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fluid dynamic

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Everything posted by fluid dynamic

  1. Some serious issues here Run out of chocolate Run out of alcohol Cannot find tape measure to get snow depth Call it ten inches
  2. Ok so I am still in the snow cup ! I can see on th radar that I am going to get a massive dumping soon !!!
  3. Its all a bit tedious at times, isn't it, and i dont even know one end of a cloud from the other. I just look at the precip models and gaze in whimsical amazement how they change so much every day. So I think they are the wrong place to start learning, better stick to John Holmes' explanations instead with local insight from SM and JP. But following JH means I have to go into the model thread aaaaaarrrrrrrrghhhh and so back to the tedium, a viscous circle of weather bickering
  4. I've got some petrol if we need it, in a green 5 litre can with spout and all. Edit: unleaded 95 ron. Not just glass have full, my tanks are full too
  5. So youre a glass half full kind of guy, maybe you could really help out in model thread
  6. Happy to say that I love weather that is useful or exciting. By that I mean today was beautiful, t shirt and jeans while chopping down some trees and pruning a few others in the garden - a truly beautiful day. Hopefully our large apple tree with produce more apples this year ! The cold stuff and especially the snow is great fun too. I am hoping for a good long warm summer to enjoy the socialising and burning everything on the BBQ, but another shot of snow would be fantastic first, pretty please. John P my heart goes out to you, you're having a dreadful time I know, but hopefully a few of the well chosen words from people you may never have even met will help you keep fighting on. An Leemondo, congrats ! Its great to be a Dad isn't it. When our little one arrived nearly 6 years ago, I was in bits, I've been a soppy Dad ever since. I remember it like it was yesterday, some memories never ever fade.
  7. Given what the pros have posted (Steve Murr and John Pike) I am buying the ECM version (I wouldnt pay much though). The GFS can go and do one I thinks this isnt bad ????
  8. What do we think of the winter so far in the FD household ? Well I have had to confess to Mrs FD that I have put on half a stone since the weather got a bit chilly. I am proud to be at my heaviest ever. 'Is that all? ' she said ' thought you had got a lot fatter than that, you should go down to David Lloyd like I do' while she watched me stuff another pain au chocolat (love em) down my newly swollen 16" neck. The upside of my gross situation is that I've kept nice and warm - whales are right, blubber is good. Apart from my fat strategy, I've got a pretty large gas bill as the rest of my family doesn't eat to excess to keep warm, they don't bother putting on more clothes, they turn up the heating. Muggins here pays it, along with the food bill. And the David Lloyd membership. So in short, this winter so far has been 1. educational as I have learnt about the weather. 2. expensive due to the food bill 3. how distressingly mild and innaccurate Peter Cockroft's weather forecasts have been 4. expensive due the gas bill 5. interesting (if a little tedious) to read the bickering between intelligent people who take a computer model result as gospel 6. expensive due to getting winter tyres on the car and how on earth i am still in the 'snow cup' with 1 cm of snow is beyond belief, can none of you tell little porkies ? Its not over yet is it? Is there time to put on another half a stone ? Hope your winter is going at least as well as mine
  9. Do you concur John? I think the NAE has been pretty good this season, well it been the best of the models even at close range
  10. hello twas chilly on my motorbike this morning, been in the office for an hour, still feeling cold.
  11. Just read this one from GP: "Yes, the GWO takes a bit more work, but the rewards are potentially a whole lot greater ! We can use MJO forecasts to help us understand what the tropical component might be 'adding' to the GWO. At the moment the general trend is for the MJO to head into phase 4 (avoiding the +NAO phases 2/3), which couples us nicely with the GWO signal, extratropical and tropical signals as one. With the heat content in the middle part of the Equatorial Pacific really quite high, conditions are ripe for increased cloud cover and tropical forcing on both the western and central tropical Pacific. This would be consistent with net addition of westerlies, and, in conjunction with previous westerly wind propagation, we should see the whole dynamical synoptic model driven towards the high AAM base state (MJO phases 4-5-6-7- 8 ), where mountain and frictional torques are generally positive. That gives us a reasonable signal for the next 2 weeks to be oscillating between phases 4 and 8 given that overall angular momentum has fallen but generally levelling off." No I haven't got a clue either, but he's been pretty good so far this winter
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