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Everything posted by offerman
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Winter Model Discussion - 11/01/13 00z Onwards
offerman replied to reef's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Great video by Peter Gibbs about SSW and how that affects models. http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/20992173 -
Winter Model Discussion - 11/01/13 00z Onwards
offerman replied to reef's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The scandi looks like its rebuilding after the intial sag, then several sliding lows from north at first but others veering in from the southwest looking at those charts. Looking very very good at present. -
Winter Model Discussion - 11/01/13 00z Onwards
offerman replied to reef's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
latest frame shows high sinking south, not great as its between azores and euro high which might flatten things out from late wed /thur, but lets see what next frames bring as h.p might builg again north north sea. -
Yes, remeber the 80`s weather well and peeling off the net curtains from the iced window inside and getting a rollocking for doing it, frozen flanel. one fire to heat the house was in living room, then later a portable fire that we had to feel up with very smelly (but nice in odd way) liquid that was on landing to try heat 3 bedrooms . Those were the days eh. bed was warm but carpet near frozen. Lat is right, the cling film type stuff is awesome, once you put it on go over with hair dryer to stretch out , it sticks to side of frames , once hair dried it gets the creases out and tightens up. BBC say rain, yet Metcheck has dumping on us for tonight and tomorrow. http://www.metcheck.com/UK/today.asp?zipcode=frome
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Ian F, even called this called spell for mid jan back last year and i`m sure i remember him saying so early December to somebody. Got to give him and Met office credit where credit due they haven`t been rushing in to predictions like many here inc myself they seem to have called quite a lot right in recent times. Cirrostratus One of the funniest posts iv`e seen in a long time. It is funny how they always use the m4 corrider and low and behold it can snow on its northern side and rain on south , or snow on south and dry on north.
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Twister, I know the feeling, you might be surprised i reckon you could get 5cm at least so a day or two of fun before it melts and at least it falls at the weekend. Some positives there. I have feeling February might be a good month for us, just hunch nothing more. Good luck , what part of devon as large variances there two as in my area of somerset, if you are East devon then more chance.
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WOW!!! was looking at 3 weather websites and two of them changed there headline and warings at the same time yet different companies. Anyway take a look at the warning, Mendip,Cotswolds (i`m on edge of these)marlborough in particular but 10cm widely southern Britain, does that mean the areas i mentioned could get more when they say particuarly or just higher chance of 10cm? the areas in the zone are Trwobridge, Frome, warminster, Devices,Westbury and few others.See warning below: ssued Thu 10 Jan: 11:00 GMT Valid Until Sun 13 Jan : 12:00 GMT Weather Watch For Ice & Snow A period of much colder weather is expected across the UK this weekend with temperatures at or below zero for many areas. Ice on roads will become hazardous over the next 24 hours as a band of rain pushes East into Western and Central England and Wales. Rain also across Eastern areas will freeze overnight leading to icy patches on untreated roads. A band of Rain, sleet and snow will push into Central and Southern England during Saturday. It is likely that temperatures will be cold enough to allow for accumulations, especially across an area around the Cotswolds, Mendip and Marlborough Hills. However, all areas South of Birmingham should prepare for up to 10cm of snow during Saturday and overnight into Sunday.
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Winter Model Discussion 06Z 10/01/13>
offerman replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Weird, Thought i`d posted earlier but not showing? Just mentioned that snow even will be small and that ecm charts look better for predicting snow than gfs. Goes back to what i said earlier in the week about not getting hopes up to high for cold as it can all change quickly as happened in December and has happened again now with what GFS showed before. P.S looks like flood risk returns for next 1.5 weeks to. So be prepared just in case as waters tables remian topped out, lots of roads still have water run off where i live from the fields. -
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 09/01/13> The hunt for cold ?
offerman replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Twister, you may het some snow over the latter part of the weekend but to much hype saying worst snow for decades, it wont happen from this cold spell down where you are so no worries. -
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 09/01/13> The hunt for cold ?
offerman replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looks like atlantic will be roaring back in bringing renewed risk of flood with some vigoris atlantic lows coming in which may yet again slow up a bit over the uk. Toughts out to already flood hit areas. -
The low seems a little more intense on more recent runs that pulls in cold air first to the north then sinking south. Looks like South could get some of the W.S maybe west getting some deent falls as mild battles cold, maybe somerset and wilts see some good falls. Much can change though so fingers crossed. I just hope not to much rain falls on already flooded areas, thats the first thought before any fun snow.
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This is exactly what i was on about yesterday. Charts said cold, but i said don`t get to excited as it could all change as december proved. Atlantic just seems very strong this year and always winning out. There will be brief cold spell sat-Mon but look like Atlantic will win out longer term. Hope i`m wrong though.