East_England_Stormchaser91
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Everything posted by East_England_Stormchaser91
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It’s a very volatile one. It’s set to be a fast paced setup, with critical timings involved. If we see a decent build up of heat and humidity underneath a rapidly strengthening jet and cooling temperatures aloft, then we could be looking at the potential for some severe storms. This looks a pretty rare one. I would like to see the jet perhaps dipping a bit further South and less flat, to enable a better push of the hot and humid air up from the BoB and France.
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I believe I actually remember it, even though I was 3. I remember waking up terrified of this purple, blue and pink lightning, plus the thunder that went with it. It was the first time of quite a few times in the 90’s! I seem to remember my parents and grandparents going on about it the morning after! It looked tremendous for a fair portion of the country, but particularly the SE as that looked to have copped a second MCS continental import going by the historical charts.
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I’d say it’s picture perfect the way it is being shown currently. We don’t want it arriving earlier, we need sufficient daytime heating to get the most out of the warm/hot air ahead of the lowering geopotential heights and associated front arriving! A tad later would maybe work out better, as there will be more margin for error!
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Gutted that it didn’t hold up for you buddy. I’m putting it down to capping issues. Seemed like there may have been a warm layer stopping the updrafts from properly punching through. The towers here were clearly hitting a ceiling. Just one of them days. So close yet so far! Wish I could’ve been across in Benelux today, they’ve been having an exceptional day.
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Tomorrow is starting to interest me. Masses of ML CAPE advecting up in the early hours into tomorrow morning, and then some models showing what looks to be an outbreak of perhaps some SB activity behind the main area of maybe thundery rain into the late afternoon over Lincs/E Anglia in particular. It’s these small windows of opportunity that crop up short term that can deliver the best results! Thinking this may be highlighted in the forecast by tomorrow morning.
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Well today, as much as we saw some decent structures and had a decent amount of activity, we was majorly hindered by a load of high level muck that significantly impacted early insolation and reduced the potential. Had we have had a clean blue sky and sun from the get go, then we could’ve seen some absolute beauties today. I noticed that Dan (Staplehurst) warned of this earlier in the day, and was right.