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samalllpop

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Posts posted by samalllpop

  1. SW

    Think of my post as a list of places unlikely to get snow with counties below the list on the cusp, if your names not down your currently progged to get PPN, however West Sussex & Hampshire are currently in the zone of rain sleet or snow ( with the snow most likely in the northern part of the counties & rain to the south)

     

     

    So the 18z is out to 24, heights lower in the E & SE & the GFS finally separating the energy at t24 so we 'should' get the first slider low at 36 as a single closed system, if that's the case the trend west will certainly continue....

     

    Also suddenly upgrading the uppers by a notch to -8c is the Central / South belt

    http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015011818/gfs-1-36.png?18

     

    The trend flicking between 36 (18z) & 42 (12z) is about 50 miles SW-

     

    S

     

    Steve sorry for being stupid.. but will that -8 850 upper do anything for snow potential in the south east.... i am just trying to find out about how you can tell the rain sleet and snow apart cheers 

  2. Am i right in thinking the charts are showing a possibility of a low running across the south coast on saturday and into sunday night? How much chance has this got of happening and if it did how much snow would it produce? Also if it goes further north can the south expect rain? 

    One more question, what were the 850s like in 2010? did we have similar to -6/-8 or was it more like -10? 

     

    Sorry for all the questions (Still learning)

  3. guys cheer up the models cant even forecast this low right and its gunna hit us in about 36 hours, the models may look the same or similar but the fine detail is very much different and we could see some surprise snowfall... me being down south and getting predicted temperatures of 3 degreees.. it might easily snow.. so merry christmas everyone and remember the models dont mean anything till after this low has hit!

    • Like 1
  4. ooh, nasty!!!!  http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=132&code=0&mode=0

     

    North Sea storm surge here I'd imagine. Wouldn't want to be living on the coast in parts of EA if this happens. Ridging further north with a small discrete high pressure cell forming. More evidence of a tendency to northern blocking? 

    Would this sort of chart produce any snow and can you explain why why not etc just to help me kinda understand cheers 

    • Like 1
  5. This is my first post and i think quite a sensible one... and by the way thanks to everyone on this forum as it really helps someone like me understand the models..... i am one for getting carried away as i love the snow... but i think we should look at the models with a tad of caution..... because just yesterday they where indicating average temps..... i just think we should wait till the end of tomoz to get really excited..... but i agree with everyone that low pressure system looks a beauty and supposed to be driving back from north yorkrshire of a hill on the 27th... if that comes off i don't think i will be going anywhere!

    • Like 5
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