Pembs458
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I can feel the frustration in here. These current Synoptics are rare and had the potential to deliver a memorable snow event. We would need a big turnaround now to see anything noteworthy, but still a chance of some small accumulations. That would make it 3 snow events with lying snow here this winter so far, all being just a small covering, but much better than anything we’ve had here since storm Emma back in 2018.
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Going to be fascinating watching how the approaching low pressure from the Atlantic progresses. Could be a proper high risk/high reward scenario for us in wales. This morning shows a snow to rain event for all of us. Just 24hrs ago an all snow event. Too far out to know with any certainty at this stage.
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1982 was historic for Pembrokeshire, from what I’ve been told. I wasn’t born either. But whenever snow is forecast my dad always tells me the story of how he could almost touch the top of the telegraph poles because the snow had drifted so high! Would love to witness that, seems unlikely this time, but you never know.
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From what I can see, the big snow maker that was on the ECM this morning is much further south on tonight’s run. It’s then the next low pressure that powers right through the U.K. Impossible to say at this stage if that’s how it’ll play out. Both this mornings and tonight’s options equally plausible in my opinion.
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Tonight’s models not great for us in the south west. Both GFS and ECM give us a snow to rain event on Wednesday into Thursday. Hopefully they are underestimating the depth of cold and we might see the system track further south and not pushing right through us, turning things to rain. Fingers crossed.