Chris.R
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Everything posted by Chris.R
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Pretty happy with my forecast/boundary positioning for today
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I suspect cells that drift westward into the dead zone will quickly die but the dead zone will contract Westwood slowly through the evening.
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PennineMark That's what I was referring to earlier. You are just on the boundary
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My current thoughts are for an area of messy convective cells with sporadic lightning developing around the Pennines drifting west and south west through the evening. As Sea breeze dies could be a chance of them making it west of M6 corridor by sunset. Probably a case of daughter cell outflow creation.
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Rush2019 Bishop Auckland
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iand61 Very nice
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iand61 you're close to the boundary just to the east of it I expect. Later should see clear to your west/south and storms to east/north and probably overhead later.
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severe snowstorm I'd put you just a few miles west of the boundary
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WillinGlossop you're in a great spot for later
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pip22 I think we'll be too far west JUST unfortunately. Hope I'm wrong.
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There's going to be a large dead zone today which will probably be west of the Irwell Valley south to Crewe and north on that longitude into Cumbria. East of that looks very good but probably a very well-defined boundary. Suppose something could survive as far west as the M6 corridor given that steering flow is to the South-West though very light.
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Scuba steve You'd better not say it too loud, it doesn't like it.
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For reference, here is the text forecast for today. Headline: Cloudy and wet with the odd rumble of thunder possible. Today: A mostly cloudy day. Turning increasingly wet with scattered showers in the morning, giving way to some more persistent rain in the afternoon. Some of the rain could be heavy with rumbles of thunder possible. Feeling cooler under cloudier skies. Maximum temperature 15 °C. either completely wrong or just delayed.
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Still the occasional strike over the north York moors. Would've been good on the NYMR today. Not sure there'll be anything left by the time it reaches the north of our region.
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There is a cluster of storms between Hull and Scarborough. If they survive far enough west they could affect the north of the region but for the south of the region expect it to stay dry now. Certainly WRF doesn't want any precip and has a little bit warmer than it was before. it should end up being a reasonable day in the south at least. edit: just noticed it does show rain for late this evening though.
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A Face like Thunder Not sure about thundery but yep
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Scorcher Yep, silly people
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Rush2019 Yep that doesn't surprise me given that wind direction. My station there got to 22.9°C, 22.3°C here.
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almost unbroken sunshine, 22.2°C
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Nearly 800J CAPE around Chester later that's quite respectable.
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Out here with no t-shirt... strong sun, 18.9°C.
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Rush2019 i'm not feeling it but we'll see.
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Going to have to move down south
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Big spots of rain WillinGlossop Same here
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A Sea breeze is developing, that would explain the temperature
