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Posts posted by fluid dynamic
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Its just started raining here
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Ooh my days this is looking like a dead cert
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Mullerred in Motspur Park
Waiting for Pub Run
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Foot deep in Faversham (wishful thinking but a girl can wish)
Well thats just greedy, most ladies would be happy with a good 6 to 8 inches. Here's hoping !!!!
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I'm tipping SW London/NE Surrey to be the sweet-spot for the snow tomorrow! Yamkin, can you confirm?
6.7C Sunny.
Rayning in Raynes Park ?
(I like to start with low expectations)
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why on earth does anyone take any notice of these models and charts? as far as I can see they are terrible, everything is a week away and when it comes closer it changes and then when it gets closer again it changes again, and then one says one thing and another says another thing, so what is the point? its all guess work so may as well guess without even looking at them ha ha. I just lv how wound up people get about them. the Prozac page is better than anything on the tv lol. my (guess) is snow for parts of uk and nothing for others and then lots of rain as the months go by. howz that? and no summer for anyone in the uk. just a normal year in the uk that is isn't it?
I fully agree, the scatter of results is incredible - hence the record 'shannon entropy' . The resolution of the models and all the precise output completely belies the quality of the analysis in CFD. We have to look at trends and means, nothing else worth looking at. And some of the runs dont even have as much input data as others. All of the errors from T0 compound and run away, far far away into la-la land. Funny to see (some of) the reactions and analysis of single output though. No wonder there are are disagreements on here . Bonkers
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Just seen snow geese turn around and back north, gotta be a good sign!!!
Just heard in the office that Penguins have been sighted getting excited in central London in anticipation of the cold spell
Oh hang on, that's at London Zoo
As you were
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Here's the latest from NASA on the impact of the varying Sun and terrestrial climate, with emphasis on the Strat and the Pacific:
interesting stuff (James Madden will be telling us 'i told you so' no doubt)
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Looks like it has peaked at 30hPa
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Deputy Chief Forecaster Baden Hall explains the forecast for the weekend and whether the UK will see any snow.
thanks for posting that, he says 'probably' a lot, as expected, - but at least he's off the fence.
Seems like there is hardly anyone there in that office, maybe last man standing had to do the video !
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I reckon its about to top-out, lets see. Tis a biggy, nontheless
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Having been lurking since October last year, just joined up.
Its fascinating stuff and I have much respect for the obvious professionals (practicing and retired) on Netweather and the large number of amateurs who are well on their way !
The fascination for me is the struggle with the compressible fluids you deal with - I deal with the non compressible variety in models and thank jaysus that I get reliable answers that are borne out in practice. (I am a fast-approaching-middle-age-chartered civil engineer dealing mostly with water infrastructure and treatment).
I guess I am a closet warmist as I like to ride my motorbikes and ice is no good for that. If I haven't been banned for that comment and you are still reading, you may be pleased to hear that I also enjoy a bit of cold (ski holiday !) and thanks to your 'wonderful insights and expertise' I put an expensive set of winter tyres on the car in December just before THAT episode
The upper atmosphere driving the surface and the link between is newish to me and I am here reading all about. You complain about the flip-flopping of CFD models with compressible fluids? Well we aint going to get any better than that without a significant breakthrough. We have to enjoy it for what it is, its a fabulous area of science and tech with such big implications for us all.
Maybe now I've joined I can start an 'ignore' list ? hahahahha , jesting, hi to all of you !
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - January 12th 2013>
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