East_England_Stormchaser91
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Everything posted by East_England_Stormchaser91
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Poor old Mrs was trying to desperately get to sleep! Then here’s this nutter (me) saying “oh my word” at the anvil crawlers streaming across overhead. Some real loud ground shakers occurred as the storm was departing North. Probably the loudest thunder of the year so far, and by far the most intense night storm of the last 3 years.
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Eagle Eye with what I think will be an accurate forecast yet again. Him and Nick F on here are excellent. Really missing Dan Holleys forecasts. Also Paul Sherman had excellent input. Does anyone know if he’s ok? Haven’t seen him on here for ages. Sunday is still a very mixed picture. Looks like a more evening, early part of the night event now, rather than a 1-4AM job. Quite a few runs showing something quite significant heading through NE France maybe Kent on early Monday morning. Still not nailed down whatsoever as to what we will actually see. The instability is certainly still showing however, which is the main thing.
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Getting interesting now I must say. Big chance of some lively french imports. Looks to be an abundance of fat CAPE from the Pyrenees all the way to the Midlands. One or two decent MCS’ being churned out. Maybe even a rare MCC shouldn’t be ruled out on Sunday evening/night. As ever, we should not get too hung up on the broad detail. Friday evening will be when we can really start to nail down some decent predictions.
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Different dynamics I would say. Afternoon surface based French stuff never does too well once it hits the channel. If there’s no mid level instability, the storm just simply loses all source of fuel. Yesterday there was plenty of ML CAPE as well as surface based CAPE to sustain them. Although they lost their intensity a tad once out in the North Sea. Couldn’t believe how much lightning that mothership was pinging out. Lincolnshire yesterday was rivalling some of the severe storm outbreaks that France, Germany and BeNeLux see.
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What a phenomenal day it was yesterday. That Cambs/Lincs storm was easily the best one seen for quite sometime. Knocking on 80mph winds at its peak, it could’ve been considered a borderline derecho/bow echo. Wish I got out and headed down the A17 earlier, but opted for Hunstanton to try and catch it, hoping for a little bit of right movement. I experienced the sudden wind/gust front that it created. Very suddenly sand and other bits of debris were being launched into the air. Almost like a gustnado.
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Summer 2023 chat
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yep, usually the sea temperatures are warm enough now to prevent masses of advection fog. Must be because of the unusually warm airmass for September flooding out over the North Sea. -
Summer 2023 chat
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Currently 27c here. Just amazing how down the road on the coast, it’s laden with North Sea crud! Hunstanton literally on the boundary between a grey drab day and a scorcher! Sheringham not so lucky. -
Hurricane Idalia
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to matty40s's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Eye Wall Replacement Cycle- 128 replies
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Hurricane Idalia
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to matty40s's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Overnight tonight is when this could really get nasty. Hurricanes tend to undergo rapid intensification more at night due to better ventilation and colder cloud tops.- 128 replies
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Hurricane Idalia
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to matty40s's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Ian and Michael didn’t rapidly strengthen until right before landfall, so I’m not counting out anything yet. The sea temps are as hot as they’ve ever been just to note.- 128 replies
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Hurricane Idalia
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to matty40s's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Was watching Andy hall (American meteorologist) earlier and his take on it. He noted that the moisture associated with Idalia will be getting steered in the same direction ahead of the system, which was a key similarity to what made Michael become a monster, continuously tapping into steamy gulf Floridian air. On a few of the runs, it even shows Idalia doing an Ivan and potentially looping back round for a second punch into Eastern Florida next week. This has been a very unusual year for displaced weather patterns.- 128 replies
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Hurricane Idalia
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to matty40s's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Practically a hurricane now, 70mph sustained winds. Wouldn’t be surprised to see this start to bomb down during tonight.- 128 replies
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Hurricane Idalia
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to matty40s's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Even more impressive that this convection and hot towers are developing like this during the day. I suspect we will be waking up to a confirmed Cat 1 tomorrow morning.- 128 replies
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