David 'Minty' Hill
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Posts posted by David 'Minty' Hill
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One q what is a PPM sandwich? Might try that for lunch.
Snow to the West in the irish Sea , Snow to our East Bristol , and we are in the middle with cloud and a damp squid
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in short no
didnt think so, so we are in the no PPM sandwhich between East and the West then typical
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I didnt think those front push west enough to be any real threat to anything west of Pembs. Has something changed since then?
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Some parts of the uk have largely missed the snow so far, but areas that haven't had a lot, may get a lot in the next 5 days making it a fairer distribution. There looks like being a spell of very wintry weather pushing up the eastern side of the uk for a change, the sw, wales and n.ireland probably not doing so well for snow out of this upcoming spell, swings and roundabouts, at least it's staying cold or very cold for a while yet.
The wintry weather up the eastern side is not really "for a change" the east always fairs well in cold snaps thinking back I dont think I can remember a proper snow spell in 30 years or so. Yes there was 1979 when I was born and 1982 but only a few events since then that last a day or so. I am trying really really hard to get my head around whats being discussed as I am a storm chaser and in the summer i watch models for other events but I love snow to
just wanted to have a little say. Thing thats confusing me the most is the talk about polar vortex etc I understand the jet stream, thickness of the air etc and I have been reading the canadian split I understand that. I did see it mentioned about a battle between scandi and canada air masses, why would the scandi one winning be significant to us here?What would be the 2 outcomes say canada wins , or scandi wins
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Gfs 06z looks rather snowy later tomorrow, especially for the southeast, spreading north sun night and monday to eastern/ne scotland and merging with the snow showers up there to give a prolonged spell of snow and gales.
I just dont understand it, normally here in south wales its tipping it down day after day after day, now its cold and ppm is likely to be snow, its dry and everything is for the east and north. I know we had some snow yesterday and that was abit of a rare event in amount terms, but how and why do cold snaps not fear well for us in wales when normally its raining all the time
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Prob it now until monday but wont be able to watch the radar as back in work I would imagine. Do we have a rough time scale on when its all about to kick off.
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As i said earlier the precipitation is moving anti clockwise that"s why are drifting like that.A Low pressure attack on the UK which would produce snow for everbody
Ohh im sorry I thought that chart was 72 hours from today (IE monday)
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wasnt swansea in the firing line for some showers or has that now changed ? Been light snow for a while now blowing in the wind
Think your in the same boat as me where the split happened. Looks like there slowing starting to die now least for us anyway. North and west still doing well tho.
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Precip is gradually weakening but should hit SE Wales as light to moderate snow
not sure what your looking at but I only see a bit hitting the tip of cardiff on the coast as its moving NE now, and PPM over SW has started to move SE.
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In weather term's it called being bloody unlucky
Haha yea, I was thinking more about the bizzare directions everythings moving in. PPM over SW has started to move SE to now.
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Im glad someone else noticed that because it's been bugging me for afew hours
I have no idea whats going on but I am in the gap thats formed maybe an expert can explain whats happening as this is a good time to learn with such an event
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Showers have started a more NE track again seems to be splitting over the channel. PPM in Ireland going SE , PPM in SW going SE and ours NE how bizzare
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I can see that rotation you mentioned to over ireland is that what you was looking at?
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Our snizzle has intensified and I'm watching that band of showers with great interest.
Intense snizzle... a snizzard?
I love these new words haha slightly bigger snizzleflakes
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Sorry but I dont know where you are getting this from, ECM has the majority of Wales in -4C uppers throughout the whole run, which is cold enough for snow if the flow is coming from the continent, and with the position of the lows, it would be.
Happy days then
looks like those showers are grouping to something going on there we could see the clouds bubbling earlier on the sat24 images. I can see first signs of red on the radar I use on west coast. The plot thickens -
David it will be the same as we got now, if u lucky snow if not
. Thats why derek was holding his cards close to his chest.It rain breifly last night for about 30 mins but it didnt last long then it basically changed instantly was amazing to watch it happen
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The new fax charts say the low presure get's very near us and gives us a nice front.
Ohh I not seen that one, wont temps be slightly to high tho.
So ECM now backing a milder win by 25th thought it had us in freezer into early feb?
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yes im watching it now,doesnt look like wales will see any snow for the next few days, dry tommor and sunday and London area looking good for sun/mon but I did notice huge rain out west and if that did come in and we are cold look out as it looks far bigger than last nights snow
I dont think it ever reaches landfall, when I ran GFS perc chart it heads down into france over the irish sea but you never know! Was i right there?
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A dual zone attack would be out of this world, one from the low from france and one from SW like today that would be epic, but just a hunch tells me thats nto going to travel far enough west for us but you never know
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Dunno I was only 6 Hours old in 1979 on the said date
however that funny smell sorry about that peeps blame the local indian takeaway haha -
But that cloud is in range of the precip radars already and netweather/M.O are showing nothing. Either it has zero precipitation or it'll intensify as it crosses the Irish sea and hits land? We can only hope!
I think it does contain precip because its started to snow here again and flakes are getting larger but radar also shows nothing so maybe its having a hard time picking it up.
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Looking at PPM charts for next week how can we be so unlucky. When we dont want PPM we get shed loads when we do, then skim the edge or affect SE. Hung dinger is that one.
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Took this 3 hrs ago probably a little bit more now but 6 inches anyway
1 foot drifts here in exposed placesSnow starting to become a bit heavier again here now. Beefy snow showers approaching from the west:)
Not all that beefy here in PT its still snowing but not that heavy.
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Almost stalled in the south but not quite from looking at the animation of satellite imagery:
However, notice that it's starting to slowly pivot around Northern Ireland as forecast.
while looking at the sat have you seen this line running through the channel where clouds are bubbling up it looks awsome on the animation
just wanted to have a little say. Thing thats confusing me the most is the talk about polar vortex etc I understand the jet stream, thickness of the air etc and I have been reading the canadian split I understand that. I did see it mentioned about a battle between scandi and canada air masses, why would the scandi one winning be significant to us here?
looks like those showers are grouping to something going on there we could see the clouds bubbling earlier on the sat24 images. I can see first signs of red on the radar I use on west coast. The plot thickens
. Thats why derek was holding his cards close to his chest.
Winter Model Discussion 18Z 16/1/13 onwards.
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Hi Paul T
I was under the impression Monday Tuesday for South wales was very marginal as the LP does not come east enough and stays out in the irish Sea same for tuesday does not come far north enough and stays over SW.