Good points.
Indeed the charts are a little odd to a normal plume event but, it's not really an established plume, the upper utmoshpere winds are all over the gaff with fronts moving left right and centre etc etc
Certainly some very tasty charts out there re tonight tomorrow some saying the fun starting around 9pm-12am tonight while others say the party starts around 3-6am others going for midday onwards and some saying the party won't even happen.
Nothing new then. Phahaha