AWD
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Posts posted by AWD
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Interesting quote from TWO here:
High pressure in October, brutal cold?
Posted Fri, 30 Sep 2011 06:17:52
The record breaking heatwave will continue during the next coupe of days, but through the weekend cooler air will be returning from the north west and by the early part of next week it should have made it across all parts of the country. What’s interesting is that it does look as though high pressure will start to build back across Britain next week, and things may well start to warm up again, though this will depend on where the high pressure becomes centred. The pattern which may be developing during the first half of October is one which some long range forecasters believe increases the chances of the development of high pressure cells over Scandinavia during the winter months. These can bring brutal cold to the UK from the east, more often during the second half of the winter than the first. I’ll be keeping a close watch on developments during October.
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com
Any expert opinions on this?
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Twiddles thumbs faster than Lauren
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Nothing much heading towards me on the radar at the moment!!
Think I'll come back in a couple of hours to see if anything severe is heading towards the forecasted severe threat area!!
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Had plenty of heavy, torrential showers here this morning, as of yet no T&L though!!
Suprised to see my area in the severe zone from UKASF! Would of thought it would of been a little further north!!
Nevertheless, a good day of radar watching to come, with just as reasonable chance as I have had all summer of finally catching something!!
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The wind is alot stronger here than i thought it would be,Has anyone got any info on the low to the southwest and what it could bring and when?
I don't know whether it's the same low, but Ian Fergusson has just forecast some sharp, thundery showers tomorrow morning over all our region!! Something to watch!
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It's official!! Today has been the windiest day of the month here in Bristol!
Just had a gust of 35mph, which has exceeded the previous best gust of 34.1mph set on the 6th!!
Pressure's rising here now and the breeze is easing a bit! Now an amazing sustained wind of 8mph!! Wow, I hear you all say!! Lol!
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Current sustained windspeed here is 5mph, highest gust is 28mph at 02.14!!
Pressure is 999.6mb!! To summarise, drizzly, overcast, cool and breezy!!
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Current windspeed here is 4mph, max gust today was 27mph!!
I better get the washing in!!!! Lol!
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For those of you in the north, enjoy and stay safe!! It's going to be the best storm for a long while for you northerners!!
For those of us in the south, don't worry, there is always Hurricane Maria!!!!
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Met office warnings have been downgraded now! The Yellow watch has been removed from the South West and South Wales and the Orange warning has shrunk in size!
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36mph at Filton
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From the model output I have seen I very much doubt the S will be impacted by this. The same cannot be said for Scotland and maybe N parts of N England.
Totally agree!! The above forecast posted a few posts back is how I see things going!! Forgetting about the "it could be further south" or if the jet affects it this way scenarios and just using all facts, data and model input we have in front of us, anywhere from the Midlands south will be wondering what all the fuss is about! It will be windy yes, but nothing out of the ordinary for Autumn!
Northern England may see some decent gusts, but the real wind will be reserved for the Scottish and Irish!!
Whilst the track and intensity may not be 100% certain and with the British weather anything could still happen, the above is the vastly odds on scenario, by using all model data and no "what ifs"!!
If it does track further south and affect southern England with severe gales/storm force winds them I will personally PM you all and grovel/aplogise for hours upon end! Lol!
Im pretty damn confident I won't be doing that though!
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According to Peter Gibbs, it's not possible to have a hurricane on this country!! Not even the storm of 87 was a hurricane!!
And he strictly says that we will not be having a hurricane over the next few days, no matter what the windspeed!!
On iPhone so can't post link, but his blog is on BBC 23 degrees!
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Serious torrential downpour here now!! All our sky channels just went off!!
No T&L though!
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Thunder in Bristol!!! You heard it here first!!! Loud crack of thunder overhead!!!
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No T&L or Tornadoes here but there has been some heavy, torrential and pretty persistent periods of rain now!!
Roads are turning into streams and there are some mahoosive puddles around!!
Would be interested to know how much rain will have fallen by the end of the day!!
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Plenty of heavy downpours in the last couple of hours here but no T&L as usual!!
Think today is slipping away now, was really hoping for something today as things were looking good all week for here!! Nothing stormy in the foreseeable future now either!!
Still looks like some heavy showers coming out of Wales for the next couple of hours but that's all it's going to be!!
Oh well, of to the NSC for one almighty winge!!
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Looks like some hefty showers already over Devon & Cornwall! Don't seem to be moving anywhere fast either!!
I'm stuck in no mans land once again!!
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The BBC forecast certainly didn't look encouraging for thunderstorms here tomorrow with that pesky rain left over from tonight moving westwards!
I would love to be wrong though as there look to be some corkers around tomorrow further southwest and west.
I think the main acivity will be over D&C and into south Wales again!! Don't feel too optimistic now!!
Notice the thunderstorm symbol has been replaced by the White cloud symbol now!!
We'll wait and see, but I'm finding little encouragement and support for anything IMBY tomorrow!
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Nah I think S Wales, SW England, and glouctershire will be the hotspot tommorow!
If the showers/storms are going to be over South Wales and the south west again tomorrow then that should mean a chance for West Mids too as generally the showers are going to be moving NNE tomorrow therefore heading from me to you!! Lol!
Like today, although a little to far west for you ( and me ) the stuff in south Wales continued to mid Wales!!
We both need an eastwards shift of that LP over Eire!!
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Well how disappointing that was,Huge angry clouds rolled in and did absolutely nothing,Mother Nature i hate you lol.
We still have the thunderstorm symbol on the BBC site for tomorrow!!
Take bets to how long it is until it gets replaced by light shower.........?????
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I hope tomorrow delivers something as today has been rather dissappointing here!!
Met think storms will be in the same places again tomorrow, a little to west for me!!
Need to push it further east!! ( how often does a westerner say that ) lol!!
IMO tomorrow isn't looking as good as what it was here, but there is still potential!!
Can see the stormclouds in Wales though!!
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Been quite poor today here!! Just a couple of bog standard showers!!
Tomorrow was always meant to be the better day anyway, hoping the Met warnings shift east and cover me!!
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That estofex forecast looks pretty pants!! I was hoping for a bit better!!
Radar at watching it is tomorrow then!
Winter 2011/12 - General Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
That the horse is going to be bl00dy cold in December??