Summer Sun

Wednesday 3 Jan - Friday 12 Jan This period will start in an unsettled fashion, with showers in many places, and these will be heavy at times, with temperatures around normal for early January. During the rest of the period there will be a gradual trend towards more settled and somewhat colder conditions with some frosty nights (perhaps becoming widespread and severe in time). Occasional unsettled spells are still possible, but these generally much more regionalised, and infrequent than conditions of late. As temperatures fall, the chance of any precipitation falling as sleet and snow increases, particularly over high ground and especially over northern parts of the UK, but not exclusively so by any means. As well as frost and ice by night, some freezing fog is likely to develop as well. Saturday 13 Jan - Saturday 27 Jan Compared to normal, there is an increased chance of colder than average conditions during this period. Currently the chance of widespread severe cold is still deemed low, but still the risk of impacts from cold, ice and snow is greater than normal. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

7.0c to the 28th 2.5c above the 61 to 90 average 2.5c above the 81 to 10 average

'Sudden stratospheric warming' forecast to hit northern Europe in January - but experts unsure where it will strike 'Sudden stratospheric warming' forecast to hit northern Europe in January - but experts unsure where it will strike NEWS.SKY.COM There is a 'greater than normal' risk of snow in January, the Met Office has warned, though forecasters say it is too soon to tell if a so-called 'sudden stratospheric warming' will plunge the UK into a lengthy period of...

Tuesday 2 Jan - Thursday 11 Jan It now looks likely that this period will start with below average temperatures across northern areas, with some hard night time frosts. In the south temperatures are expected to be nearer average with cloud and some rainfall at times, especially in the far south. During this time there is a good chance that many central areas may remain relatively fine for a number of days. Thereafter, more settled and calmer conditions are expected to gradually develop quite widely, increasing the risk of frost and fog. This would also lead to day on day net cooling eventually bringing below average temperatures for many, with an increased threat of winter hazards, including ice/snow if any precipitation runs into the cold air in place over land. Friday 12 Jan - Friday 26 Jan Compared to normal, there is an increased chance of colder than average conditions during this period, and a reduced chance of prolonged periods of very unsettled / milder conditions with frequent rain and wind pushing in from the Atlantic. Currently the chance of widespread severe cold is still deemed low, but still the risk of impacts from cold, ice and snow is greater than normal. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

6.9c to the 27th 2.4c above the 61 to 90 average 2.4c above the 81 to 10 average

Met office 10 Day Trend

Police Scotland have declared a major incident on the A9 in the Scottish Highlands following heavy snow.

Monday 1 Jan - Wednesday 10 Jan Into the new year it now looks finally balance whether near or slightly above temperatures will be in place across the south, with periods of rain, wind, and showers. Or if the slightly below average temperatures in place across the north; where showers will remain wintry, will manage to filter southwards or not. If the colder air filters southwards wintry showers could be seen across parts of England and Wales, and it is possible some more significant snowfall could occur along the mild / cold air boundary. Thereafter, more settled conditions are expected to gradually develop more widely, increasing the risk of frost and fog. If this were to occur day on day net cooling would lead to below average temperatures, with an increased threat of winter hazards, including ice/snow. Thursday 11 Jan - Thursday 25 Jan Compared to normal, there is an increased chance of colder than average conditions during this period, and a reduced chance of prolonged periods of very unsettled / milder conditions with frequent rain and wind pushing in from the Atlantic. Currently the chance of widespread severe cold is still deemed low, but still the risk of impacts from cold, ice and snow is greater than normal. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

BBC Monthly Outlook Summary A colder trend expected but how cold is uncertain Wednesday 27 December to – Sunday 31 December Wet and windy then turning chillier Monday 1 January to – Sunday 7 January Wet and windy at times. Mostly milder Monday 8 January to – Sunday 21 January Most likely to be rather cold Further ahead New long range models will take us into late January for the next update, and we will see if there are further signs of colder conditions setting in. https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

6.8c to the 26th 2.3c above the 61 to 90 average 2.2c above the 81 to 10 average

Has the colour of snow on the V8 radar changed? I'm sure it used to be like a peachy type colour, but now it looks very similar to the colour used for freezing rain.

Persistent heavy rain with a light breeze Rain 16.3mm and increasing Temp 6.3c

The heavy rain over the region currently has fallen as snow over the Pennines.

Sunday 31 Dec - Tuesday 9 Jan On New Year's Eve it's most likely that colder conditions will filter southwards across the UK, bringing some wintry showers to north facing coastlines. However, these colder conditions may not reach the far south, where it could remain slightly milder than average, breezy and at times wet. Into early January, it is likely that mobile westerly winds will attempt to push across the UK, bringing milder conditions, rain and strong winds. On the interface between the milder and colder conditions some snowfall is possible, this is most probable on high ground, but it is not impossible it could fall to low levels at times. Thereafter, it is unclear whether mild air will reach all areas for a time, or the colder conditions will hold on, especially in the north. Wednesday 10 Jan - Wednesday 24 Jan It is most likely to be unsettled at the start of this period with showers or some longer spells of rain affecting the UK. Some snow is possible in places, especially higher ground in the north. From the middle of January onward, conditions will probably turn drier and more settled as high pressure starts to have a greater influence. This also means an increased risk of more prolonged and widespread cold conditions. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

6.9c to the 25th 2.3c above the 61 to 90 average 2.3c above the 81 to 10 average

Tomorrow's warnings

The met office have named Storm Gerrit for tomorrow Yellow warnings are in force

Austria has had a record 18.6c in Wiener Neustadt, south of Vienna Bulgaria has also broken its December record with 22.6c in Viadin

The UK has had it's warmest Christmas Day since 2016 with 13.6c at Exeter Airport

Saturday 30 Dec - Monday 8 Jan It is likely to remain unsettled for the final two days of 2023, with showers or some longer spells of rain affecting many parts of the UK. Some snow is possible at times, but this will be confined to high ground in the north. Strong winds are likely in places, especially along coastal stretches where there is a risk of gales. Temperatures will probably be close to normal for the time of year on the whole, with the greatest risk of cold conditions in the north. Through the first week of January, a similar pattern is most likely, with further showers or spells of rain, perhaps with some drier and brighter interludes at times. Temperatures will likely be close to average. Tuesday 9 Jan - Tuesday 23 Jan It is most likely to be unsettled at the start of this period with showers or some longer spells of rain affecting the UK. Some snow is possible in places, especially higher ground in the north. From the middle of January onward, conditions will probably turn drier and more settled as high pressure starts to have a greater influence. This also means an increased risk of more prolonged and widespread cold conditions. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

Some parts of the UK could end up with temperatures just 3 or 4c lower than Adelaide, Australia, where they've just had their coldest Christmas Day since 2006 struggling to get above 16c

6.7c to the 24th 2.2c above the 61 to 90 average 2.1c above the 81 to 10 average

Decent thunderstorm over Sydney, currently with near constant lightning Recording 2023-12-25 122754.mp4 https://webcamsydney.com/

'Snow bomb’ lasting 15 days set for Britain as polar vortex sweeps country - Teesside Live WWW.GAZETTELIVE.CO.UK Snow is currently predicted to last until January 8.