East_England_Stormchaser91

I’m not ruling out somewhere such as Wattisham, Wainfleet, Shoeburyness, Weybourne, Marham or Lakenheath as the storm exits and with the sting jet potential. Could easily see a 90-100mph gust at one of these if the worst does happen.

A little knowledge can be a dangerous thing indeed!

Storm Dennis I believe.

Even more worrying if this thing spawns a Vicious satellite type low around the main parent low that has formed now.

That is an alarming rate. This needs watching very carefully.

The eerie calm before the storm. A tale originating from the maritime industry.

Certainly not a downgrade for my area. If anything, it’s been getting worse the further north it is being modelled. It wouldn’t be a wise move to start undermining the potential of this.

I would say it will get pretty extreme there. There’s nothing but open waters of the wash for those severe gales to blast over. Also the Westerlies on the back edge of Eunice look to be rocket fuelling off the Lincs coast during the afternoon. Experienced severe gales in a caravan at skeggy butlins back in November 2019!! That was scary.

Exactly my point. The emergency services are already pushed to their limits without this imminent chaos that is about to ensue. They need to also start preparing.

How this is not starting to grab the main headlines on the likes of the BBC is worrying. I get it that we’ve had the usual winter storms in the recent years, such as Ciara and Doris, which were bad. However, there’s no doubt about it, this one looks like it will give the likes of October 2000, Boxing Day 1998, the storms of 2013/14 and even Burns day 1990 a good run for their money. People need to start preparing now whilst we’ve got a window of daylight and calmness, not later tonight when it could be getting too late.

Looking scarier by the day this. That sting jet feature would result in absolute bedlam if it happens. All main lines would be shut due to Overhead wire damage, hundreds and hundreds of trees down, roads impassable, and plenty of damage to buildings. Not even joking here, the authorities, employers and even Parliament really need to start getting a move on now, as this is now only 24 hours away..

Getting slightly worried now. We’ve already had some very brief power cuts from a squall earlier from current storm Dudley, and a number of trees down from this! I’d say gusts touched 50+mph, but even that earlier was bordering on scary. Be careful what you wish for.

October 2000, October 1987, Burns day storm 1990, Boxing Day of 1998. All were incredibly severe inland. I’m sorry the tabloids have created a sense of warning fatigue for yourself.

Definitely. A sting jet over the flatlands of the Fens, Suffolk and Norfolk would have devastating consequences. It’s very unsheltered from topography here. Concerning.

1987 centre of the storm formed over Biscay/Brittany, moved over Dorset, through Oxfordshire, Beds/Cambs and exited the coast at Lincs, taking a NNE path. On the SE side of the vicious almost pinhole low, Winds Started off as a South/Southeasterly and then backed South/Southwesterly as the low cleared through. Eunice is coming in through the Celtic sea up into Wales/Bristol channel, so the winds will start off as Gale force SW’lies and then veer W/NW as it clears. Quite a different path to the great storm of 87’, but similar areas affected, and maybe more widespread. 87’ affected the SE quadrant of England, with greater damage relative to any other storm over the last 3 centuries!!

The most unlikely source of an easterly with widespread snow! Surely not . Ironically as much chance of this verifying, rather than relying on a Scandi or Greenland high!

Another one to note, the JMA develops barely anything at all. It has Eunice passing as a small shortwave…

This is just beyond nuts at the moment. For me, there’s runs showing screaming southwesterlies touching 90-100mph, and then others showing an easterly veering northeasterly with what looks like a blizzard on the northern flank!!! Make of it what you will. Can’t say I’ve seen many runs like this at present. Phenomenal contrasts.

Wow. Edge of your seat stuff in here. Hope everyone stays safe, that’s the main thing. Also hoping there is minimal damage to properties. It’s a double ended sword at times being a weather nut. As expected, some massive differences already showing by such a small alteration in the centre of the lows track. I expect this differentiation to continue into tomorrow mornings runs.

Think it will be tomorrow when we can start preparing and have some kind of certainty. 48 hours is even a long time in these setups. Seen it before with the “now you see it, now you don’t”. I suspect 87’ was very much like that.

I’m getting st Jude vibes from this already. Almost an exact carbon copy of the formation and track, and how some models are only having it affect the S/SE, when a day ago, it was an across the board event. A very fast moving and evolving pattern. The Netherlands, Belgium and NW Germany will also be in the firing line.

The development needs to more or less be nowcasted. The later and slower it develops, the further south it will correct. The earlier and quicker it develops, then it will probably be more to the North. As always, hope for the best, but prepare for the worst.

Not always. St Jude was an example. In Peterborough at the time at two days out, I was forecasted storm force winds. I then ended up with zero wind, right under the eye of the low, but with flooding rains instead, when just to the South in Bedford saw severe gales. Fine margins often occur with these setups.

What a disappointing winter this has been so far! Give me a plume event over this hopeless search for cold any day of the week. That PV has been stuck in the wrong place once again this winter (Greenland as usual). No doubt we will see a replacement of it with a huge high come May..

Wow. This is reminding me of that Dec 2005 Easterly! The one that vanished and then reappeared again at less than 2 days before it happened. Last night, I was seeing it being written off by many. It’s the equivalent of leaving a stadium when you’re losing 5 minutes until full time, and then the result gets flipped on its head. Always stay until that full time whistle blows!!