[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

1 minute ago, DaveL said:

The latest UKV for 11Z tomorrow has a little band of sleet further north than that, as far north as Southampton. So not only is it now "how far will it get?" but also "will it even be snow?". My take on it is: Definitely Maybe! Perhaps. But GFS says "No".

If it snows, it should stick because current grass temperature here is alreday down to -6°C, air temp -0.3 and falling so the ground will be pretty cold. Wind is still calm, sky clear, DP -3.1.

Yes , just been posted on facebook!

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

5 minutes ago, clark3r said:

Icon has low further south affecting northern France and missing south uk

Though, the cold is now extended to next Sunday!!!

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Can someone fly over the Azores and check if there is actually a system out there!!! 

 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

3 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

Gfs at least -12 upper's entering the south east and a bump in the isobar . Looks like quite widespread snow for a while , probably light.

Looks like the cold air is coming in from a better angle from mainland Europe!!!

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, Lukesluckybunch said:

Very similar to the 12z to be honest

yes , and will hopefully drag those cold northerly winds down quicker!!

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, Lukesluckybunch said:

Snow maker at day 10..that low skirting through the channel!

Yes, just what I was thinking 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

9 minutes ago, That ECM said:

I’m going to hire a boat for the south members.

HD

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Its left the Azores low stagnant and not shifting east like on the last run!!!Bewildering!!!

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

He he he

well yes..

With that system tracking along the English Channel , that could be really interesting !!!

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

Don't forget guys were still 8-11 days away!!! Anything can happen in the next 3 - 4 days that can change for the Xmas period! 

 

 

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

The Scandia high stopping Storm Agnes pummelling through the UK in September said to me then that we should watch the high pressure over Scandinavia this coming Winter!!!

In fact I think the second storm Babet did almost the same !!!

[Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat]

Well not sure if this is scare mongering like papers (express etc)  , but GB news had a headline of UK is expecting the snowiest January for 12 years !!!!

[Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived]

Only 7 days ago ALL (what I seem to remember!) the models were hinting at a 24/48hr mild blip, now its for the week (4-6 days)!

So what has change in those few days? Its not like the Atlantic is barrel rolling the UK!

[Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown]

OMG 168 ECM is a belter!!!

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

49 minutes ago, Drifter said:

Fax gives a chance for southern coastal counties on Wednesday night

That's the Channel Streamer that was mentioned by John Hammond on a forecast yesterday! Could be a good little amount of snow for someone!

Week-Ahead QuickCast - weathertrending - 08/02/21

WWW.FACEBOOK.COM

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Week-Ahead QuickCast - Cold and getting colder! Whether you see snow or not, a bitter week of weather lies ahead. Here's John's thoughts on the severe...

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

Rapidly changing . Could be very interesting after midnight for some of us in the south!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

4 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Tonight or over the week? Thanks 

Rapidly changing as the night is drawing in , fingers crossed .

Latest video still from the MO for tonight 

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

Check out the 18z para // , its almost up with the op. Looks even better for the South and SE 

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

5 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Seems to be as it’s showing nothing over me again when there’s definitely something falling outside. 

I think there is something wrong with the radar, app now shows snow till 8 along the south coast

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Here we go again, snowing heavily on the north side of thee IOW

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

2 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

It’s snowing now after couple hours heavy rain but the ground is too wet and the snow is a very wet snow

Do you know your dew point reading ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

2 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Send it shanklin way please it’s too wet to lay here now

On no, sorry to hear its not reached you ! Its hammering down here 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Yes a good coverage here on the Isle of Wight , biting cold wind to go with still heavy snow !

temp 0 c dew point -0.5 c  15 mph NE 25 mph gusts

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Just now, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Temp here 4.0 and dew point 0.9 too warm here for snow ugh  

As long as the dew point is below 1 we should be OK 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Dew point now below 0 c on the Island