mike57

The problem near the coast this early in the winter is the sea surface temps are still warm. It therefore takes deeper cold to get snow. Having said that in 2010 we got snow right at the end of November.

Blowing an absolute hooley at the coast this morning gusting close to 50mph from the NW. We had some graupel and it feels colder than 4c which is current temp.

Spectacular sunrise here this morning, picture taken by Mrs Mike57 at Bridlington Harbour this morning Very windy at lunchtime, ride bike curtailed to 7.5 miles by an evil head wind and muddy roads, ran out of time. Wind WSW Force 6-8, some sunshine, and 12C. Temperature although mild was masked by the near gale

Well lunchtime bike ride was only half a ride today, as I spent the best part of half an hour of my lunch hour fixing a puncture before I set off. B****y hawthorn thorn from hedge cutting. Wind was strong, WSW force 4-6 and a tough head wind on the uphill outward leg. Cloudy, and temps of 11c.

Lunchtime ride produced a NNE force 4 wind with 9c and long sunny intervals. Looked to be more cloud to the west, but so far no rain here yet today. Ground still looks waterlogged. Overall for November not too bad.

Much less wind today, lunchtime bike ride brought a Force 2 SE to E wind. mostly cloudy but dry and 9c.

The only E on my bike is exercise, from good old human powered legs

A better day today, surface water flooding leaving the village had subsided enough for me to cycle through it, so I was able to resume my normal route. Broken Cloud, wind was a bit of pain, SW force 4-6, a headwind for the first 3.5 miles, somehow the help when heading home never seems to make up for slog on the outward leg. Temperatures 9c. Not too bad for a mid November day.

The surface water flooding which caused me to divert my bike ride yesterday was if anything worse today, so rode a different route. Fortunately up on the Wolds there is hardly any flowing surface water, the only water course I am aware of on the chalk area is the Gypsey Race, and this tends to be seasonal. Winds yesterday were close to 60mph gusts, followed by more rain overnight and this morning with a stubborn rain band right over us. Managed to get out between the showers, with even a bit of sun between, Winds now very light Force 1-2 , variable but mainly W and temperatures 9c

Heavy rain this morning was replaced by sunny intervals, so lunchtime bike ride happened, but was cut short by a combination of wind, a flooded road and the need to negotiate road works. Wind was SW force 6-7 probably gusting 8 once out of the shelter of the village, with sunny intervals, temps of 11C.

Best day of the week so far, a very light shower during the morning, and lunchtime brought a SW force 3-4 with sunny intervals and temps of 9C

Wet this morning but cleared up at lunchtime, so bike ride was dry if windy, again some showers still about, and again, they missed me. Wind was strong, force 5-7 SW for the first 20 mins or so of the ride then verred W and dropped to 3-5. Temps were 10c and it was cloudy. You can see the back edge of the fronts clearly here, the shower off in the distance missed me.

At the coast a re run of yesterday. Some hefty showers about, but missed me at lunchtime. Broken cloud with quite a bit of sun. Wind started out SW 4-6, but was veering and dropping while I was out, to 3-4 WNW. 11C.

I went into the garden last night after seeing the post and picture from @Wold Topper Our horizon to the north is not that good here, and there is quite a bit of stray light, but I did detect a very feint glow in the north, but couldnt see any colour, and all attempts to photograph it to bring the colour out failed. I hadnt got to grips with night mode for my phone camera. Lunchtime brought a strong SW wind, force 5-6, with broken cloud but some showers about, although they missed me. Temperatures 10C. SW meant a head wind for the first 3.5 miles, and a good bit of that uphill so quite a slog going out .

Well as expected winds here were nothing out of the ordinary, but I would be interested to know how much rain fell last night in our area. It woke me at about 4.30 but I suspect from the state of the ground and roads today that it rained hard most of the night. Lunchtime bike ride got diverted after encountering this leaving the village. Didnt even get as far as yesterdays flood. Retraced my route and did another 8 miles on a different route. Winds were force 3-4 NE with some broken cloud, and temps of 12C

Thats my take, Metoffice have wind speed forecast lower than forecast here, a gale but just a normal autumn one here. Only issue might be direction, Easterly. Rain on the otherhand... Totals are mounting day on day. Ground is waterlogged. Up on the Wolds issues will be quite local, but I imagine people on the various flood plains must be concerned.

I had a lucky escape, I was working in SE London that week, but had wrapped on site up mid afternoon on the Thursday, and headed home to Yorkshire early leaving Kings Cross at 5pm. When I woke the next morning the full impact was clear from the news. Back in Yorkshire it was windy, but no more than a normal autumnal gale. Even at the work site there was no hint of what was coming.

Well lunchtime produced S wind force 4-5 and some hazy sunshine after a wet start. Temperature 12C Everywhere is now saturated, and still some surface flooding locally. I imagine it will get worse towards the weekend. Wet feet coming back I wasnt able to get a run at it.

Another wet morning here. Mrs Mike57 set off to York this morning, reported a lot of surface water flooding again around our area. If the rain later in the week is as bad as predicted I would imagine the Derwent will be reaching flood levels, it was looking fairly full last Friday.

It very much depends on the supply infrastructure. Where we used to live was at the end of long 3.3kV overhead run with a transformer on a pole and further overhead runs at 240v to feed the houses. Every winter we would loose the power at some point often more than once, and on one occasion for nearly a week after a bad snow storm in 1990. I had (still have) an old diesel generator which was sufficent to keep essentials going. Where we live now is mainly underground, and power cuts are much rarer. Generator had one outing in anger last year, none so far this year. A wider scale outage, caused by destruction of the high voltage transmission infrastructure is going to affect a much wider area, and is caused by a breakdown of the national grid. Supply capacity (or the ability to get it where its needed) is less than demand and unless swift action is taken everything breaks down. We have never had an event in the UK on the scale of the USA NE 2003 blackout, although we got very close a couple of years ago. Obviously if a major storm knocked out high voltage distribution over a wide area then a grid collapse could occur as its not then possible to get the power from the generation to the consumers. Most weather related cuts tend to be local, the grid, by its nature has some resilience built in, although there have been concerns that cost cutting is reducing that. Storm Arwen caused some serious power cuts in the NE and Scotland, this was mainly trees going through local overhead lines.

Yes, very wet round here. Fortunately up on the chalk Wold actual flooding on a wide scale doesn't happen, not like the Derwent in Malton or the Ouse in York. To be honest looking at the forecast for the South we are escaping the worst by the look of it. Lunchtime today brought mainly cloudy skies with a very light shower. Winds N force 3 temps 10c

I think this is the problem with the impact and probability matrix as it stands. A severe danger to life storm still gets the yellow warning while probabilility is low, the same warning as much less severe immenent storm. Peoples respsonse to the the two scenarios needs to be different, a severe storm will mean a potential shutdown, where as the less severe storm wont affect most people, unless you are doing something outside for example.

High Mowthorpe was wettest in Yorks & Humber yesterday according to Metoffice, with 16.6mm which backs up my 20mm in the pans, which to be fair was very unscientific. 2nd time High Mowthorpe has been 'wettest' this year, a sign of the easterlies that seem to have been a feature recently.

I put two empty pans in the scrap pile last night ready for scrapman on Tuesday, and there was over 20mm of rain in them this morning. All the usual spot round here flooded.

A lot of rain in the night by the looks of it. Everywhere is waterlogged. Misty, bordering on fog and very damp but wind has dropped.