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smoggyjester

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Everything posted by smoggyjester

  1. removes my balaclava back from the mod thread with this:...... I've just now seen the MOGREPS-G and EC snow distribution probability mapped updates. The former continues to have a slightly more northern bias for Monday's snow in S: highest probs of 1cm plus are confined to S of line joining Lyme Bay across to Hants and up via London to S Essex. EC squeezed further south still: 2-5cm contour just grazes S coastal counties (Hants-Sussex), with smaller amounts in other S districts on coastal fringes. In effect, the yellow warning area looks pretty good still at this juncture. Next modified NAE update arriving by 2120hrs. Rybris Ponce likes this Like This -------------------------- Ian K. Fergusson Twitter: @fergieweather
  2. just seen this in the mod thread, hopefully we are back in the game Posted 16 minutes ago POPULAR About an hour ago, Ops Centre notified us of the following GM modifications; i.e. prior to full EC suite availability: " T+48/60: Moved main precipitation band in the south 60 n miles further north (T+48), supported by NAE (modified) and Arpege, and 80 n miles further NW supported by GFS and Arpege. T+72: Moved main low over continent 100 n miles further east towards Arpege solution, with GFS giving more modest support. T+84: No modifications necessary, GFS and Arpege provide support for GM solution." flyer, SteveB, chionomaniac and 8 others like this Like This -------------------------- Ian K. Fergusson Twitter: @fergieweather
  3. i dont know, like i said it just felt as if they did with regards the weather
  4. this is just a thought, so please dont run me down,. but last year i feel that autumn arrived late, then winter arrived late, maybe winter may hang on in to march????? like i say just a thought as last year our weather seemed all over the place in terms of timing
  5. just had some light snow here would say 5p sized flakes but v light
  6. so im settling for rain here in hampshire, oh well maybe another time lol
  7. so i am thinking right,,,, this is going to be a rain event for southern uk sun/mon????
  8. i am driving the van from the south coast to blackpool early tomorrow morning via manchester should i expect any disruption of the snow kind? lol
  9. i am just north of portsmouth and just steady rain so far to report
  10. sorry have just got back on, so is it heavy rain due for the south?? and if so when, thanks in advance have just read a few posts and im like a big kid when the s word is mentioned lol, so is there a chance for some?
  11. is that all along the south coast? im in hampshire and all is dry but very calm at mo, very weird feel about it all???? the wind i mean
  12. is it meant to head back south? and will it affect hampshire if so does anyone know? thanks in advance
  13. well wind more noticable here again now, not saying strong, but certainly picked up in last 20 mins or so. some very tasty looking clouds coming this way too
  14. rain easing at the moment, but wind is starting to pick up. Is the band of rain over the channel heading to hampshire have a thundery eliment to it does anyone know? any lightning spotted on the isle of wight by anyone???
  15. rain now getting heavier http://www.isleofwightweather.co.uk/live_storm_data.htm lightning getting going over the channel too
  16. the rain has just reached here quite light at the moment but the wind is picking up and the dark clouds have been replaced by a milky grey colour sky which seems to be getting a little darker
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