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The Beast From The East

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Metwatch said:

    Higher areas around Sevenoaks the place to be today! A very good effort for those in the south east today.

    image.png

    Yep I've been at Bourghgreen all day and it was snowing heavy since 10am till about 4pm. Roads were a nightmare, cars stuck and a few shunts. I measured about 5 cm of snow. I was amazed that driving home just a few miles and i was back to green grass and just a sprinkling of snow. Crazy. 

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by The Beast From The East

    skynews-snow-uk-winter-weather_6381967.j

    6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn UK weather: Snow on the way as amber cold-health alert issued for parts of England

    NEWS.SKY.COM
    A drop in temperatures will lead to snow and icy conditions in some areas of England within the next 24 hours, forecasters have said.

    The Met Office has issued a new weather warning for Monday - and said that snow showers are on the way that could turn "quite heavy".

     

    A yellow warning will come into force at 4am and states that ice and snow are likely to affect roads and train services in parts of Greater London, Kent, Surrey, East Sussex and West Sussex.

    • Like 2

    Model Output Discussion - Into 2024

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by The Beast From The East

    18 minutes ago, E17boy said:

    Morning all

    Very good point from catacol . I think what it is that because we have experienced the severe cold of 2010 and 2018 that has been laid as a reaching point in order to match these years.  However like we saw last December it does not have to go to that extreme for us here to get a good snow cover. Here in NE London where I am last year the evening of December 11th brought a fair amount of snow to the SE from a feature that came from the channel. That snow then laid for the next 5 days and the cold at that time was not as cold as 2010 or 2018. So with the models showing a cold or at times very cold theme in the days to come is a good start.

    Anyway having said the above I know a lot of people are concerned about the amount of snow in the setup. Yes a lot of dry weather is on the cards but as many have said features will appear and there will be surprises. 
     

    I myself am now looking and very much hoping that we get this high to move to Scandinavia that will help open doors to tap in to some cold from the east or north east hence allowing a better chance of snow. I have got my fingers crossed for this so let’s see how the next days pan out. 
     

    Taking all the above still early days so as always caution is not not forgotten.

    ARE WE GETTING CLOSER IN FINDING OUR WINTER WONDERLAND 

    ❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️

    have a nice Sunday all

    regards. 😊😊😊😊

    Great post and simular to what i was thinking about writing but i don't need to worry now.  The change to  colder weather weather has already started so enjoy.  Like in this post from E17boy wrote about the snow we got on that one evening down here in the SE it was not even forcasted a week out on the national weather then it popped up a couple of days out and produced the heaviest snow I'd seen in years over about 5 hours and although it wasn't expected to be that cold it stuck around for a good 7 days and temps were more around the 0 degree mark for the week after even though temps were originally forcast to be around 5 degrees.... As we here often on here, get the cold in first..... it can be a stubborn beast to move once in place... 

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    Model Output Discussion - Into 2024

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    OMG i can't take much more of these crazy charts... Jan 87 on the way please... 

    I can rember the forcast back then and it was usual to hear Ian McCaskill say the max daytime temperture will be around -6 with a windchill that will fill like -16 with heavy snow drifting in the strong NE wind...    looking at these charts and they keep showing up and all the telecommunications pointing to cold then maybe, just maybe.

    gfsnh-0-270.thumb.png.eaaf37227af6b0ed4d3246e75d0a2ec9.png

    • Like 11

    Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Chesil View said:

    Me too. Xmas around  T336 and new year t400+ yet people are professing to know what will be happening at that range when the models have struggled at short range in regards to possible snowfall this coming week. 😂 

    Exactly...only a few days ago people were saying this looks a cold and dry set up but with no snow showing yet last night we had 10 cms fall in just a couple of hours...  This wasn't showing a week ago i don't believe. 

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