East_England_Stormchaser91
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Posts posted by East_England_Stormchaser91
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14 minutes ago, James1979 said:
Best storm of my life you tease!!
I believe I actually remember it, even though I was 3. I remember waking up terrified of this purple, blue and pink lightning, plus the thunder that went with it. It was the first time of quite a few times in the 90’s! I seem to remember my parents and grandparents going on about it the morning after! It looked tremendous for a fair portion of the country, but particularly the SE as that looked to have copped a second MCS continental import going by the historical charts.
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22 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:
I have seen! Don't want to get my hopes too much as it's only Wednesday. Timing will have to be perfect to maximise severe potential.
I’d say it’s picture perfect the way it is being shown currently. We don’t want it arriving earlier, we need sufficient daytime heating to get the most out of the warm/hot air ahead of the lowering geopotential heights and associated front arriving! A tad later would maybe work out better, as there will be more margin for error!
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10 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:
You've piqued my interest. Given I'm off work for two weeks from this weekend, I could make a real case to go over the water and chase on Sunday!
If I was to draw 24 June 1994 again, then Sundays chart pretty much does it for me. Looks like a similar setup.
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Anyone else seen Sundays setup? My god that’s looking like a dangerous setup. Best chance of supercells since 2012 or more recently 2018? I would say so going by the current charts.
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11 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:
It certainly looked that way for a moment! Disappointing really as I was in the perfect spot.
This was looking NE as what was left of the storm went by.
Gutted that it didn’t hold up for you buddy. I’m putting it down to capping issues. Seemed like there may have been a warm layer stopping the updrafts from properly punching through. The towers here were clearly hitting a ceiling. Just one of them days. So close yet so far!
Wish I could’ve been across in Benelux today, they’ve been having an exceptional day.-
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I think that may be it. I had about 6 drops of rain about 15 mins ago lol. Unless something unexpectedly develops, then it’s onto the next time.
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Towers now going up to my W/SW attempting to break the cap!
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That little storm earlier in the day over Kent is now an absolute monster over the Netherlands hitting Amsterdam
Look at that shelf cloud!
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Wonder what has haltered the Lincs cell? Seemed to be gaining momentum and then just lost its electrification!
Small development to the East of Pboro. Noticing the cumulus here are starting to gain more height. -
Just now, ChezWeather said:
Currently just N of Louth awaiting that cell to arrive
All the best! Looks like you’ve hit the money chez.
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Jeez that Lincs cell looks like a right peach already
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1 minute ago, Norfolk Sheep said:
Yep, I was thinking the same thing!
Hey ho. There are some areas further south that may be of interest though, give it 30 mins!
I’m actually looking SW now from my top window, and can see what looks like rapid development over towards Mid Cambs and Peterborough way. Here’s hoping! It may not be over yet. Still only just gone 3PM. Peak heating is now upon us.
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God this is painful. Going to regret not getting out earlier if the money is on that cell now developing over Lincs, and nothing else fires.
It would just be my luck to go for it now and then back home gets mullered by rapid development!!-
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Sun is blazing down here currently, and some modest cumulus are attempting to rise. Noticed that elongated cell near hull is now producing sferics.
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33 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:
Hoping Lincoln is in for a shout but I suspect most will track over the Lincolnshire wolds
There’s a line of heavy showers currently near you. One of them may electrify soon.
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Got my eye on this clear slot advecting North to hopefully provide some juice. Anywhere between myself here in Lynn and across to somewhere like Sleaford upwards towards Skegness/Louth/Grimsby is where I think could see the best of this potential.
Im on the mark for setting off at any moment now.-
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3 minutes ago, Jimmyh said:
Saw a post on Facebook of where ideas last year under heavy rain yesterday. Ibwas in Izmir last year
Have you seen the storms over the channel wow chucking out 195 strikes a minute
Yep! I wouldn’t mind being on the NE coast of France and Belgium at the moment, as usual!
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Not looking bad at the moment. Feels pretty ripe out here too I’ve got to say.
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As I’ve mentioned on the main convective thread, I may be heading out for a chase if required up the top end of the patch, following Nicks forecast. Wouldn’t mind an unexpected supercell chase!
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Right, I’m all eyes from now. I may get out for a local chase, or may even be lucky enough to get a severe one at home, as I’m right in the middle of the area. Need that sun to get to work, and it looks as if it may be doing so now. Cloud is beginning to break.
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21 minutes ago, Tamsin said:
Don't know what this stuff is called but it gives me a good feeling
Cirrocumulus by the look of it. I may be wrong!
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8 minutes ago, minus10 said:
I must say that it is very frustrating to see yet again the bulk of the heavy rain move up the western side of England....
...previous met office video had it further east and gave me some hope for real rain...quite incredible really...even the showers that form after are away from our area...sorry about the moan but you would think that even minor variations in the dynamics of the weather pattern would result in it further east some of the time...i can emphathise with @TwisterGirl81 here...maybe she will miss out on this too..and Manchester
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...its the weather and it will do what it will do..but really...come on.....
Think there could be a few surprises tomorrow for Home Counties towards East Anglia. 1500+J/KG CAPE coupled with some directional shear showing on some hi-res models. The further west that rain is, the greater the build up of instability!
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Tomorrow is starting to interest me. Masses of ML CAPE advecting up in the early hours into tomorrow morning, and then some models showing what looks to be an outbreak of perhaps some SB activity behind the main area of maybe thundery rain into the late afternoon over Lincs/E Anglia in particular. It’s these small windows of opportunity that crop up short term that can deliver the best results!
Thinking this may be highlighted in the forecast by tomorrow morning.-
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Well today, as much as we saw some decent structures and had a decent amount of activity, we was majorly hindered by a load of high level muck that significantly impacted early insolation and reduced the potential. Had we have had a clean blue sky and sun from the get go, then we could’ve seen some absolute beauties today. I noticed that Dan (Staplehurst) warned of this earlier in the day, and was right.
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
It’s a very volatile one. It’s set to be a fast paced setup, with critical timings involved. If we see a decent build up of heat and humidity underneath a rapidly strengthening jet and cooling temperatures aloft, then we could be looking at the potential for some severe storms. This looks a pretty rare one. I would like to see the jet perhaps dipping a bit further South and less flat, to enable a better push of the hot and humid air up from the BoB and France.