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Everything posted by snowice
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If the ICON is on board, that's a good start it was the first one to say No to The easterly last week. FV3, ukmo good as well all to play for
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Have you ever known the models to be all over the place at 96 to 120.Point being when they show a snow feast at 120 we should be cautious, and like today when they went mild it was taken as gospel. So it's never over till its over and I think we are going to hit the jackpot soon. You get enough near misses and we only need a bit of luck and it will happen.
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Have a feeling the 12z will be better. One run in this complex setup won't settle it.Fv3 and 06z are better so fingers crossed!
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Due to it being a cold ❄ run it's Frozen
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Look how many runs have changed at 144 this week. Its so complex I think FI is 120! Can we ever get a boom at 120?
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HP1025 now it's 1030!
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ECM 120time to look for me snow shovel
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You crossed your DiagonalREDline
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As many have said new thread please.
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Agreed quality over quantity!
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I Get that, but only 3pages on model thread and over 20here.I Just think it means if cold weather is showing is it for the forecasting model thread, or this one. I understand why it was done just think it spoils the enjoyment!
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Interesting that more members are on here than Forecast model thread. I think the Mods have split the thread. I respect the rules but cold hunt and banter should be separate. I think members are confused as to were the main contribution from members is. Hunt for cold, you have to few the models so I don't get it. I understand that the Mods are doing there best but just find the new thread annoying.
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Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
snowice replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You've got to be realistic, the shortwaves are the spoilers ecm will follow the others! -
Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
snowice replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At least if we expect nothing won't be disappointed! But I think the trend is not good! -
Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
snowice replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I remember before some years back ECM at 120 was going for an Easterly, and ukmo was not. We all assumed the king ECMwas correct, but it was ukmo that was correct. Its very messy. 12z should confirm the artic high issue. -
Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
snowice replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agree that the only saving grace is At 78hours gfs should be correct, in turn that will effect the output further on so if its correct at 78 we hope out to 144 at least it is right. ECM had snow machine charts yesterday and backed away before this morning when they improved again. I hope it's just a wobble, but that gives me hope it will flip back on 00zs. -
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
snowice replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
snowice replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Monday nights front should be snow now going by Ukmo! -
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
snowice replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Or we all move to Austria.