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Posts posted by Isolated Frost
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CFS probably gives more incorrect data on these daily charts- don't see why they're dished out? More chance getting insight watching paint dry or grass grow.
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Got lucky again in the NE! Top temperature 21c with clear skies. Now scattered clouds and temperature falling steadily, 17c.
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In fact it's not cloudy, it's fog. A thin veil of it- very autumnal morning.
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7c after a high of 22c yesterday. Cloudy.
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What a lovely day! 22c and sunny. In late September, you can still get days like these- even into early October, so I'll definitely appreciate them before going into cold watch. Superb summer.
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Lovely day! 22c, with the warm sunshine and very few clouds. Perfect for relaxing and socialising outside! 1c more and it becomes the warmest day of the month; tomorrow should be similar as well.
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I think it's fine as it is. BST allows longer summer evenings (light at 10pm instead of 2am) when most people are out- and GMT ensures it's not dark at 930/10am.
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No difference in them anom charts for me- first one was Nov Dec Jan, second one was Dec Jan Feb- fits in with my thoughts about a NW block come November, and a NE block in Jan/Feb.
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In the last 4 years, here at Durham...
October (2012) was the 3rd coldest of the last 30 years.
November (2010) was the 3rd coldest of the last 30 years.
December (2010) was the coldest of the last 30 years, December (2009) was the 2nd coldest.
January (2010) was the 3rd coldest of the last 30 years, January (2013) was the 6th coldest.
February (2010) was the 3rd coldest of the last 30 years.
March (2013) was the coldest of the last 30 years.
I wonder if we'll see the trend continue...
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Playing football last night- couldn't see anything from 730 onwards, and tomorrow is the equinox. Looks like we are streamrolling towards darkness, despite this warmer spell.
In the next week alone, we're losing 30 minutes of the day to the night here. The start of the 'waking up when it's dark' days!
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Got down to 6c this morning, has since risen 6c in 2 hours under splendid sunshine! Already looking like being the warmest day in a while.
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Looks like being a lovely few days here with temperatures in the low teens and high twenties. Hopefully lots of sunshine, perfect autumnal combination of relaxing, warm days and cool, fresh mornings.
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Probably the last below average day in a while (or at least more than 1c below) here in Durham; 12.65c to the 19th, nearly 0.5c below the 81-10 average.
Looks like the anomaly between cooler than average daytime temperatures and average nighttime temperatures will be addressed with the upcoming spell. I think it's about
Durham 85% above 61-90, 50% above 81-10
CET 90% above 61-90, 50% above 81-10
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0.4c below the average here in Durham to the 18th. Minima have been on average, whilst maxima have been 0.8c below average.
The first 9 days averaged 14.1c, the last 9 have averaged just 11.3c.
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8c, overcast after a low of 6c.
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Lush sunset tonight, clear skies, so you can still see well at 2010, 9c.
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That's good news, if any snow falls in February it will melt quicker than December, a green Christmas anyone?
Oh, you never know... February is on average colder than December, so the measly difference in sun angle will be compensated for.
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Also from Matt Hugo
Sep update of the EUROSIP model gives little idea for winter, but EC seasonal shows high pressure over or just to the W of the UK as an avg.
If high pressure is over or close by to the UK that would limit any significant cold snowy spells
Not really. Not only can one month have a significant anomalous result to that, or even one month being completely dominated by high pressure with the other two not so much.
High pressure to the west or just over the UK does indicate cooler than average conditions- which would in turn be more conductive for snowy/cold spells, more so than most options available.
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11c after a max of 15c. Clear skies w/ scattered clouds, lovely day again.
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Snow and the Sea - beat that! Sunderland (top) and South Shields (below).
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15c, feeling warmer and sunny spells.
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Durham had a cold day yesterday and its 5c this morning, the average is now at 12.85c (-0.25c), might go cooler tonight before some warm days, but below average is now slight favourite here.
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5c, clear and cool.
The coldest day of the month so far, with a 11.9c high as well. More late October than mid September.
Snow and Ice in the Northern Hemisphere 2013/14
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Just what my analogues were going for... enjoy November, then have a long wait until the fun starts again in February...