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russ49

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Posts posted by russ49

    Yorkshire And Lincolnshire Regional Discussion Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    hi all

    i have seen over the last few days the forcast has nearly always suggested dry and frosty on the east coast, i deffinatly dont think it will be totally dry (agreeing with TEITS etc,) even today when you look at the radar where only slighter colder air is starting to come into the north sea, i notice specs of showers starting to show offshore, my feelings are if they are showing this early what will the convection be like in a few days or so :p

    Model Output Discussion - January 12th.

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by russ49
    Removed email address to prevent spam

    hi all

    i sent this e-mail to Paul Hudson about the gfs/ecm and this is his reply

    Message Body

    GFS is the most unstable of all the main 3 models for some reason. But they are all struggling, and its an indication of how finely balanced things are that 3 very similar models can give differing solutions.

    From: ANDREW HARRISON Sent: 13 January 2012 11:05

    To: Paul Hudson-LS

    Subject: GFS v UKMO/ECM and the rest

    hi Paul

    i am an avid weather watcher (BBC/met info /Netweather/ your blog) and have been watching the potential changes that are afoot and i cant believe the difference between the gfs and the other models after as little as 72 hours (still no total agreement at gfs 6z , i am a cold lover and would like us to see an "beast from the east" further down the line but the gfs is still showing the influances from the jet and polar vortex over greenland, i just wondered what your opinion was on the current models

    thanks

    Russ

    Northern England Regional Discussion Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by russ49

    the Met office has issued a warning for snow friday upto the Humber area

    Issued at - 14 Dec 2011, 12:35

    Valid from - 16 Dec 2011, 00:05

    Valid to - 16 Dec 2011, 10:00

    Outbreaks of heavy rain will turn readily to snow during the early hours of Friday. The snow is likely to accumulate over time with a risk of up to 10 cm over higher ground. At low levels sleet is more likely but even here some lying snow cannot be ruled out.

    The public should be aware that this could lead to travel disruption on Friday morning.

    ** just seen BBC weather they say northern track least likely lol**


    Autumn 2011

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by russ49

    not sure where to put this so mods please move this in the wrong thread

    i have just been seeing on the various weather reports on the internet that the la nino is getting a lot stronger and i know it has a cooling effect in the pacific the question i have is what will the possible effect be to us if any this winter

    Early Autumn

    in Space, Science & nature

    Posted

    i was out picking Elderberry's on the Humber bank yesterday, i noticed that the blackberrys have finished and most fruit trees are just ready and quite a lot of trees are starting to turn, one sign i have not seen or heard yet are the huge flocks of geese that had already started coming in this time last year

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