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onlyME

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Posts posted by onlyME

  1. I love Croatia. We went to Rovinj. Beautiful little town. Did the day trip to Venice. Had a massive thunderstorm. We went in September. Storm went up at 5pm and lasted until gone 1am. Is September the best month for storms?

    In September thunderstorms are frequent because of high number of cold fronts.Storm are also frequent in May and June in all of the Croatia except coastal areas because of unstable air.The best time for pre-season vacation is mid May.The weather is generally sunny and very warm from late June to early August.In mid August number of thunderstorms and cold fronts begins to increase.

    And answer:

    In September there are lots of storms,a little more than May.The most rain falls in November and December,but it doesn't fall in thunderstorms.

    It is best to check forecast for cold fronts which bring lots of thunderstorms.

    Link to DHMZ(Croatian meteorological dept.)on English: http://meteo.hr/index_en.php

  2. Meari's circulation extends from North Korean-Russian border to southern Filipinos(Phillippines) shok.gif It's SOO huge!

    This satellite image depicts size of Meari and weakening convection on broad LLCC.

    post-15004-0-69332200-1308995243_thumb.j

    Meari will continue northward before becoming extratropical.As extratropical storm,it will make landfall near Chinese-North Korean border.

    Some news about Meari

    MANILA, Philippines—(UPDATE) Tropical Storm Falcon (Meari) left the Philippines Saturday morning but gained strength as it moved north-northwest, dissolving a low pressure area that had spun off its tail over the Pacific Ocean on Friday, the weather bureau said.

    The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said fairer skies were expected on Monday as the southwest monsoon, which has been bringing pounding rain over much of Luzon in the past few days, is expected to wane.

    “The low pressure area went out with Falcon quickly so it will continue to suck the southwest monsoon today. Fair weather [is expected] Monday to Wednesday,†said Graciano Yumul, the undersecretary of science who supervises Pagasa.

    The last storm warnings over the Calayan, Babuyan and Batanes groups of islands were also lifted on Saturday.

    The southwest monsoon, however, continued to bring rains of between 6- and 15-mm per hour, considered heavy per the Pagasa scale, over parts of Northern and Central Luzon through most of Saturday.

    Pagasa also issued flashflood and landslide warnings in several provinces in Luzon: Pampanga, Bataan, Bulacan, Zambales, Tarlac, Pangasinan, La Union, Benguet, Mountain Province, Abra, Ilocos Sur and Ilocos Norte.

    The Ipo dam in Bulacan and the Ambuklao and Binga dams in Benguet continued to release water as heavy rains filled the reservoirs to their spilling levels, a check with Pagasa’s hydrometeorology section showed.

    Water at the Ipo Dam, which has been releasing water since Thursday night, was beyond critical at 100.88 meters at 11 a.m. Saturday. The dam’s spilling level is at 100.87 meters.

    Ambuklao has also reached critical with 752.08 meters of water, slightly beyond its threshold of 752 meters. Binga had reserves of up to 565.55 meters of water, already considered critical while far from its capacity 575 meters because of structural integrity concerns, said Pagasa.

    La Mesa dam continued to overflow as its water level stood at 80.32 meters as of 11 a.m., beyond its capacity 80.15 meters.

  3. NHC'S DISCUSSION: It isn't clear to me why forecasters from NHC write so much "..." .

    Discussion and 48-hour outlook ------------------------------ at 200 am PDT...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Beatriz was located near latitude 15.7 north...longitude 102.6 west. Beatriz is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph...17 km/h...and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next day or two. On the forecast track...the center of Beatriz is expected to approach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area by late this evening or early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is likely during the next 48 hours...and Beatriz is forecast to become a hurricane later today. An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the tropical storm later today and provide a better estimate of its strength. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km from the center. Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb...29.44 inches. Hazards affecting land ---------------------- wind...hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area by late Monday or early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area on Monday...making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Rainfall...Beatriz is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 8 inches along the coasts of the states of Jalisco... Colima...and michoacan in southwestern Mexico...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches over mountainous terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Storm surge...a storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds within the Hurricane Warning area. Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

  4. Sarika Today-News

    post-15004-0-14277800-1307775590_thumb.j

    Tropical Storm (TS) 05w (Sarika), located approximately 160 nm east-southeast of Hong Kong, China, has tracked northward at 14 knots over the past six hours. Animated infrared (ir) satellite imagery shows a fully exposed low level circulation center 35nm to the northeast of the deep convection. The initial position was based on the IR imagery with high confidence. The initial intensity was based on a 996mb ship observation 40 nm away. Animated water vapor imagery shows a tropical upper tropospheric trough (tutt) located just north of the system is causing subsidence aloft and moderate northeasterly vertical wind shear (vws) of 25 to 30 knots. Ts Sarika is currently steering along the western periphery of a low- to mid- level subtropical steering ridge.

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