low of 10c.
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Got around 1cm on 3 different days in 2011-12, a real shocker of a winter for snow. Cold wise, early Feb was good, at times great- but not the extent of continental Europe and SE England- much of Europe seems to have a good habit of getting a sharp cold blast in February in recent years; hopefully we'll be looking back to the north and north-east this autumn and winter.
As long as we get a good few days of late warmth and sunshine, a real atlantic storm, some ground and air frosts and perhaps a good smattering of snow this autumn, I'll be happy; preferable to start reeling the cold in come mid-November.
Arctic Ice Discussion. 2013 Melt Season
in Climate Change
Posted
Isn't ice volume much more important than area or extent, the latter two simply more perimeters, not necessarily useful ones, but interesting nonetheless?
Nothing to write home about for me; it just seems as though any recovery is futile, and that it's damage limitation, a matter of when, not if.