saintkip
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Posts posted by saintkip
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no the low will go east of hampshire and give ten foot of snow to PeterboroughAny snow expected in Hampshire - Portsmouth etc ?
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Thats going west of us, some heavier stuff coming from London now. See what you mean, appologies.Just notice on the radar that there appears to be a very heavy band popping up to the SW of Birmingham. lets hope this extends
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Hardly, a massive lump on the radar heading straight for you.grrr...gona miss pompey, gosport and fareham by just a few miles...... :o(
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Seems to me all the little tinkers are throwing toys out of the pram, not like themYep - light snow in Basingstoke now
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A line from isle of wight to brighton puts London slap bang in the middle of it, I think it will be further west than brighton.This was all pretty obvious to anyone with capable of looking at a radar image as far back as last night.
At the time I and others were accused of by IMBY, but frankly, I couldn't give 2 hoots if it snows or not.
You can't trust any model if it's t0+ start point is so far from reality.
Disruptive snow line now looks like being areas in between Humberside to Hunstanton on a line heading south west to Isle of Wight to Brighton. West of that looks marginal and elevation probably wont help because the coldest air is at the surface. East of it will be flurries, perhaps a covering to 1 or 2 cms by morning. Central London will miss the worst of it.
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Thanks, well thats a load of dog turd, misses me by about ten miles to the west/north, last weekend the main show missed me by about the same to the east, ah well, it might move a bit east tomorrow.Here we go the NAE takes the precip further W.
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Can someone post the latest nae charts, the ones I'm looking at suggest the whole of England will see snow but thats not what I'm hearing, just a couple of charts would be splendid as I'm probably looking at the wrong charts.Yes a good deal further west on the GFS, I'm liking the SW Midlands at the moment based on recent trends. Front more or less grinds to a halt on Friday morning and thus suggests somewhere between 10-15cms if that run came off, esp saw from B'ham down to maybe the NE part of the SW...also SE Wales would do well.
Temps a little less marginal as well.
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Could you post the latest charts up?? from 24 hours to 36 would be lovely thanksTemp profile is much better on the 18z run, probably all snow this run compared to a slightly messy mix. IMO bullseye would be the SW Midlands, maybe 10-15cms based on the 18z GFS...
Still time for changes though but good to see the GFS falling inline with the NAE and the UKMO set of models.
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Anyone want to post the latest Nae charts please?
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I like the way you say it with such certainty, no IMO here. In my opinion everywhere north of Winchetser in Hampshire will get a nice coveringThere will be a light dusting in the north west of Hampshire and the north east of Dorset. Even if things end up a bit further south and east, it will be rain towards the coast because of a southerly wind.
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Not if bagpuss gets the jobForget the possible sugar dusting tomorrow night. Capello going is the best news this winter!!
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Do you have the charts for 6 and 12 hours before that?? the rain band will cross from the east giving other areas snow before thatMassive shift W from the UKMO.
http://www.meteociel...8-594.GIF?08-17
0Z had precip across all of England.
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Still wrong, aaampshire will get at least 5 cmJust for you victor
(Updated map)Pink box 10-15cm
Red Box 5-12cm
Orange box 3-6cm
Yellow box 1-5cm
GREEN BOX 4-8cm :lol:
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These are my current estimates:
Pink box 10-15cm
Red Box 5-12cm
Orange box 3-6cm
Yellow box 1-5cm
Attached Thumbnails
Don't think so mate, aaaampshire will get plenty, especially north of the county
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Without wanting to sound like a cockle lets talk about the chances of basingstoke, over the last 3 years I have seen stupendous snow events, 3 years ago on my way to my annual snow hunt, that year being montreal (one of the snowiest cities on earth) I boarded the plane and the steward informed me that Montreal was having a lovely mild winter, on arriving I switched on the telly box to find out the Canadians were reporting blizzards in England, not just England but Basingstoke, who'd have thought it?I must admit its looking good for those in my region. If I was being picky I would probably prefer another slight shift W.
As for tomorrow and although we can use the models to estimate amounts its virtually impossible to predict the behaviour of the precipitation along the front. This could largely remain intact as it travels towards the E or it may weaken slightly. My own view is the intensity will be greater further W but the duration will last longer in the E which might mean snowfall amounts are fairly similiar. Having said this because conditions are more favourable further E the snow ratio will be better for those in Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Kent.
One thing to look out for tomorrow on the radar isn't just watching the front arrive in my region. For example suppose at midnight its snowing over my region and im in the middle of the band of precip, then I shall be closely following the back edge for any signs of the front slowing or stalling. Ideally im right in the middle of the snow band and it stops over my head!
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Don't be sorry mark, you will get 6 hours of moderate snow, make the snowman after 5 hours, use a carrot for the nose and twigs for armsWhen i said 2/3 i was saying theres 2 or 3 members from Oxfordshire who use this thread, sorry about that!
Regards,Mark
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That is a work of art, watching that was akin to Bobby stokes sliding the ball into the far corner in 76 (maybe not quite so good) but proper good.Lorenzo posted this Satellite link in the Scottish regional and it is superb at showing the Cold/Warm Battle as the warm fronts move in.
FIGHT....sorry betting closed.
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no Marky Oxford is deffo not represented by 2/3 in here, maybe 1/12Don't forget Oxfordshire is represented in here by 2/3 of us.
Anyway Temperatures down to -7.0c and Dewpoint is -10.5c
Goodnight All, Busy Day ahead!! Zzz
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TEITS I want to know if the snow line is right over your house?? it's sounds like it might be, hope so xxAfter reading the posts in this thread it appears many took the bait!!
According to some we shouldn't even be enjoying the bitterly cold temps outside because they said this E,ly wouldn't occur and predicted a Bartlett next week lol.
My advice is don't worry. The models look excellent and so do the BBC/Met O forecasts. All we can do now is just follow the radar tomorrow.
(Updated map)
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Ha. First time in years we have winter weather coming from the east and its warmer than the west.