fellmike
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Posts posted by fellmike
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36 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
The new hottest (main) computer run ever, for about the dozenth time in the past week.
I assume then that rules out any snow!!!!
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Winter is broken!!!again
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Why do we never get a high like that in summer?
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13 minutes ago, snowbob said:
Deffo mate that’s why we are in here isn’t it lol
if we didn’t love the chase we would just watch the weather forecast on tv.
a lot less stressful though I bet
Prefer Tipping point
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If we do get easterly followed by an SSW would that ball's things up?
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7 hours ago, jon snow said:
Well this would be quite stunning wouldn’t it considering the gloom and doom in here of the last few days?!...ok, I realise we are not home and hosed but I did mention first thing this morning regarding this possible evolution that the rank outsider sometimes wins!!!
Your posts are always interesting and humorous and very clear to understand
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Just now, B87 said:
The only date of the summer to have never recorded 30c.
Not even in 76?
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15 minutes ago, B87 said:
A chance that the ridiculous 13th June curse could finally be broken.
What curse is that?
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7 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
You're not wrong!
This is what's at stake next week. If the Atlantic incursion is just right, some areas could see 10-12 inches of snow.
Does that include crewe?
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2 hours ago, Day 10 said:
Midday Sat & Sun
EDIT; Sorry my bad, that's Sun & Mon. Sat's trend negative during the day though and I'm sure they'll trend quicker than showing currently.
Go on I will listen to an expert 15cm
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29 minutes ago, chris78 said:
Ill say dusting here, snow but less than 1cm
2cm Crewe
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3 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:
Carlisle 0.5cm lol
Northwich 12cm ? your having a laugh
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3 hours ago, Paul said:
A fresh model thread to continue to follow the ups and downs of what's already been an action-packed winter so far. There's a snow risk in places this weekend and into next week, then there are increasing signs from the models that the beast from the east could arrive later in the week - though nothing is nailed on yet..
Model thread rules of engagement!
As usual, please keep it to the models in this thread, and keep it friendly and respectful of other people's views.- If your post is discussing the model output, then it's fine in this thread
- If your post is mostly not about the models, briefly mentioning a model by name or putting a chart in there does not make it model discussion - the best place for this sort of thing is the winter chat thread.
- Please use the Met Office thread to discuss their outlooks.
- A local slant is ok as many people prefer to look at the models with a view to their local conditions
- Local 'will it snow type' posts, or local forecast chat are not suited to the model thread though, the best place for these sorts of posts is the regional area
The stratosphere is a bit talking point at the moment, for more info and in depth discussion around that, please take a look at the Stratosphere and Polar Vortex watch thread.
Model Output And Charts On Netweather:
UKV (Extra subscribers)
GFS
GEFS Ensembles
ECMWF
ECMWF EPS
NetWx-SR (3km)
NetWx-MR (9km)
Met Office (UKMO)
Fax
GEM
GFS HourlyEvening why is the GEM model stuck on 28th November?
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1 hour ago, Battleground Snow said:
Stunning chart at 342 on the para, right in the heart of winter.
Would make up for the near misses and long wait if this came off
top one looks like a bunny!
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Hopefully Crewe will get buried for a change!!!!!
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1 hour ago, XtremeUKWeather said:So far NNN 2km is accurate with the band of precip currently
UKV, ECM, ICON all way off
Harmonie somewhat similar as well
Northwest does that mean cheshire?
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1 minute ago, Ravelin said:
I've highlighted the important bit. At that range there are nearly always differences between runs on the same model, nevermind between models.
But which model i liable to be correct or is it guess work?
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Sorry for being thick but why is gfs showing a sw and ecm showing a ne wind in ten days time or am i reading it wrong?
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32 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
Pretty confident I'll see some falling snow, so will have to be happy with that
CREWE!! ARE WE GOING.TO SEE SNOW IF SO.WJEN?
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1 minute ago, CreweCold said:
Towards Sydney
iam near bentley Motors
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1 minute ago, CreweCold said:
I've looked at the GEFS ensembles and this is no exaggeration...only a handful of members (maybe 20%) don't show a mangled vortex by the end of FI. 20% may even be too generous. A lot of N'lys in there.
where abouts in crewe are you?
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Whats happened to that high over russia ? Thought we were in for easterly this weekend
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seem to remember this cold spell produced pot holes in the road millions of them
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1 minute ago, ALL ABOARD said:
Not made up but unlikely to happen.
so the gfs chart this morning for 11th december is unlikely?
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Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
probably the wrong kind of HEAT!!!!