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Everything posted by Chris K
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yes it does humidity has really gone up this morning. Im in S glos and not expecting much here though, as most forecasts have storms initiating to my North and moving away from there. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looks like most activity will be developing too far east and north of here tomorrow afternoon. Good luck to those in the main focus areas though! -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
We don't seem to get big storms developing on the other side of the channel e.g around Bay of Biscay in late evenings that move North into C/S UK anymore...always seems to start near midlands early morning then head North during the day nowadays. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I wrote the rest of today off too soon. Within no time at all a storm has developed to my E and heading my way! -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
A few distant rumbles here today so can't complain. I'm feeling positive for the rest of summer for all of us, given trends seem to show High to our N/NE and Low over Portugal region. Could be good news for us thunderstorm lovers with plenty of opportunities for plumes, here's hoping. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Interestingly there seems to be more showers developing behind the storm near Gloucester and tailing down to my E. Might catch the back end of something soon even if it isn't as strong as the storms further North. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Another storm brewing over Yate by looks of it and could be direct hit this time. I'll see if I can capture anything decent with my potato phone. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
A couple of decent flashes and booms now from the storm crossing the Severn bridges now. Nice of it to follow the highway code. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Quiet here at the moment but distant rumbles. Looks like it is passing to my South towards the Severn crossings. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Now a couple of sferics N Bristol as well Sky looks dark to South but more murky looking than towers. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Shower developing near Bristol on radar? That's already more promising considering I was expecting 0. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Interesting, as most models keep main activity further NE away from us. Their rain warning for overnight last night was questionable though, so I'm not getting excited.. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Ahh didn't realise that, believe it was a low risk anyway and i'm not holding much hope tonight, but will see if radar shows any signs around midnight along S coast. More chances tomorrow again but don't think it involves W country much really. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Ye most of them hinted at developments starting on S coast around/near IOW area 2300-0000hrs moving W/NW from there (rather than spreading in from N France). This is similar to the MetO rain warning overnight. But the same outputs have been quite wrong for me today with everything quite a bit further N/NE to what was shown. If nothing is developing by then I think I'll call it a night and just see if tomorrow brings anything. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Too much of a NW trajectory again for my area I think. Might see some decent cloudscapes from the distance though if it keeps going towards Gloucester. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Oh yes don't worry I'm used to storm disappointments over the years..and realise this is quite low risk for my area tonight with heavy rain most likely I just wait and see nowadays nowcasting, with model outputs as guidance. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I also thought this but just checking UKV for example shows main storm activity developing tonight 2100hrs onwards stretching from S coast north-westwards towards Wales. So I don't think it is that reliant on daytime surface heating...fingers crossed anyway! Will see what updated charts show later. Scattered storms potentially breaking out for more eastern areas this afternoon where the sunshine is. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Very humid and grey here. Seems to be some rain heading towards the W country soon. Not sure if this will inhibit developments later for my location as this was looking like the most promising day. Most of the models didn't show anything until late afternoon/evening. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Can't travel today unfortunately as storms are firing off only 10-20 miles to my north around Gloucester! Hopefully more chances tomorrow/Mon. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 20th March 2023 onwards
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Just had a very close lightning strike from a heavy shower, North of Bristol -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Chris K replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Shame, was hoping for some more widespread snow, but at least it's nice and seasonal with crisp frost and sunshine at the moment. Hopefully more chances to come during this winter! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Steering too easterly for us I think. Further showers expected later this evening but doubt they'll be as active as that stuff heading into the SE! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yea we always seem to be just to the west of the main action or when it does head towards us, it dies out then kicks off again after Gloucester -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
We had some absolutely torrential rain in the early hours here and a few rumbles of thunder. Storms look good to the South again although it looks like W country will be a bit too far west this time Decent for late October to be honest! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
Chris K replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Had a couple flashes but seems lightning activity has 'split' and died out over us as usual.