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Everything posted by John Badrick
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I took this pic at ny local beach un Bude begining of Jan as you can see there's a 12 ft sand wall at the top of the beach its usually flat from the beach huts all the way down to the seamade from the massive waves during end of december and jan, so yes we had a stormy December/January and haven't you checked the forecast recently Hillbilly???? Feb looks to be starting off very cold indeed. So I would say Ian has been the most accurate when forecasting winter 2017/18 than any other lrf I read!
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So there we have it folks,after a lot of doubters and people saying in ain't gonna happen another box for Ian can be ticked. After a stormy December and Jan ( for me wnyway) after a 12 foot sand wall was produced by storm laden seas battering the southwest coast (I've lived here for 15 years and never witnessed this before) right on cue, as if by magic we have a bitter start to Feb 2018 and where's the cold coming from?? Yes, the East. Hats off to you Ian calling it almost to the day and from so far out!!! I'll tell you something if this was netweather's forecast certain people would be all over it!!
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Well that's an "imby comment" because in my BY it's been a hell of a stormy Jan and Feb so I reckon it's 1-1 and I have every confidence in the next prediction of a cold end of Jan/ beginning of Feb cold and if he gets the next round correct he'll be most accurate out of any LR forecaster as always time will tell
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WHAT?? Well down here in Cornwall we have had a really stormy December, so stormy in places a 12ft sand wall has been left on our local beaches, lived here for 15 years and never seen this before. So I would say Ian is spot on so far and if it's a cold end of Jan and Feb then I think people should listen
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Model output discussion - winter proper underway
John Badrick replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What he said!?- 2,328 replies
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Model output discussion - winter proper underway
John Badrick replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Reliable was a bit tongue and cheek as nothing this far out is reliable when talking about an event a month away, but a SSW is still a distinct possibility !- 2,328 replies
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Model output discussion - winter proper underway
John Badrick replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I've heard on the reliable grapevine that there will be big changes( stratospheric speaking ) mid to end of Jan which will produce a much more blocky, cold outcome for uk from mid Jan through into feb. Until then Atlantic dominated, stormy weather to endure. Anyone in hear agree with this scenario?- 2,328 replies
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Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
John Badrick replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Rember it can all go pete tong even 48 hours out, don't forget the infamous "That ECM" back in 2012 -
well Ian, has probably been the most accurate with his forecasts than anyone else in the last couple of years and I've always said I'm looking forward to the day when he forecasts a cold winter. Not quite there yet but I believe he thinks from 2020 will be the beginning of the harsh winters again in this country( is this right Ian?) I always wait for him to give his forecast until I get excited or in the last couple of winters annoyed with the upcoming season. There is a hint of excitement from me this year for later in the season after reading your forecast. Keep up the good work Ian
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Hurricane Nate
John Badrick replied to summer blizzard's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Hay Karyo, you heard any noise from Ian Parnnell yet regarding this upcoming winter? I know he bases his forecasts a lot on sst and I'm sure all this hurricane activity is going to have an effect on sst up north. One thing though once he predicts a cold winter I for one will sit up and take notice!! -
Winter 2017 2018 General Discussion
John Badrick replied to syed2878's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
As america is getting hit yet again by another hurricane I think we can safely say that this year is a good test to the theory big hurricane season in the US = cold europe winter. Before everyone says it's just another piece in the jigsaw, if we do get a cold winter then we can tick a box at least -
Just saying like!!
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We have gone past the spotless days (52 I think) of the whole of 2010 and we still have 5 months to go!! And then the infamous winter of 2010 happened !!
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Arctic Sea Ice Discussion 2017 - The Melt Season
John Badrick replied to Gray-Wolf's topic in Climate Change
https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2017/05/15/barents-sea-grows-ice-in-may/ what do we make of this?? -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
John Badrick replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes probably because it's spring -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
John Badrick replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Have I woken up in March or something. Last time I checked it was January, coldest part of winter yet to come -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
John Badrick replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What in the middle of January? Come back in 2 months time and ask that question