East_England_Stormchaser91
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Everything posted by East_England_Stormchaser91
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I’m getting increasingly interested in what tomorrow May hold. Quite a fair bit of speed shear especially in the E/SE tomorrow. Going to be interesting seeing what the forecasts are by the morning. Looks to me like an environment for a supercell and even a tornado. The CAPE looks to be there, overlapped by quite a screaming jet for the time of year.
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Hola from Espana! Looks exciting back at home. Currently 38c on the Costa Blanca! Valencia apparently had ice blocks in the form of hail flooding down the street the other day! Noticed all AcCas floating by, and CB’s in the distance, but nothing materialised here in Alicante. Saw some cumulus fields over the mountains earlier, but that looks to have all but gone. good luck back at home with chasing! I’m missing out!
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European Storm & Convective Discussion
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yep! As usual, I’ll be abroad when it all kicks off! The best I can hope for is sea breeze convergence over the Montgo massif or the Jalon valley just up from Alicante. Some high res models are showing some precip! I should no doubt see some impressive convection over the Pyrenees en route and on the way back probably too. Think that’s the best I can hope for. Good luck to those chasing this weekend back home! -
European Storm & Convective Discussion
East_England_Stormchaser91 replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looks like a terrific storm. Northern Italy is storm capital of Europe without question. Every single spring and summer this area sees numerous beasts, both day and night! -
Depends on where you’re going in Spain. Valencian community up towards Barcelona and the Pyrenees always do very well with discrete convection. The South is mostly wall to wall blue skies however due to less humidity, until late August/September when the Mediterranean Sea convection starts to kick in as the upper atmosphere begins to cool and see more troughs.
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A very interesting read. Usually on average, the biggest hail tends to occur in late spring due to the upper air having yet to warm up properly, so slightly less CAPE and updrafts can still generate some impressive stones, relatively. Not sure if it has been bettered since, but I remember straight after our first round of night storms on 23rd July 2013 for many since before 2007, the same system associated with our storms worked it’s way across Spain, France and into Germany, and produced a 14cm stone near Reutlingen. Which stood as a European record. Pretty impressive for quite late on well into summer. I believe that was from a supercell.
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Can’t help but have a bad feeling that this may well see the real fireworks mature and explode off after the main ingredients have left the country. Like August 2020 in the North sea and August 2012 (forgot the date). For fast moving setups, there’s too little room for us to be guaranteed something. Unlike the USA, France, Germany etc. Theres too much flattening happening, rather than the trough digging deeper just before our shores to maintain a humid Southerly for a much longer period of time to mix with the overlapping cooler air aloft. I hope I’m wrong however.