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jpwild

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Posts posted by jpwild

  1. Chance of any snowfall for us in the NW depends on SST temps, strength of that flow and wind direction, aswell as other combinational fators of heights/moisture content/dew points/etc. But going from the past 2 year trend in similar setups we (in the Pennines at least) had some of the heaviest snowfall to date with severe frosts ontop of that, I think it was Woodford 2 years ago that was the coldest place in England at least getting down to -17.6'c. As for shower activity itself a good stable occluded front/trough like the one coming in tomorrow should do us just fine.

    Thank you, and yes I remember that morning very well as I work near Stockport, and was very, very cold not to mention waiting for the 199 bus to get there, lol.

  2. The showers currently running into the northeast are reliant on SSTs to keep them aloft, could be due to the shallowness in heights thanks to the near proximity of that high pressure build-up. But MetO Surface obs shows a nicely sustained occluded front running down the entire length of the country starting this time tomorrow.

    Do you think our chances for snowfall in the next couple of days is above 50%?

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