tight isobar
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Posts posted by tight isobar
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And the trend continues...sustained blocking a definate possibilty, and cannot be ignored.gfs has been somewhat lack,lustre of late,but theres no denying, it,mark ön trend setting overall.febuary gonna be one to watch for sure....
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Feeling this current rolling gonna be a cracker,,more so latter frames, all important azores high,,,where will she end up is the all important,,hopefully, dúlt bedded overgreenland, in latter more reliable runs...
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Gfs 6z +96 and already, án easterly being shown of sorts, and although 850.hpa, is at -4, Its shows that the current milder) is leon not ön cards forhanging around long...
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Will all important Greenland heights come to fruition??, judging latest output, i would have to say in view although still some way off, yes Gfs continues hints along gefs. Its a shame ecm/ukmo, do not go out to latter frames,but febuary has been flagged up for some time now by lots in the know, for perhaps being the cold shock month.Its also worth remembering, output is also hinting, ie gfs of possible quick cold incursions,with snow chance in nearer time frame(more reliable)with our region perhaps favoured for any probable snow of any sort.i for one feel we could be begining, to see the first signals, of a more defined, slide into the freezer.and will be watching evolution,over coming days with great antisapation!!!.
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Well, anyone thinking the winter went out of the window,with the very recent cold spell,should be thinking otherwise!, already GFS/GEFS. Hinting strong in latter output already for heights át Greenlanshutti.g down the squib,that is the atlantic.with a perhaps accute attack from east/northeast.and as some know once greeny high established,Its very hard for a quick return to mild atlantic driven slop,with the cold and any snow lingering longer, with no transitional, rubbish,making a mess....once again exiting times seem,to be rearing....and perhaps more signficant this time!!!!
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Thats about it for me. Off to watch father ted...:-)
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Latest viewing....and looks though kent should be only place for anything remotely worthy.
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Pi@#ing down here,and at present it watery not wintry.the warm is embeding quicker than i susspected,have,nt check dew points,and hardly think Its worth the hassle.
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Does,nt the beebs liam dutton look like,a teddy bear.
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Yep,,,:-)
Have you been on the Carlsberg already
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Could be a case of......if carlsberg now nowcasting!!!
if carlsberg DID nowcasting!!!Could be a case of......if carlsberg now nowcasting!!!
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AMBER UPGRADES,FROM MET EXTENDING FURTHER SOUTH AND EASTWARD. STILL THINK THERE WILL BE SOME SIZEABLE FALLS, OUT OF THIS FOR ALL LONDON,KENT SURREY,ESSEX AND SO FORTH!.
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This particular spell is almost át its end. With át best a minor shot of colsish here and there.As it stands imo,there are far to many(those with credance &knowledge),whom write off the rest of winter far to prematurely.although signals are at present mediocre,hessition must be applied......febuary could be what most could only imagine...but lets see what unfolds.
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Some of south,east england best (although short lived)snow totals are verified by the scenario we face.the overlap before dominance,is comprised of energy flexing on stagnancy.could be both intresting and evolving.i for one look forward with antisapation.
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highly unlikely ,to much energy surge for a stall on this one.full frontal atlantic, rattling in but you will see snow from it .before itestablihes the milder damper overhead.Snowing lightly graupel n flakes.... Whats the chance tomorrows front stalls over surrey never gets this far? Then rain saturday?
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psychology.even ön phone spelling error..SorryIm now convinced,for some its a case they want snow so much, there adamant it won,t.....a case of reverse phsycoligy perhaps?
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Im now convinced,for some its a case they want snow so much, there adamant it won,t.....a case of reverse phsycoligy perhaps?
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Anyway a long out but as mr pike has posts above, the GEFS hints a heights át Greenland, with an east/north east return attack again long way off but perhaps a trend ???
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I dont think there can be any dissagree, that the MILDER air will win out.However,from the capital north and eastward there is sure to be snow accumulating for some hours....with disruption.added that the front lands here, after nightfall...
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Dear oh dear some obviously will struggle tomorow. In and around london,with what they choose to beleive.but hey....its a free personal view...
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astonished, by this post. Gfs 12z is only 24hrs,given.showing solid agree,for up to 4/8hrs of snow for london as a whole.thats without met,latest forecasts going solid on same wavelength.london could do fantastic out of the dreaded atlantic over coming 24/38.hrs.with being east with cold holding firmer longer......!!!!!????.Stuff all chance (20% max for a small window of time) of snow tomorrow night / into Saturday according to the GFS 12z ensembles for London.
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Well as i suggested yesterday looks increasingly likely that that current cold, with wave bye with a bang.i did think early yesterday that we would see some fairly decent snow accums, in our part, and some i think found it laughable.with such a stubborn/ established cold scenario as now, and the onslought of the atlantic, to my view there was only going to be one outcome albeit rather tempory.get out friday evening and enjoy what this spell has left, with most likely the most accums,most have seen thus far........and yes that is a RAMP.
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Well, looks like a failed stremer,and the london heat bubble horeshoeing precip into outer areas and they may well get,a covering.good evening.
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not looking as good already.will know for certain by 3am....She will suck up moisture in the estuary and intensify surely?
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 26th January 2013
in Regional
Posted
Admitidly, heights not as yet!,evolved complete heights established át Greenland, although would,nt be át all suprised, as nearer frames begin the all important completion.then Its truely game on. For us.