fellmike
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Posts posted by fellmike
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2 minutes ago, B87 said:
18-22c is not well above average in September.
its good enough
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13 hours ago, JayAlmeida said:
Saw a few runs like this for the 19th and 20th last weekend on the GFS and now they seem to have resurfaced.
It is encouraging but as we have seen with the upcoming 2 day wonder (which downgraded) reality will usually fall short of expectation this summer.
Would be nice to go out on a high after such a prolonged spell of cool and wet weather.
Out in a HIGH!!! LIKE THAT.
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1 minute ago, A Face like Thunder said:
A few showers of rain and even fewer rumbles of thunder but nothing more ... yet!
gone dark in crewe m8
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1 minute ago, CreweCold said:
I’ll never understand how people want endless days of blazing sunshine over active weather like this. Doesn’t make sense to me.
As a weather enthusiast, spells like this are what make you tick.
exactly
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5 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
A CG has hit a property in Crewe apparently and listening to it now moving away, there are some absolutely belting CG strikes occurring…vibrating the walls of the house.
What a storm.now
seems to be more lightening now it moving away
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Crewe finally gets a weather event to talk about
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Just now, CreweCold said:
No idea, given how sparse storms are here usually. We’ve probably got 1-2 hrs of potential to find out.
thought we would get one today but not so early in the day .just appeared from nowhere
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29 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
Well that was intense. The hail core made a right racket!
Do you think there is anymore this evening?
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Its a bit damp here
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gone dark here
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3 minutes ago, Backtrack said:
Prob for best. I imagine you’re way south of the 0C isotherm now. Have to wait until later when it digs back south
Then knowing my luck i will get stuck at work because i cant get home
it can never be the other way round can it
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Just now, Kasim Awan said:
Few drifts now.
Lucky sod!!
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Just now, Backtrack said:
Just rain now.
nothing here
not even rain
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1 minute ago, WillinGlossop said:
Some very strong gusts and started snowing again… precipitation incoming quite heavy soon looking at radar in the next hour…
Bloody hell on the edge again
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I wonder if James Madden correctly predicted snow today!!!!
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RAINING here
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this cold weather is playing havoc with the roads
potholes everywhere
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Just now, Weather-history said:
Dark and absolutely tipping it down
Same here m8
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17 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
The Law of Averages also suggests that most of us will be dead by then?
Thats very true
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43 minutes ago, RhHh said:
It would certainly be a first!
Law of averages say he will be correct one day
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3 hours ago, phil nw. said:
Here we go then after an exciting start to Winter on here,for coldies,we have to see through this period of mobile westerlies,probably for at least the next couple of weeks.
Looking forward beyond this period for signals we can see both the ecm and gfs suites are forecasting a weaker vortex from the bottom up as we go towards mid-January.Charts and graphs posted by myself and others both in the Strat.thread and here show this trend.
Forecasted mjo movement into favourable phases is on the cards but there is some uncertainty on it's amplitude as can be seen by the spread of members,so something to monitor.
Anyway promising signs of a pattern change are showing as can be seen by the later ens gefs showing the Atlantic pattern weakening and heights building over nw Europe.
A thought has just occurred to me-it's 60 years ago that we were on the verge of that historic 62/3 Winter-something i remember so well as a schoolboy.To any younger members i would say have a look through the archive charts it was quite something unlikely to be repeated for longevity.
Anyway to coin a phrase- whatever the weather- I must say i appreciate the excellent posts by so many members both the older and newer ones.The amount of knowledge increasingly shown by so many recently is quite impressive and enriches the thread.
I will finish my ramblings now by wishing you all a safe and very happy Christmas.
Have you a link for the archive charts please
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58 minutes ago, Joe Snow said:
Same here just snizzle quite Dec 09 esque that favoured N Cheshire & Gtr MCR- crazy to think MCR Airport a few miles up the road was shut due to heavy snow earlier - hoping we see something in the next hour but not holding my breath!
Hi m8 whereabouts in sandbach are you? i grew up on the tatton drive estate.
Just now, fellmike said:Hi m8 whereabouts in sandbach are you? i grew up on the tatton drive estate.
as usual nothing to report in Crewe
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On 11/07/2022 at 08:32, Azazel said:
Nobody on here wants anyone to die or suffer as a result of the weather, but being interested in severe weather, we are always going to have that "itch" to see/experience unusual weather should it occur.
You can guarantee if it were Winter and charts were showing either -5c and snow or -15c and blizzards, those interested in the cold would be ramping and hoping the more extreme solution would come off (despite the danger to life and infrastructure those conditions would cause) and that's okay.
Even I would be interested to see the more extreme scenario come to fruition and I HATE the cold.
It's the same with thunderstorms, windstorms - any form of weather. I doubt we would be here if we had an interest in completely benign/safe weather.
Well Said
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On 07/07/2022 at 20:25, Paul said:
It's been a while since we've done one of these.
The competition is simple, guess the top temperature later next week between Wednesday 13th and Monday 18th (inclusive). For bonus prizes, also guess the county (or in the case of London, the city), and the day your top temperature will take place on.
Your forecast needs to be made to 1 decimal point (eg 25.1c).
The person who gets nearest to the max temperature (as per the daily met office extremes data) will win a three month Netweather Extra subscription. If that person also gets the county or day right, we'll double it and make it a 6 month subscription, and if they get both county and day right, we'll make it a twelve month subscription.
Remember though, the temperature is the key, the day and place are just bonuses.
In the case of more than one winner, we'll randomly draw the prize winner.Entries need to be in, on this thread by Monday at 23:59 (BST). One entry only per person will be included, but if you want to update your forecast/guess you can - the last one you post into the thread will be the one entered. Any entries after the deadline won't be included though.
Good luck!
41.1 SURREY MONDAY 18TH JULY 2022
Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
I bet James Madden is having a baby now!!!