cragonmore

LS thanks again for keeping us informed and interpreting models as they come out. Model Thread a nightmare to make any sense of as everyone jumps in with polar opposite statements about what's happening. Anyway my comments earlier about disappointment of downgrade was on the assumption that as as the Met O had started to downgrade our warnings and for next 48 hours was on the basis they would have access to data which gave them a bit more certainty. It will be interesting to see if they change and/or upgrade warnings tonight based on 12z and hopefully 18z outputs. Still damp and cold here with occasional fine drizzle and ice rain.

As I don't understand the science of what's just happened in last 24 hours that has taken us from expecting 2 days plus of good snowfall to a couple of days of sleety rain, I can but hope its so marginal that we still have one last wee window of opportunity for it to shift the right way (back). Perhaps LS can help give a feel for what to watch for in 12z runs today into tonight or are we pretty nailed onto sleety prospects through to Monday. (Still hopeful for Tuesday onwards as probably FI territory so could go any way)

Frequent heavy showers of icy rain, sleet and hail here in Angus, oddly heavier than radar showing for here just now. With all the chopping and changing in meto warnings for tomorrow I'm now not so sure I will get snow rather than a continuation of sleety icy rain. I'm around 12 miles inland but only about 70 ASL. No matter it's still exciting watching and waiting :-)