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mrsmall

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Everything posted by mrsmall

  1. Just seen an ad on the telly for this http://www.channel4.com/programmes/is-our-weather-getting-worse hope its got some scientific analysis in it and it isn't a Daily Mail hype type. Link no worky C4 tues 8 pm - is our weather getting wetter.
  2. This could be wet and wild fingers crossed this gets downgraded....
  3. We have the finest drizzle in swindon. It was showing up in my head torch just now walking muttley and muttley.
  4. Seems there's a chance.... Gfs 18z for Friday morning showing......
  5. Also the graphics stopped before the ppn got too far into the east of the region. Poss uncertainty as to what may happen? Edit. Points west fcst Hmmm dew points look high and surface temps so I am probably talking out of my xxxxx
  6. I know this is from swindon but this is showing -2.5c http://swindon.weather.me.uk/
  7. @gtltw Just trying to learn from you guys but the ensembles from the gfs show the 850s rising (still below 0) as the ppn comes in. Would this lead to a snow to sleety mix event or would the effect of the evaporative cooling effect (I think that's the right term for cooling with heavier bursts) keep it more snow like? Cheers chap Marc
  8. Interesting conversation between Liam dutton and matt Hugo.
  9. It was torrential coming back up he a419 from Cirencester though just now. Mental!
  10. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif Noaa's gfs nao chart shows a recovery to neutral but not really positive for long? Apologies if im reading this wrong its quite new to me ;-)
  11. The Weather Outlook have posted this http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoother/twocontent.aspx?type=bg&id=1869 its quite interesting and looks at some of the building blocks and what they believe its showing. overall they arent making any calls yet bit i think there is some excitement in the undertones of the blog!
  12. Does anyone know what the verification stats are at the moment with the gfs? iirc last autumn it was overcooking lows and the ecm dropped them down before the gfs did?
  13. whats the consensus then, which locale do you guys class swindon as west or southern central? cheers marc
  14. Hammering down in swindon. 989.17 going down fast. Very fast. Now 989.14 whilst my fat fingers type in my phone whoops now 989.11
  15. GFS 18z at +123hrs seems to be looking more like lasts night ECM output. As I am a newb, could someone tell me what this feature is /will mean?
  16. What would a stubborn PV mean to us in terms of the flow of weather coming off the Atlantic? Sorry I'm newbie at this :-/
  17. I'm going for ultra warm 7 in the style of Len Goodman
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