David 'Minty' Hill

Hi Paul T I was under the impression Monday Tuesday for South wales was very marginal as the LP does not come east enough and stays out in the irish Sea same for tuesday does not come far north enough and stays over SW.

Snow to the West in the irish Sea , Snow to our East Bristol , and we are in the middle with cloud and a damp squid

didnt think so, so we are in the no PPM sandwhich between East and the West then typical

I didnt think those front push west enough to be any real threat to anything west of Pembs. Has something changed since then?

The wintry weather up the eastern side is not really "for a change" the east always fairs well in cold snaps thinking back I dont think I can remember a proper snow spell in 30 years or so. Yes there was 1979 when I was born and 1982 but only a few events since then that last a day or so. I am trying really really hard to get my head around whats being discussed as I am a storm chaser and in the summer i watch models for other events but I love snow to just wanted to have a little say. Thing thats confusing me the most is the talk about polar vortex etc I understand the jet stream, thickness of the air etc and I have been reading the canadian split I understand that. I did see it mentioned about a battle between scandi and canada air masses, why would the scandi one winning be significant to us here? What would be the 2 outcomes say canada wins , or scandi wins

I just dont understand it, normally here in south wales its tipping it down day after day after day, now its cold and ppm is likely to be snow, its dry and everything is for the east and north. I know we had some snow yesterday and that was abit of a rare event in amount terms, but how and why do cold snaps not fear well for us in wales when normally its raining all the time

Prob it now until monday but wont be able to watch the radar as back in work I would imagine. Do we have a rough time scale on when its all about to kick off.

Ohh im sorry I thought that chart was 72 hours from today (IE monday)

Think your in the same boat as me where the split happened. Looks like there slowing starting to die now least for us anyway. North and west still doing well tho.

not sure what your looking at but I only see a bit hitting the tip of cardiff on the coast as its moving NE now, and PPM over SW has started to move SE.

Haha yea, I was thinking more about the bizzare directions everythings moving in. PPM over SW has started to move SE to now.

I have no idea whats going on but I am in the gap thats formed maybe an expert can explain whats happening as this is a good time to learn with such an event

Showers have started a more NE track again seems to be splitting over the channel. PPM in Ireland going SE , PPM in SW going SE and ours NE how bizzare

I can see that rotation you mentioned to over ireland is that what you was looking at?

I love these new words haha slightly bigger snizzleflakes

Happy days then looks like those showers are grouping to something going on there we could see the clouds bubbling earlier on the sat24 images. I can see first signs of red on the radar I use on west coast. The plot thickens

It rain breifly last night for about 30 mins but it didnt last long then it basically changed instantly was amazing to watch it happen

Ohh I not seen that one, wont temps be slightly to high tho. So ECM now backing a milder win by 25th thought it had us in freezer into early feb?

I dont think it ever reaches landfall, when I ran GFS perc chart it heads down into france over the irish sea but you never know! Was i right there?

A dual zone attack would be out of this world, one from the low from france and one from SW like today that would be epic, but just a hunch tells me thats nto going to travel far enough west for us but you never know

Dunno I was only 6 Hours old in 1979 on the said date however that funny smell sorry about that peeps blame the local indian takeaway haha

I think it does contain precip because its started to snow here again and flakes are getting larger but radar also shows nothing so maybe its having a hard time picking it up.

Looking at PPM charts for next week how can we be so unlucky. When we dont want PPM we get shed loads when we do, then skim the edge or affect SE. Hung dinger is that one.

Not all that beefy here in PT its still snowing but not that heavy.

while looking at the sat have you seen this line running through the channel where clouds are bubbling up it looks awsome on the animation