bobbydog
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Posts posted by bobbydog
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The cam at http://live.mila.is/jokulsarlon/ seems to be showing an increase in flooding. Previously you couldnt see the water moving but now it clearly is flowing fast towards the camera.
the icebergs seem to be piling up as well.
do we know the location of this 'lake' in relation to grimsvotn? lakes arent generally tidal unless they are connected to the sea. if not then it has to be glacial floodwater
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I know Eyjafjallajokull was a pain for travelers, but it was amazing to look outside and see a 'proper' summer sky, not one contrail, not one cloud. It was a very interesting event for me.
Interesting furthermore was that Eyjafjallajokull formed 2 new hills!
we'll know soon enough if the ash will affect air travel, quote from iceland met office-
" At 21:00 UTC, the eruption plume had risen to an altitude of over 65,000 ft (~20 km). Initially, the plume is expected to drift to the east and subsequently to the north. Thus, the ash is not expected to impact aviation in Europe, at least not during the first 24 hours.
by tomorrow, the weather patterns give us an airflow from iceland, over the n atlantic, then to the uk, so we will see...
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its definately raining....
IVE JUST SEEN A FLASH OF.... inspiration... i'm going to bed
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all this talk of sferics, cape etc..... its dead calm, warmer now than it was 2 hours ago, humidity feels like its shot up and the cat's acting weird.... i feel it in my bones!!
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that area of rain approaching the normandy region,- is it likely to fizzle out or intensify as it crosses the channel?
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cloud breaking now, should allow some heat to get through, hopefully sparking something off later. some of the best storms i have seen have come out of nowhere
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got woken up by the rain this morning but didnt hear any thunder...
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So what is your job title at the Daily Express?
(He's exaggerating somewhat)
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What effects might we expect to see/experience on earth when this X-class flare hits?
any where in direct sunlight when the flare hits would experience destruction of the electronic infrastructure, similar to the EMP from a nuclear explosion - satellites, power stations, comms networks. planes will fall out of the sky. anyone outside, directly exposed, would receive severe radiation burns, anyone else would quickly die from radiation sickness. so basically, half the world would be wiped out
hope that helps
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heres the latest
come on guys, lets keep this going for CH
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NOAA website is a good source of info, here's the link :-
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I'd imagine that Moscow is augmented by an inner continental climate type with home grown deep cold blocking most warmer incursions (like the Arctic used to before we mucked it up?) whereas we're by fluid water....check the coastal temps this a.m. compared with those up hills/middle of the Island.
Where we to loose the N.A.D. we'd still need to freeze the seas around us to allow any 'continental cold' to live over us for the winter and looking at Baffin/Hudson Bay this may well be becoming a thing of the past.......
i agree. we cant really compare ourselves to moscow due to the continental factor. having watched the NOAA charts over the past few months, it does appear that the NAD has weakened. not having access to previous years charts means we have nothing to compare it to, to see if this is a natural fluctuation or something more unusual. i dont see how it could stop completely as it is part of a worldwide system of currents - they couldnt just all stop! however it could possibly be diverted by other factors. a large driver of the surface current is the wind. the jetstream being further south could be one cause of the apparent weakening. i wonder if in the past, a weakened NAD has allowed sea ice to form more easily at the furthest limits of the current, thereby 'blocking its path' and causing a cycle which allows this process to accelerate, eventually contributing to 'ice-age' conditions
anyway, just my little theory, feel free to 'point and laugh' if you wish
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the british isles have been subject to the mercy of the weather since we first inhabited these islands. we see all extremes of weather, from 30c in summer to -20c in winter, stifling heat, torrential rain, flooding, thick fog, deep snow, widespread ice, severe gales. people in other countries live at the farther extremes of any of the weather types i have mentioned and they survive and cope because it is what they are used to. we cant control the weather but we can control how we deal with it. unfortunately, modern society has set a standard to run at the 'average' of our weather. anything outside of the average is classed as bad or disruptive. if our society accepted that we are subject to all types of extreme weather on a regular basis, we would be able to cope. everyone has their preferences of weather but we should all enjoy the beauty and diversity that our weather brings. anyone who cannot cope with any particular aspect of our weather should move to a country which more suits their needs
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i just hate the general way newspapers report cold weather
heres an example
"Residents are being urged to wrap up warm as winter kicks in just in time for December and the Christmas rush."
what? why? would you forget? who is doing this 'urging' ? " oh no, nobody urged me to wrap up warm so i've gone outside in a t-shirt and got hypothermia"
aaaaagh!!!!
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Ah yes, I have to say this annoys me more than anything else. Whenever I tell my friends that theres a risk of snow before the TV forecasts are saying anything, they always seem to say "No it wont, it never does" despite me being right about it most times. I don't understand why people do this?
i hate it when people say that where i live - because they're usually right!
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whenever any one says to me 'its too cold to snow' i always get them to imagine they are an emperor penguin standing in a -70c, 100mph blizzard, then asking them if they still think its too cold to snow!!!
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What i imagine to happen is this cold spell is to last for all of december with milder air trying to arrive(from several days time) into sw england and wales at times with snow battleground setups possible, also watching potential systems flowing across france and the channel sea, these also bring disruptive snow threats to south and midlands especially, snowcover and cold creating a harder coldblock to shift, and with south jetstream this is a greater effect, i expect cold or very cold with snow and frost most of uk the next 4wks at least, with battleground snowfall risk far greater than rainfall itself.
i love your optimism!
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looks like my 7.4c is out of the window now
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Moscow five-day forecast
Date Local time Weather Max/Min temp Wind Pressure Relative humidity Visibility Dir Speed Sun
21
Nov Day
0 °C ESE 10 mph 1023 hPa 95% Good Night 0 °C Mon22
Nov Day
0 °C NNE 5 mph 1017 hPa 93% Moderate Night -1 °C Tue23
Nov Day
1 °C SE 5 mph 1011 hPa 96% Very Poor Night 1 °C Wed24
Nov Day
9 °C S 12 mph 988 hPa 96% Good Night 3 °C Thu25
Nov Day
5 °C SW 8 mph 996 hPa 90% Good Night -1 °C bit of a hiccup for wednesday (copy/paste didnt come out lke i wanted but you get the idea)
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Probably about as good as it got...
not that far to go really!
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You're obviously in a very different area of the country from me. Up here, the first 5 days averaged about 10.5 degC, since then it's averaged 5.5 degC. I was asking if with hindsight you thought that Met Office forecast was a good one or a bad one. For me, it wasn't, how about you?
as i said, they were pretty accurate for the first week or so of november, it got up to 19c down here but they did alter the forecasts as they went. the end of this month is looking vey different now to the forecast i commented on but it was some time ago, so i suppose on average they werent way off the mark
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You were quoting the Met Office, why on Earth would it be a dig at you?
just checking, your question was a bit open to interpretation
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London & South East
UK Outlook for Tuesday 23 Nov 2010 to Thursday 2 Dec 2010:
A generally unsettled and chilly start with clear or sunny spells in central and western parts, but cloudier with showers in the east, perhaps frequent at first. The showers will be wintry over hills, particularly in the north. It will gradually turn colder through next week with showers turning increasingly wintry to lower levels with a risk of some significant accumulations of snow in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures below average for the time of year with an increasing risk of overnight frost and icy surfaces, especially where skies clear. Feeling cold in the often fresh and mainly northeasterly wind. The cold theme continues into December for most parts, with northern and eastern parts most at risk from wintry weather, although western parts may start to turn less cold.
good to remind people but i did post this at the top of the page
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the good news-
UK Outlook for Monday 22 Nov 2010 to Wednesday 1 Dec 2010:
A generally unsettled and chilly start with clear or sunny spells, but also with showers, particularly in the east, where some longer spells of rain are also possible. Showers wintry over hills. It will soon turn colder into next week with showers turning increasingly wintry to lower levels with a risk of some significant accumulations of snow in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures below average for the time of year with an increasing risk of overnight frost and icy surfaces, especially where skies clear. Feeling cold in the often fresh and mainly northeasterly wind. The cold theme then continues through to the beginning of December, with northern and eastern parts most at risk from wintry weather.
lets hope this is just the start.....
0 °C ESE 10 mph 1023 hPa 95% Good Night 
0 °C Mon
-1 °C Tue
1 °C SE 5 mph 1011 hPa 96% Very Poor Night 
1 °C Wed
5 °C SW 8 mph 996 hPa 90% Good Night 
General Volcanic Activity Thread!
in Space, Science & nature
Posted
it must be unusual because cars keep turning up on the webcam and people are getting out to have a look